If Brexit was the only game in town it may help Sunak but it’s a deal most people thought was sorted 4 years ago.
It has to be honest extremely little impact on the main land UK and the talk he can concentrate on the other things is a bit meh as said it only really stirred its head a few months back when the DUP were refusing to power share and we don’t know if they will continue.
Sunak seems to be attempting two games but I’m not sure he will win at either. It seems the case across the board at the moment with the unions, with his own party, with NI, with the EU. Most people in the mainland UK don’t care about NI until terrorism raises its ugly head sadly. Also if NI people start to feel poorer like the rest of us due to Brexit that’s going cause issues.
It seems it was delivered on the proviso that Starmer is a shoe in at the next election, if that no longer became the case it might cause these ructions.
Until people feel anything in their pocket this won’t change and at some point that just hardens so any upturn people don’t factor it in. For a lot of people under Thatcher people could look back and go oh well I had something tangible this last 13 years or that Major was a fresh break from a still untrusted Labour.
The problem is we’ve had 13 years of crap, no one is better off, no sizeable amount of the public has gained from it, there are very few winners and a whole lot of losers. They are trying to normalise NHS waiting times, food rationing, high energy and the threat of power cuts.
None of the other issues have been held up by these Brexit talks, it wasn’t even a story until a week ago. You talk up an economy improving but the needle is largely unmoving and we’ve had 13 years of static growth, stagnant wages and crumbling infrastructure, I’m not sure even a small upturn in growth would shift that.
I don’t see a landslide regardless but even with Deltapolls that shift it over a week like tonight’s one they are still 1% down on a month ago with the same company.
And one last thing, even if you like Sunak, there is no guarantee that he will be there within a year of government. Labour’s continued approach to Corbyn effectively shuts that door with Labour but the Tories have had 3 PMs in 5 months at a time when people were facing the worst energy bills known. Energy bills that we should have been mostly insulated from.
And that in lies the problem, everything they’ve done on their watch from the pandemic to energy bills to even Brexit they claimed that we would be ok and every time we were not.