Too many variables this season, hard or even impossible to predict things.
It would be premature to write Liverpool off. Their start reminds me of our 20/21 season when we had many injuries and dropped a lot of points in the first 15 games. People were getting impatient with Pep and were pessimistic about the season, especially after the consecutive draws with United and WBA. Then we won 21 games in a row....
If Liverpool get going, they can win many games in a row too. It's not clear how deep their problems are. Are the injuries due to playing too many (difficult) games last season or rather due to having their most intensive pre-season under Klopp (according to Milner)? If it's the latter, then they may have more in the tank later in the season than most teams. So, it's too early to tell and predict. 78 pts may be enough to win the title. Or 85 or 90...My guess is that 83-85 pts will be enough, and we are likely to get 88-90.