The Title Race 2022/23

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SkyBlueFlux said:
Thought I would refresh this view to try and ease the sense of impending doom.

There's no two ways about it, Arsenal's last 9 games are tough. The average position of their remaining five away game opponents is 8.4. Ours is 13.8. And that isn't considering that they have to go to Anfield, the third hardest stadium in the league to go to. In fact if you only look at the home form table, the average position of those away games is roughly 7th. Would you like to play Brentford away 5 times in a row before the end of the year? Because that's roughly equivalent to what Arsenal have to do. This is the reason why the 538 model is still saying it's too close to call.

They don't really have many gimmes at home either. You'd expect them to ease past Southampton but Wolves are a tricky team and Chelsea have quality in their ranks despite their terrible form.

We obviously have tricky games to come, mostly at home, a place where we have dropped fewer points than anybody else this season.

I think this is going to be really close but one thing I know for sure is that if Arsenal navigate these fixtures and win it'll be because they are worthy winners.


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I can’t see anything but a win against Newcastle ;)
 
gordondaviesmoustache said:
Think there’s a good chance we’ll win every league game between now and the end of the season, and if we do, and Arsenal still win the league, then they’ll completely deserve it - and it will, imo, rank alongside our achievement in 2018/19.

It would be an incredible achievement and fair fucks to them if they do it. It would in no way diminish this team if that was how it played out. There is absolutely no shame in getting over 90 points and not winning the league. People pointing to Forest and Villa away this season palpably soon forget Palace at home and Leicester away in 2018/19. It’s normal to not win games that you should over the course of a season. To suggest otherwise fails to grasp the nature of a competitive league played over nine months.

And if that were to happen, I’d genuinely feel privileged to have experienced it. You can’t win every season, but better to lose it heroically than with a whimper. For me, if we lost the league like that and won the other two, then it would still represent an amazing season.

Once again we are approaching the business end still involved on multiple fronts and our season fascinatingly poised.

What a privilege it’s been to be a City fan this last dozen years; and these last half dozen in particular.

It really has been beyond my wildest dreams - and I’m sure that of every Blues of my vintage.
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Well said gdm, I'm not sure you have a large enough sense of entitlement for a 'winning mentality' though. I'm actually starting to doubt you are a rag after all;-)
 
BrianW said:
Every time we've won the title, including in 1968, I've been convinced we were going to win long before the season ended. This time, for whatever reason, I haven't felt that confidence.

I thought Arsenal might fall apart, and they haven't. It isn't settled yet. City are an absolutely fantastic team, as yesterday demonstrated to anyone who doubted it, and I'm pretty sure we won't lose many more this season. But will it be enough?

I don't know. The consolation is that I don't have the visceral hatred for Arsenal that I have for the Rags and Scousepool, so I can cope if they win it. I'll even be gracious enough to say that if they get more points than City over 38 games, they deserve it. Fair play.
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Totally agree, just a shame if the rags get to keep the 'three in a row trophy'.
 
whipper said:
I think it's going to the last game of the season, with goal difference deciding it.
Will be great for the PL, but not sure my heart could cope with it.
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ali benarbia's studs said:
That s all of us brother ;)
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Nah, even that we've seen before. On the other hand, I could really do with not going 2-1 down and still being at that point going into injury time… Seen that once, and it's enough.
 
SkyBlueFlux said:
Thought I would refresh this view to try and ease the sense of impending doom.

There's no two ways about it, Arsenal's last 9 games are tough. The average position of their remaining five away game opponents is 8.4. Ours is 12.2. And that isn't considering that they have to go to Anfield, the third hardest stadium in the league to go to. In fact if you only look at the home form table, the average position of those away games is roughly 7th. Would you like to play Brentford away 5 times in a row before the end of the year? Because that's roughly equivalent to what Arsenal have to do. This is the reason why the 538 model is still saying it's too close to call.

They don't really have many gimmes at home either. You'd expect them to ease past Southampton but Wolves are a tricky team and Chelsea have quality in their ranks despite their terrible form.

We obviously have tricky games to come, many at home, a place where we have dropped fewer points than anybody else this season.

I think this is going to be really close but one thing I know for sure is that if Arsenal navigate these fixtures and win it'll be because they are worthy winners.

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Statto! Statto! Statto!

1680463025429.jpeg

Keep up the good work pal!
 
Lovebitesandeveryfing said:
Nah, even that we've seen before. On the other hand, I could really do with not going 2-1 down and still being at that point going into injury time… Seen that once, and it's enough.
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If I imagine real hard I can go back to that experience. Last 20 mins on my knees watching through the gaps of my fingers. Sky were talking horrid shite and I could feel a cardiac arrest coming on. When Aguero scored I was lost in just trying not to freak out. It stole the moment and the next 48hours afterwards are a complete blur.
 
dickie davies said:
Remaining fixtures

Liverpool A
West ham A
Southampton H
City A
Chelsea H
Newcastle A
Brighton H
Forest A
Wolves H

Ours are

Southampton A
Leicester H
Arsenal H
Fulham A
West ham H
Leeds H
Everton A
Chelsea H
Brentford A
And I think it's Brighton at home to fit in

The only game of ours that really concerns me is that final game at Brentford, whereas I really can see Arsenal dropping nine points or more in draws and a couple of defeats
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Brighton is away
 
Liverpool could really do us a favour next week.

For all their disasters this season, they still have the 3rd best home record in the league and have only lost once.

Arsenal were very nervy yesterday until they got gifted the penalty by Leeds.

I still think we'll win the title, but if we could make that gap 5 points with a game in hand and the head to head match to come, I'd be feeling a lot more confident.
 
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