Gareth Barry Conlon
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 5 Sep 2014
- Messages
- 16,195
Sorry mate but do you think its ever going to happen?
Tory MP's bringing down a Tory government so that Corbyn and McDonnell can run the country?
Give over!
Something will break the cycle.
I think there is a consensus in Parliament to force May to bring her deal to the house and to vote it down. That will happen or if she refuses then yes I see the ERG siding with all other parties to bring forward a no confidence vote.
So I think it more likely that she puts forward her plan it gets voted down. At the same time a motion for a second ref gets supported (not by the ERG or DUP but enough tory rebels and labour / all other parties). She either accepts it and does it or resigns. If she resigns than we are in a mess and at that point a Unity government could be formed avoiding the need to go through a Conservative party leadsership contest. Someone would nee dto front it up and I suspect it would be a moderate conservative working with all other parties. Formed with one objective - delay / withdraw A50, set up second ref or GE and then disband. Either way we would have a GE before the end of 2019. Then there would be fireworks...