I've seen some posts saying this will all be resolved in a few months, others saying four years. Do we have any reliable sources re this ? and has the "hearing" actually started yet ?. I can predict with 100% certainty that as we approach season end if LFC are in 5th position Scouse Sports News will start the olde classic.... "if City are expelled from the CL then LFC will take their place"...absolute guaranteed...
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Reliable sources? No. But we have some reasonably clear pointers.
First, I'm discounting Tolmie's point that the club think this is going to be done and dusted quickly. Not because I think he's wrong, but because if it is done and dusted quickly its either because we have cut a deal - not likely - or there has been a massive climbdown of humiliating proportions by the PL.
Next, you've seen the number of charges and the range of issues they cover. Each and every one of those will have to be looked at carefully in order to determine whether the club is guilty of the breaches of PL rules alleged. That will take a significant amount of time.
Just to work the maths through, imagine it took in 'court' half a day to debate each charge. That's over fifty days, so over ten weeks of 'court' time. Just juggling the diaries so that our team, the PL team and the panel are all available over the same ten week period will take some doing, and in practical terms that means it won't happen soon. I should stress that half a day on each count is, in my view, a massive understatement, I just use that figure to illustrate the problem.
Then there is the preliminary work that needs to be done. There have been a number of discussions about what the PL needs to prove and what evidence they need to prove it. It would be a matter for the independent tribunal how they go about deciding this case, but I would be very surprised if they didn't want both sides to set out chapter and verse as to why each one of the alleged breaches is made out, or not made out as the case may be. That process of them first, then us, setting out our stalls is going to take time. Lots of it.
Then there is the question of what evidence is needed. Much of this will be contained in the material already disclosed, but if we say rely on something not covered in the investigation - eg documents from our sponsors or other third parties (eg Mancini) that so far the PL has not had access to, they would be entitled to raise questions about that and/or seek further documents. They are entitled to prior warning of what our case is, in other words, and to ask whether there are other documents that might relate to the defence we are mounting.
Finally, these allegations are incredibly serious. As I see it, the PL is by implication asserting that some very heavy duty players - Khaldoon, HHSM himself, many other senior officers at both MCFC and our sponsors/commercial partners, have all conspired to cook the books. The seriousness of the allegations means, in my view, that the panel will, when considering its decision, look with very great care at all of the allegations. The process of coming up with a decision in a case like this is going to take some time.
So when you add all that together, if this fights all the way my assessment is that nothing will happen this season, or next season, and it may be some time into the season beyond that as well It could be a lot longer. My assessment is that it will not be sooner than 18 months and it might be 3-4 years.