Russian invasion of Ukraine

Russia has achieved the impossible. A country with huge oil reserves is running out of diesel and gasoline. As a result they have announced an outright ban on the export of those commodities.
How this is possible is quite complex but, put simply:
1. Exports of crude oil have dropped significantly due to sanctions.
2. Refineries are less profitable. Up to 40% of capacity is idle.
3. Increased demand for diesel and gasoline have pushed the price up and the gov cannot afford the subsidies which bridge the gap between wholesale and retail markets.
4. The harvest should be in full swing now but the agricultural sector is short of fuel and cash to pay for it.
Hence the export ban in an attempt to take pressure off the price and increase domestic supply.
The Russian economy continues to suffer.
 
Putin has given General Sergei Shoigu one month to stop Ukrainian offensives.
Not sure what happens after that? Sack or Window Daliance or Plane crash.
We'll soon find out I think.

they will claim success when the muddy season slows everything down. the time line is quite telling.
 


That was an excellent strike the commander of the Black Sea fleet and numerous others even made Sky news report it and it’s been so successful Russia have had to move the remaining fleet back to Russia.
It all bodes well for the grain passage

The "accident" at Khalino military airfield,was also a good one.
A Ukrainian drone was "landed" by Russian Electronic Warfare Systems on the runway at the airfield.
The commander of the 14th aviation regiment and his Deputy,numerous aviation officers and also officers of the FSB,all gathered round the drone,to examine it............drone exploded,killing them all.

Slava Ukraini.
 
The "accident" at Khalino military airfield,was also a good one.
A Ukrainian drone was "landed" by Russian Electronic Warfare Systems on the runway at the airfield.
The commander of the 14th aviation regiment and his Deputy,numerous aviation officers and also officers of the FSB,all gathered round the drone,to examine it............drone exploded,killing them all.

Slava Ukraini.
I shouldn't laugh, but fuck it.

Absolute idiots.
 
Putin has given General Sergei Shoigu one month to stop Ukrainian offensives.
Not sure what happens after that? Sack or Window Daliance or Plane crash.
We'll soon find out I think.

Since Bakhmut they have just been stalling for time, they have no real capacity left to push and know they cant contain Ukraine forever a long as they are supplied by the West. Russia is throwing away hundreds of troops to slow down every Ukraine breach but it forces Ukraine to take their time to reduce their own casualties, unlike russia who uses them as a resource. Russia is attritioning an incredible amount of equipment and personal and all they are doing is slowing down the inevitable.

They are buying time in the hopes that something can happen to tip their favour (US elections, internal drama in europe etc). If i was to guess the current plan is trying to hold on until winter and try paint the counteroffensive as a failure in the hope of reducing supplies from the West who might want some return on donations and then try throw enough of their cannon fodder at them to attrition Ukraine down without Western resupplying equipment and freeze the current frontlines.

Currently it looks like even this plan wont work as Ukraine are making progress through the lines in spite of this.
 
The "accident" at Khalino military airfield,was also a good one.
A Ukrainian drone was "landed" by Russian Electronic Warfare Systems on the runway at the airfield.
The commander of the 14th aviation regiment and his Deputy,numerous aviation officers and also officers of the FSB,all gathered round the drone,to examine it............drone exploded,killing them all.

Slava Ukraini.

I shouldn’t laugh at them gathered around but I am smiling, just staggering saw one where they have installed blow up tanks hoping to draw out Ukraine firepower

Serbia I don’t know if these are being supplied to Ukraine or are any good
 
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