jrb said:
It's not looking good for the Norwich City fans or the Panorama programme.
This weeks edition of Crains.
Whoa - my patented financial bullshit alert meter has just gone off the scale.
Businesses do not go bust due to lack of turnover or the fact that they might make accounting losses - they go bust because they run out of cash and cannot meet their short-term obligations to creditors (people they owe money to.)
Once the liabilities exceeed the assets, they are technically bankrupt, and under certain circumstances may not continue trading.
The articles quoted that purport to show that the Glazer's situation may not be too bad quote turnover figures and assets.
What about the operating profit, cash flow and libilities?
THOSE are the things that banks and analysts will concentate on, from a risk management point of view.
If 44% of your properties have a rental yield less than the interest payments, then your cashflow is under strain - you need to cross subsidise these properties.
It is the same as renting out your house for 1,000 pounds when the mortgage payment is 1,500.
If United were listed on the stock exchange with their current financing model and debt and cashflow obligations, they would be a counter that analysts describe as a "dog with fleas".
Any one of the following events would most probably cause a crisis in the club - possibly meltdown:
-Baconface dies, becomes too ill to work, or resigns
- United fail to make top 4
-Unitied fail to win anythng
-
Attendance at home games starts to dramatically reduce
-Commercial revenue drops off badly
- 3 or 4 key players receive srious or long-term injuries.
The probablility of one or more of the above events happening within the next year or two is certainly not zero!
Tick tock!