SkyBlueFlux
Well-Known Member
That last sentence is like saying all games are equal, which just isn't true. They have a much more favourable run in, where we have a few top clubs still to play and to visit some grounds where you could say we've recently had mixed fortunes.
If we had their run in, I wouldn't put it past us winning every game (bar obviously Spurs away where we can't score for shit). Ours and Arsenal's fixtures look much trickier on paper.
That is somewhat balanced (and more) by them having to make up 9 points on us (6 if they win their game in hand) and 14 (11?) on arsenal. That's a lot of work for them to do just that and would take them going on the lengthy run I've just mentioned AND us to drop points most likely from the fixtures I've just mentioned.
I know it's an old cliché but we've became good during run ins to taking it one game at a time. Best Palace away this weekend and it's one banana skin fixture off the list, here's hoping.
You have to remember their GD is awful though so it’s more like +7 on us and +12 on Arsenal after the game in hand.
I can’t see them being perfect in their last 13 games, even if they had a great run and dropped points in only one or two games that’s 14-18 points Arsenal would have to drop, basically losing half their remaining games. They could draw 7 out of 12 and only drop 14.
The Rags might catch us because all it would take is a freak run of 2-3 games which is in the realm of statistical possibility. They are not catching Arsenal though.