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Premier League Champions Calculation
- Thread starter mcfcirlam
- Start date
Anfield is definitely the one game we are least likely to get points from. Wouldn't mind going three in midfield against them and being a bit more defensive and hitting them on the counter. Our performance against Spurs definitely showed we should be fine in most of our away games. If we beat Chelsea, looking at the games after that, there is a big chance to open up a gap.
Big Dave Watson
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 25 Aug 2009
- Messages
- 2,376
I like this.Pokes28 said:After the way Chelsea and Arse played in their last games, how can anybody predict they won't have more random losses/draws along the way? While both are very good, they have both shown that they are capable of playing like garbage on the occasional game. I think that helps us widen the gap. Add in Champions League fixtures for them in the mix that they certainly want to win and are likely going to play more of their A team allowing a much less potent squad during some EPL games and you have an even bigger gap.
I'm still hoping for a 5th place finish for ManU. That will save Moyes' job, cost them a ton of money, potentially a few players, and then set them up in Europa for 2014/15 which makes their schedule even more brutal.
David Harrell
JoeMercer'sWay
Well-Known Member
greasedupdeafguy said:Home - Chelsea
Away - Norwich
Home - Sunderland
Home - Stoke
Home - Villa
Away - Hull
Home - Fulham
Next 7 league games. Don't think you could for an easier set of fixtures. On paper four of the home games should be comfortable wins and Norwich are the worst the side in the league at the moment so I would expect 3 pts there. Hull are very good at home but would still expect a victory. If we beat Chelsea I can't see anyone stopping us. Football is never that simple though especially for city.
No less than 7 wins will do from that.
greasedupdeafguy said:Home - Chelsea
Away - Norwich
Home - Sunderland
Home - Stoke
Home - Villa
Away - Hull
Home - Fulham
Next 7 league games. Don't think you could for an easier set of fixtures. On paper four of the home games should be comfortable wins and Norwich are the worst the side in the league at the moment so I would expect 3 pts there. Hull are very good at home but would still expect a victory. If we beat Chelsea I can't see anyone stopping us. Football is never that simple though especially for city.
Actually I think this "on paper assessment" is actually our biggest risk. Our big players get up for the big games and my fear is a run of seemingly easy fixtures will see them take the foot off the gas pedal. I'd much prefer that a couple of our harder away games (say Everton, Arsenal) fall within
that period - especially given how well we are playing.
The flip side is that Nasri is likely to be back for the bigger games, but the way our season has gone, that could just mean someone else goes down by then!
NQCitizen
Well-Known Member
tolmie's hairdoo said:After last night, and accounting for us winning every remaining home game, we stand currently on 77 points?
I would be stunned if we could not accumulate another ten points from Norwich, Palace, Hull, Everton, Liverpool, United and Arsenal?
Home form is so crucial.
No team has ever won every single home game it seems wildly ambitious that most people are assuming we'll manage to.
Outside of Chelsea, our home games are fairly negotiable. Records are there to be broken.NQCitizen said:tolmie's hairdoo said:After last night, and accounting for us winning every remaining home game, we stand currently on 77 points?
I would be stunned if we could not accumulate another ten points from Norwich, Palace, Hull, Everton, Liverpool, United and Arsenal?
Home form is so crucial.
No team has ever won every single home game it seems wildly ambitious that most people are assuming we'll manage to.
The big game is Chelsea. We beat the on Monday that puts us 6 points ahead, 7 with GD. 7 points gap with 14 games to go is a lot to make up. I don't think Arsenal will last the pace.
After Chelsea, we have Sunderland, West Ham. Aston Villa, Southampton, Stoke, West Brom and Fulham at home. I would expect in our form and based on our home record of the last few years we should win all those. So that would mean we need three at most 12 points from our remaining 7 away games. Hull, Norwich, Palace, Liverpool, Everton, United and Arsenal.
So beating Chelsea, win our remaining 7 home games that's 24 points. Putting us on 77. 10 points from our away games should win the league.
Beat Chelsea, then I think we are in a very good position.
To win a league, you should expect to beat all our home opponents after Chelsea. So as I see it, it's very much there for the taking.
I don't see us losing at Old Trafford or the Emirates. Everton, pressure should be off. So Anfield, lose away, keep those swamp dwellers where they are.
Thigs are not played on paper but we just demolished the form team in the Prem, besides us.
After Chelsea, we have Sunderland, West Ham. Aston Villa, Southampton, Stoke, West Brom and Fulham at home. I would expect in our form and based on our home record of the last few years we should win all those. So that would mean we need three at most 12 points from our remaining 7 away games. Hull, Norwich, Palace, Liverpool, Everton, United and Arsenal.
So beating Chelsea, win our remaining 7 home games that's 24 points. Putting us on 77. 10 points from our away games should win the league.
Beat Chelsea, then I think we are in a very good position.
To win a league, you should expect to beat all our home opponents after Chelsea. So as I see it, it's very much there for the taking.
I don't see us losing at Old Trafford or the Emirates. Everton, pressure should be off. So Anfield, lose away, keep those swamp dwellers where they are.
Thigs are not played on paper but we just demolished the form team in the Prem, besides us.
NQCitizen said:tolmie's hairdoo said:After last night, and accounting for us winning every remaining home game, we stand currently on 77 points?
I would be stunned if we could not accumulate another ten points from Norwich, Palace, Hull, Everton, Liverpool, United and Arsenal?
Home form is so crucial.
No team has ever won every single home game it seems wildly ambitious that most people are assuming we'll manage to.
We nearly did it in 2011/12. Two points only dropped all season long, and that was to the Indian Sign, luck of the devil Mackems.
Pam said:NQCitizen said:tolmie's hairdoo said:After last night, and accounting for us winning every remaining home game, we stand currently on 77 points?
I would be stunned if we could not accumulate another ten points from Norwich, Palace, Hull, Everton, Liverpool, United and Arsenal?
Home form is so crucial.
No team has ever won every single home game it seems wildly ambitious that most people are assuming we'll manage to.
We nearly did it in 2011/12. Two points only dropped all season long, and that was to the Indian Sign, luck of the devil Mackems.
And had to rescue a point with a dramatic last 5 minute comeback. The point that won us the title. Balotelli lol.