From reading this thread:
They have committed 80% of their entire front-line ‘elite’ soldiers already - the Chinese border is looking especially weak.
They are seriously down on ‘top of the range’ equipment - T-62 or earlier tanks, isn’t a great look, using surface-to-air missiles against land targets ditto. And the state of the basic equipment being handed out, or not , to the mobilised cannon fodder…
The black sea fleet has retreated into the Sea of Azov, and can’t be bolstered by the Northern or Pacific, as Turkey has closed the Bosporus to military traffic.
Their airforce is running out of pilots and planes wanting to commit Hari-kiri, despite being an overwhelming numerical advantage - personal thought: no bombers used by Russia yet?
Basically, they appear to be screwed other than going for the numerical cannon fodder overwhelming defences tactic… but when those ‘numbers’ are drunk, disinterested, demotivated, and have no equipment… it’s not looking good for them