whp.blue said:
Prestwich_Blue said:
The Blair government didn't.
A fine example of a Conservative light Government
True, but the Blair Government could be seen as a causal factor in the rise of the SNP.
The polls in Scotland by those voting for the SNP are saying that they feel that they are the only representation they have ideologically. Scotland is a left socialist country and England is a right leaning conservative country. The reinvention of Labour in the early/mid 90s into a more centrist party did increase their competitiveness in England but also had the problem of alienating those on the left.
Essentially though New Labour took for granted the votes of Scotland in their calculations or thought that as a country it would move more centrist over time. The polls since 1997 seem to show that Scotland will only move centrist if they are pulled in that way by a Labour leader that they support - Blair was charismatic enough, Brown was one of their own. In 2015 Miliband isn't ideologically compatible with them, isn't charismatic enough to pull it off via charm and has real competition for votes from a proper left wing party who they trust to do as they say. The SNP delivered the referendum that they promised that they would AND they are politically where Scotland wants them to be. It would take an Obama level of charismatic leader to have overturned them. When Cleggamania was running wild in 2010, Scotland saw a left winger that was closer to them and many thought that Scotland would be the Lib Dem home ground from then on.
Unfortunately, the Lib Dems committed the exact same mistake as Blair did - they moved themselves more to the centre when they combined to form the coalition Government which again alienated Scots political position.
It's also why a Con-SNP coalition as some have suggested is suicide for the SNP to the point where they may as well just hand Labour the seats back now. Lab-SNP is the best outcome for the left as they are ideologically on the same page on many issues and the SNP will move Labour away from the centre and back towards its left wing roots. Unfortunately this will mean that they are competing with Labour on their own ground in any future election but they should see little loss if they were the ones who brought Labour away from the centrist positions it has attempted to occupy since 1995.
With UKIP splitting the Tory vote in many marginal seats, a formation of a Lib-Lab-SNP alliance should be seen as good and sensible politics for those parties to deal with the inevitable fall of UKIP and integration back into the Tories over the next 5-10 years