Dont think so mate,TBH.Red flag maybe to give justification for going in hard tomorrow?
I don’t think this is the correct time to evaluate this statement. The winter was always going to lead to a huge reduction in military and territorial activity.Looks to me like this will go on for years in virtual stalemate.
It almost goes without saying that we’ll all have a better idea in 6 months. I was hazarding a view based on how things look as at 23 February 2023.I don’t think this is the correct time to evaluate this statement. The winter was always going to lead to a huge reduction in military and territorial activity.
We will have a much clearer picture about the direction of travel come midsummer.
fwiw, on balance, I think by the end of the summer Russia will have lost over half the Ukrainian territory it currently holds, but your scenario is perfectly plausible. Of course it is.It almost goes without saying that we’ll all have a better idea in 6 months. I was hazarding a view based on how things look as at 23 February 2023.
Alternatively a certain someone falls out of a 6th storey window and their successor, while just as vile a ****, decides to end the invasion and blame the failure on the short arsed little evil nonce.Looks to me like this will go on for years in virtual stalemate.
Ukraine can’t cede territory already taken by Russia. Russia can’t retreat. China waits in the wings, ready to match Western support.
A long war of attrition unless someone presses the button (which I doubt) or the West rolls back its support and cuts Ukraine loose.
That too is perfectly conceivable. But would it herald the beginning of the end to the hostilities? I hope so but have doubts.fwiw, on balance, I think by the end of the summer Russia will have lost over half the Ukrainian territory it currently holds, but your scenario is perfectly plausible. Of course it is.
Alternatively a certain someone falls out of a 6th storey window and their successor, while just as vile a ****, decides to end the invasion and blame the failure on the short arsed little evil nonce.