threespires
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Even when you consider they are paying for a state education system they do not use?
To be blunt MB, yes. I say that recognising that people might think that unfair. I think the net benefit from the policy after the state has had to educate the approx 20-20k children who are projected to drop out of private education and into the state system is estimated to be about £1.3-£1.6n (source IFS/Nuffield Foundation). This is better than nothing but it's still a drop in the ocean compared to what is needed to address the issues in the state system so it clearly isn't the answer in itself.
I actually think the real value of this policy is the fact it should (and appears to be on here at least) open up a desperately needed debate about our education system. You've mentioned in another post that we should be spending much more on state provision and mentioned a 30% uplift which would make a lot of school leaders I know ecstatic. But even then, consider this: in 2010 the gap between the per pupil spend in the private sector compared to the state sector was 40%, by 2022 the gap had more than doubled to a 90% differential (source TES). Education for large numbers of children in this country is being decimated.
I think if we are serious as a society about equality of opportunity then we need to do two things above all else, firstly lift children out of early years poverty because so much of the die is cast then (easier said than done I accept) and secondly (and arguably easier were the political will there) invest to make the educational choices available to children more equitable. And to your point, putting aside equality of chances, it's a good investment for the economy because education more than pays for itself over time in a multiplicity of ways. This nation has shown itself capable of all sorts of world leading endeavour through the opening up of opportunity and raising the level of capability of our population.
I suspect we share much the same aspirations for our own children and the children of this country. Do I think this policy is the answer to the huge problems we have let accumulate? No. Do I think it's a gateway to the serious discussions about where we want to head as a country? Yes I do.