The Title Race - 2024/25

How many points to win the league?


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I'm attempting to keep buoyant despite the poor run. I just cannot get over this team being out of the title race on Dec 1st though as some are stating, and I'm not saying they're wrong either. Surely we should be performing better than this, even with our issues within the squad.
We were out of the title race on 10th November in 2019-20 after losing 3-1 to Liverpool, and we had a much better team back then.

We scored a shit load of goals that season but lost 9 PL games (including Wolves h+a and Utd h+a… and remember how bad we were at Norwich away early in that season?), and at no point in the season did we look like we’d claw back that gap.

The come down from winning two PL titles in a row at 100 and 98 points, plus a domestic quadruple, was huge. Same as now, we look like we’re on a massive come down from the intensity of four PL titles in a row, plus a quintuple. Once you lose that intensity, it’s not easy to just get back, it takes time and probably a group of new players. Throwing an unprecedented injury crisis n’all (plus poor recruitment) and it’s the [im]perfect storm.
 
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I am looking foreward to sky promoting "The Battle Of The Bottlers" between the Dippers & the Tarquins as both clubs try to give each other the Title by dropping points towards the end of the season & we finally get our shit together & nip in last minute to pip them both by a point last game of the season with a controversial last minute goal, well thats what I am hoping for anyway :-)
That’s the spirit, now we’re talking!!!!
 
Our slump has been awful, but 2 were in UCL and 1 in Carabao.
Our form is dire, but if we did beat Forest & United at home, and beat Palace and Villa away in the next 4, we'd actually be 1 point ahead of what we had after 17 games last year, and we finished as champions..
That's mental.
Hard to see us winning any game, let alone all 4, but the current drama would look very different if we were actually ahead of last year's points total.
 
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Our slump has been awful, but 2 were in UCL and 1 in Carabao.
Our form is dire, but if we did beat Forest & United at home, and beat Palace and Villa away in the next 4, we'd actually be 1 point ahead of what we had after 17 games last year, and we finished as champions..
That's mental.
Hard to see us winning any game, let alone all 4, but the current drama would look very different if we were actually ahead of last year's points total.
Bizarrely it started with that game against Spurs that Pep supposedly wasn’t that interested in…..and then he played Stones, Ake and Dias in that game and we haven’t seen all three of them in the same game since. It was that mistake that started the ball rolling. Hindsight and all that but either go for the win fully or don’t bother at all.
 
Right now, Liverpool don't look like they will drop many points. They are on a good run. That said, the season ends in May and that is 6 months away. A lot can happen in this period of time. Liverpool could implode. It is possible. An injury to VVD or Salah. Who knows? We all base our predictions for the season based on recent form, but form changes over the season. So, in effect everyone is guessing Liverpool will win because of their recent form. 25 games to go. They also have a track record of bottling it. Their early luck will run out.
 
Right now, Liverpool don't look like they will drop many points. They are on a good run. That said, the season ends in May and that is 6 months away. A lot can happen in this period of time. Liverpool could implode. It is possible. An injury to VVD or Salah. Who knows? We all base our predictions for the season based on recent form, but form changes over the season. So, in effect everyone is guessing Liverpool will win because of their recent form. 25 games to go. They also have a track record of bottling it. Their early luck will run out.
I'm in agreement with more or less all of this. Will they sustain this form over the season, possible but unlikely. If they can, then fair do's. A long winning run from us looks improbable at this stage though. It's a tall order just to close this gap, let alone anything else. But we need to give ourselves a chance whilst even a glimmer of hope exists. That starts with putting the past month behind us, and getting that run going. Some of those other teams above us will hopefully put pressure on them as well over the winter months.
 
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