Despite generally being confident that City will use the winter to put together a run of wins and in doing so increase the pressure on everyone else - there is still a bit of me that knows we cant get away with it every year. At some point we will not be good enough to maintain the standards we have become used to and someone else will take advantage. So, I'm wary of the over confidence that seems to be creeping on here - just because we have done it before doesn't mean that we can do it again. Yet, this is a wonderful group of players - even though some are learning Pep's ways, and some are even learning the ways of the Premier League - I can see enough to suggest they can put a good run together - will it be enough, I don't know - but as ever it will be fun & interesting to watch!
It's about probabilities. Nothing is set in stone. That we went on a run in previous seasons does not guarantee it will happen again. We are likely to lose a close title race in the future. But we are favourites for a reason. Of course, that we are favourites guarantees nothing. It means only that we are more likely to win than the other contenders due to the quality and experience of the manager and the squad. Injuries, refereeing decisions, luck, etc. may change the probabilities. Can see some people throwing the towel if we lose at Anfield and are say 4-5 pts off the top. I think that if we are within 5 pts off the top after Anfield, we are likely to win, unless we have injuries to key players like Rodri and Haaland. Even if Liverpool and/or Arsenal look in great form in March and likely winners, things may change quickly in April and May. It's a funny old game.