Scottyboi
Well-Known Member
RUSSIAN ATTACKS FALL APART
It’s no surprise at all, but Russian attacks against the Kursk salient went catastrophically wrong. And for all the reasons I mentioned were likely in the past few days.
The lack of coordination, lack of communication and lack of a single command structure. Add to that the random approach to sending individual unsupported units into combat against Ukrainian forces who have superiority in air observation from drones and use advance ambush tactics to catch units on the move, well ahead of where those units are expecting resistance.
Obviously with such a haphazard system of defence the Ukrainians exploit the situation to maximise their gains.
We’ve already had drunk helicopter pilots in a Ka-52 burn a convoy of retreating Russians to the ground
Another new incident has occurred since, with a convoy of Russians approaching Korenovo being attacked on approach by friendly fire.
Another showed a huge explosion in a Russian town on the frontline caught on camera by TV crews - only for it to have been a glide bomb strike on the wrong town and target from an Su-34.
Confusion has been so bad that one Russian unit thinking it had captured Ukrainian infantry thought the troops supporting it were theirs - only to find they were Ukrainian.
It’s a series of endless bumbling, with another incident showing Russians being forced by their commander into a clearly marked minefield - the results were as you might imagine.
We now know the last bridge over the river Seym has been destroyed trapping as many as 700-1000 conscripts in a soon to be occupied area of the border zone. However the Russians have built two pontoon bridges in difficult to reach spots still under their control. One has already vanished. Inevitably the remaining one will be monitored and the Ukrainians will wait until the time to strike is right. The Russians never understand this.
Fighting has restarted in the eastern most villages of Giri and Ozerki, some 25km SE of Sudzha. Ukrainian air strikes using GBU-39 munitions resulted in the capture of the village of Vnezapne.
Russian positions in the border town of Tetkino - were eliminated by a JDAM-ER strikes. These troops mostly consisted of conscripts and are unlikely to put up much resistance.
According to Russian sources, Ukraine has captured Vishnevka.
Overall the Ukrainian advance has slowed a lot, but they now face tidying up what they have taken and securing easily secured areas quickly. It’s not Russian resistance that’s slowed them down, more the need to rotate and supply and secure their own positions.
The Ukrainians are rotating assault group troops every 48-72 hours so they can get rest and sleep. It’s exhausting maintaining this level of pace, so rotation is an essential element in the advance.
Overall Kursk still goes well. For how long seems hard to see at present. It certainly isn’t the Russian opposition determining the outcome right now.
Another interesting possibility is that a Russian opposition figure, Podorenko, who is so hated by Moscow they even attacked his house in Kyiv with a drone, is petitioning the Ukraine government to allow him and other Russian opposition leaders to establish a government in the occupied region.
I’m not sure the Ukrainians will go with this. It sounds like an amusing idea but it would complicate negotiations if the time came to hand the land back.
‘The Analyst’ MilStratOnX
Slava Ukraine !
It’s no surprise at all, but Russian attacks against the Kursk salient went catastrophically wrong. And for all the reasons I mentioned were likely in the past few days.
The lack of coordination, lack of communication and lack of a single command structure. Add to that the random approach to sending individual unsupported units into combat against Ukrainian forces who have superiority in air observation from drones and use advance ambush tactics to catch units on the move, well ahead of where those units are expecting resistance.
Obviously with such a haphazard system of defence the Ukrainians exploit the situation to maximise their gains.
We’ve already had drunk helicopter pilots in a Ka-52 burn a convoy of retreating Russians to the ground
Another new incident has occurred since, with a convoy of Russians approaching Korenovo being attacked on approach by friendly fire.
Another showed a huge explosion in a Russian town on the frontline caught on camera by TV crews - only for it to have been a glide bomb strike on the wrong town and target from an Su-34.
Confusion has been so bad that one Russian unit thinking it had captured Ukrainian infantry thought the troops supporting it were theirs - only to find they were Ukrainian.
It’s a series of endless bumbling, with another incident showing Russians being forced by their commander into a clearly marked minefield - the results were as you might imagine.
We now know the last bridge over the river Seym has been destroyed trapping as many as 700-1000 conscripts in a soon to be occupied area of the border zone. However the Russians have built two pontoon bridges in difficult to reach spots still under their control. One has already vanished. Inevitably the remaining one will be monitored and the Ukrainians will wait until the time to strike is right. The Russians never understand this.
Fighting has restarted in the eastern most villages of Giri and Ozerki, some 25km SE of Sudzha. Ukrainian air strikes using GBU-39 munitions resulted in the capture of the village of Vnezapne.
Russian positions in the border town of Tetkino - were eliminated by a JDAM-ER strikes. These troops mostly consisted of conscripts and are unlikely to put up much resistance.
According to Russian sources, Ukraine has captured Vishnevka.
Overall the Ukrainian advance has slowed a lot, but they now face tidying up what they have taken and securing easily secured areas quickly. It’s not Russian resistance that’s slowed them down, more the need to rotate and supply and secure their own positions.
The Ukrainians are rotating assault group troops every 48-72 hours so they can get rest and sleep. It’s exhausting maintaining this level of pace, so rotation is an essential element in the advance.
Overall Kursk still goes well. For how long seems hard to see at present. It certainly isn’t the Russian opposition determining the outcome right now.
Another interesting possibility is that a Russian opposition figure, Podorenko, who is so hated by Moscow they even attacked his house in Kyiv with a drone, is petitioning the Ukraine government to allow him and other Russian opposition leaders to establish a government in the occupied region.
I’m not sure the Ukrainians will go with this. It sounds like an amusing idea but it would complicate negotiations if the time came to hand the land back.
‘The Analyst’ MilStratOnX
Slava Ukraine !
