Sporting CP (A) - Tue 5th Nov, 20:00 | CL | Pre-Match Thread

Match Result Prediction?

  • Win

    Votes: 193 51.3%
  • Draw

    Votes: 104 27.7%
  • Loss

    Votes: 79 21.0%

  • Total voters
    376
  • Poll closed .
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With all the circumstances, 7 points of 9 in the CL, 2 points behind Liverpool in the league, that`s all but not terrible. Would also be happy with a point tonight vs. a strong Sporting.
 
a significant drift in City's odds this morning at Betfair.
Sporting odds on 365 have come down from 16/5 to 11/4, only a 10% difference, nothing to read into it really apart from punters looking for a bit of value with our team looking a little vulnerable.
 
Sporting odds on 365 have come down from 16/5 to 11/4, only a 10% difference, nothing to read into it really apart from punters looking for a bit of value with our team looking a little vulnerable.
A better guide is the exchange. Bookies typically follow those prices and take their profit by adjusting the odds in relation to that.

Weight of money (albeit only 134k on this market at the moment) gives a better indication of probability (see wisdom of crowds) so betfair has City's win probability going from 60% to 50%.

Typically with the volume exchanged its not just opinion but more likely team news related which you could argue feeds in to opinion.
 
It would be nice if our unbeaten run continued.

We'll need time to learn how to achieve a good balance between defence and attack without Rodri. He was the system rather than just a system player. Pep will have to find new solutions, and some young players have to step up. Gvardiol is already doing it. Savinho, Doku, McAtee and Bobb have to step up as well. Would be great if Nunes surpassed our expectations too. Foden and Haaland are only 24, they can get better, a scary prospect for our rivals.
 
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A better guide is the exchange. Bookies typically follow those prices and take their profit by adjusting the odds in relation to that.

Weight of money (albeit only 134k on this market at the moment) gives a better indication of probability (see wisdom of crowds) so betfair has City's win probability going from 60% to 50%.

Typically with the volume exchanged its not just opinion but more likely team news related which you could argue feeds in to opinion.
I worked in the betting industry for 30 years Bert, I'm well aware of exchanges! :-).
 
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