Russian invasion of Ukraine

"FROM THE ANALYST"

BIG ADVANCES AS RUSSIANS START TO PANIC


The Northern Front has been active with Russian attacks but they seem in general to be unsuccessful.
Around the E40 highway heading towards Soledar the Russians counter attacked and made some very minor gains.
At Klishievka the Ukrainian forces have pushed the Russians right the way back beyond the rail line, although it’s been challenging. The Russian side of the line is boggy and full of marshes and small shallow lakes. This restricts the opportunity to cross the area.
Ukraine believes it now has such a high level of fire control over the south road to Bakhmut it’s effectively unusable.
Ukraine has made small gains into Kurdiumivka further down the Eastern front.
Down in Vuhledar the Russians are using aviation launched FAB-500 bombs to knock down the remaining high rise buildings which the Ukrainians used to monitor Russians with drones and fire ATGM’s.
Robotyne. There is rumour that 10,000 Ukrainian troops have been pulled from other areas of the front to strengthen the attack on Novoprokopivka and Verbove.
Ukraine is definitely fighting on the outskirts of both towns, and fight along both tree lines and tank ditches. There is a continuous and consistent Ukrainian advance and the Russians are clearly loosing.
A letter from exhausted 7th VDV troops complained to wives and loved ones that they were being shot ‘like partridges’, that ‘the locals hate us’, and ask what are we fighting for? They complain of exhaustion and want to go home.
This attitude seems to run deep in many Russian units but they don’t have any way to stop fighting without being killed by their own forces.
More complaints from other units basically claim that the front is close to collapse and nobody wants to hear the bad news.
However there is praise for Russian air force units who are in Russian eyes being quite successful.
There’s no question the Russians are deeply concerned over the amount of Ukrainian artillery and counter battery capacity, while Russian artillery is considered to have been severely degraded to the point of nonexistence.
The Russians are claiming things are so bad the 56th MIB is close to being encircled and the Russian commander “is like a headless chicken and can’t make a decision.”
OPSEC remains tight so that’s about the best I can report tonight.
It’s been a busy day - there seems
To be opportunity but Russians are using FPV drones very successfully against assault groups.
This is a really tough going but positive situation. Keep going - this is it - it seems we are at that make or break it moment in the next few days.

Slava Ukraini
 

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