The Title Race - 2021/22

  • Thread starter Deleted member 81382
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Inter milan went from consistently being above 60% to win the title to 34% in the space of one week.

It is good reading, but it is just numbers. We were over 75% down as winning the games we dropped points in.

We are in a good position. Still need to win the crucial points.
Of course. If a team does better or worse than expected then the odds change and the less games left the more volatile the change.

Its just the same as the bookies…they don’t have to be correct all the time they just have to be better predictors than people who disagree with them the majority of the time.

Just before Sergio scored v QPR we were 98.5% not winning the PL two seconds later we were over 99% favourites.
 
They have to bring the game to us next Sunday, wonder if they will go with four up top to put pressure on Rodri? Pep knows you have to slow the game down and not get stretched against the dippers, keep it tight and they run out of ideas. In the last two seasons I can’t think of when they have knitted together 45 minutes of football against us, it’s always smash and grab with them.
 
We have two difficult away games left , Wolves who give very little away and West Ham who have already held us in the cup ,these to games will define our title chances , the Dipper game is huge but i think we will cancel each other out with two strong defences wouldnt be surprised with a 0-0 scoreline
The Dippers tougher games are at home , Spuds,Rags and Everton derby game and they will get decisions from the officials no doubt , if we draw the tough away games and the Dipper game we will end up on 91 points,meaning the Dippers have to win six of their last seven games after Sunday.
Sunday is the title decider.
 
They have to bring the game to us next Sunday, wonder if they will go with four up top to put pressure on Rodri? Pep knows you have to slow the game down and not get stretched against the dippers, keep it tight and they run out of ideas. In the last two seasons I can’t think of when they have knitted together 45 minutes of football against us, it’s always smash and grab with them.
A draw will do us just nicely.
 
A draw would be a good result but a win would kill their momentum.

We'd be 4 points ahead with 7 games left with arguably a kinder set of fixtures.

I hesitate to say it's a title decider but if we do win, I'd fancy us to see it through from there.
 
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