We have a hell of a task on our hands just to secure 4th - effectively, that's our 'goal' now.
What a sorry state of affairs we've put ourselves in.
United have some tricky games ahead, as do West Ham (plus they've to play each other). The fact that they play each other means at least one of them will get points from that game, so it's not much comfort, even if they draw.
We still have Arsenal and Chelsea to play, which I think we'll be lucky to get three points from, then there's the matter of Southampton, Stoke who could easily give us a test, and then there's the 'didn't see that coming' type pitfalls against Newcastle, Swansea and West Brom.
I think we're in the last chance saloon for 4th place now, with West Ham and United improving, and us rapidly deteriorating.
It is probably a genuine 33% chance each between us, West Ham and United. Those aren't favourable odds for any of the three clubs.