Gareth Barry Conlon
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 5 Sep 2014
- Messages
- 14,704
Precisely, all of these polls that predict a complete collapse of the Tory vote necessarily have Reform getting between 11-15%. My opinion is that the slaughter might not be quite so severe, because smaller parties tend to be overrepresented in polling so it wouldn't surprise me if Reform only managed about 8%.
So anything that can actually crystallise that higher vote share into reality would be much welcomed. It could be the difference between "bad", and "Lib Dems are now the opposition". We can dream...
Agree, the polling for the Greens tends to slowly rise to over 5% at times outside an election cycle but when it comes to the crunch they tend to get circa 3%.
I have no idea what the beef is with Tice and Farage but they clearly don't like each other. Is Farage done with Reform but has no choice but to help them as the gammon party de jeur?It may come to pass. Maybe this is Farage trying to obliterate the Tories, before offering to become their leader for the next election.
Farage does things for himself only.