I'm expecting England to lose against Australia. What we saw against Wales was a lack of leadership and a lack of bottle. England had the game won but made numerous changes and failed to maintain the advantage, instead allowing Wales momentum. The key moment was when Farrell made the late tackle after Watson had kicked and chased. Rather than a lineout in Welsh territory, that could have led to a try or penalty and extended the lead, it was a Welsh penalty that eventually led to the Welsh try and the momentum swing.
I like Robshaw but in terms of leadership he's no Martin Johnson. Interestingly, I was at a work event and Matt Dawson was wheeled out to give a motivational talk and used Wilkinsons' drop goal video (and the build up) to discuss decision making etc. The team spirit and trust in each others' ability is completely lacking in my opinion. What is telling is that despite Burgess' inexperience at Union, he's been pulled into the WC squad because of his character and mentality... he's got that in abundance but in a different code, and suggests that's something Lancaster felt we needed.
Positively Burgess will be an impact player this weekend and that's where England will be more successful. We'd beat Australia this weekend if it was a test match, instead we're likely to bottle it and lose. I hope England win though, not only because I'm English, but because it makes the Wales v Australia game an incredible event with the possible bonus point implications.