gordondaviesmoustache
Well-Known Member
Was in Newark a couple of weeks ago. Think Jenrick is safe, but Gillis is probably toast, although there are a lot of white racists in Stoke.
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The Conservative Party/Government
- Thread starter dave_blue12
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casserole of nonsense
Well-Known Member
Especially that end of Stoke, they think they should be part of Cheshire.Was in Newark a couple of weeks ago. Think Jenrick is safe, but Gillis is probably toast, although there are a lot of white racists in Stoke.
Electoral Calculus shows local polls predicting both to go, so I live in hope for now.
gordondaviesmoustache
Well-Known Member
I know Newark pretty well and it’s very right wing, but then again so is Jenrick, which means Reform are less likely to take votes from him imo.Especially that end of Stoke, they think they should be part of Cheshire.
Electoral Calculus shows local polls predicting both to go, so I live in hope for now.
Edit: Electoral Calculus also says that there’s a 94% chance of the LibDems winning Stratford which is wildly optimistic. Think it will be close, but 94%?!!
Last edited:
casserole of nonsense
Well-Known Member
Yes, there’s some wildly optimistic stuff on Electoral Calculus!I know Newark pretty well and it’s very right wing, but then again so is Jenrick, which means Reform are less likely to take votes from him imo.
Edit: Electoral Calculus also says that there’s a 94% chance of the LibDems winning Stratford which is wildly optimistic. Think it will be close, but 94%?!!
SkyBlueFlux
Well-Known Member
Tory seats I would love to see lost on Thurs ( no particular order). The country will be a better place without them
Sunak
Cleverly
Hunt
TC wanker Davies
Thick as shit Atkins
Barclay
Holden
Trot
Patel
Reet Smug
I hope you’re right but Patel is my MP and I can tell you she’s safe as houses. Typically the leaflets she’s been posting through the door aren’t blue and have her picture plastered all over them.
You wouldn’t even know she was a Tory if it weren’t for her smug face.
mosssideblue
Well-Known Member
In my dream scenario, Labour have a stonking majority, those Tories I mentioned lose their seats and the remaining stand down as Ed has secured the Opposition party.I hope you’re right but Patel is my MP and I can tell you she’s safe as houses. Typically the leaflets she’s been posting through the door aren’t blue and have her picture plastered all over them.
You wouldn’t even know she was a Tory if it weren’t for her smug face.
Churchlawtonblue
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 3 Dec 2013
- Messages
- 13,550
Gullis is a gonna sure as eggs are eggs. And Bruce will be following.Jenrick and Gullis are top of my long list. IMO both of the creepy little cunts will get their just desserts.
law74
Well-Known Member
The hope is the post election bloodletting further reduces the number of self-servatives in the HoC.I’ve no idea who is likely to lose them, but those I listed are the ones who irritate the fuck out of me. Hopefully, the Tories are that destroyed, any left will simply fuck off from politics, which is a possibility as cannot see them having the stomach to be the opposition
Ideally about 75 Tories elected, with 70 Lib-dems, and in the internal battle between the extreme right loons and any one nation types still involved, three defect to the Lib-dems, leaving 72 Tory MP's and 73 Lib-dem MP's and the official opposition wearing yellow rosettes...
Far fetched or quite possible.....
You think Starmer missed one?I’m disappointed that due to boundary changes our new Labour candidate is a Momentum fruitcake.
I’ll be voting Lib Dem.
Not that it matters, safest of safe Labour constituency.
This site puts all the MRPs together.I know Newark pretty well and it’s very right wing, but then again so is Jenrick, which means Reform are less likely to take votes from him imo.
Edit: Electoral Calculus also says that there’s a 94% chance of the LibDems winning Stratford which is wildly optimistic. Think it will be close, but 94%?!!
Most of them have Stratford staying Tory, and all are pretty close apart from Electoral Calculus.
casserole of nonsense
Well-Known Member
Crewe & Nantwich also very likely going labour. Mullen has moved to stand in Bexhill. I’ve noticed so many “vote labour” posters everywhere in all three constituencies. I’ve not noticed even one for Bruce, and they were absolutely everywhere before the last GE.Gullis is a gonna sure as eggs are eggs. And Bruce will be following.