UEFA FFP investigation - CAS decision to be announced Monday, 13th July 9.30am BST

What do you think will be the outcome of the CAS hearing?

  • Two-year ban upheld

    Votes: 197 13.1%
  • Ban reduced to one year

    Votes: 422 28.2%
  • Ban overturned and City exonerated

    Votes: 815 54.4%
  • Other

    Votes: 65 4.3%

  • Total voters
    1,499
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What the Panel simply won't be saying...

"The Panel finds that the [MCFC] did mislead and conceal critical information in FFP submissions to UEFA between 2012 and 2017 in breach of multiple Articles of the Rules of the CFCB over many years. The Panel finds that Manchester City had no grounds to insinuate that the Investigatory and Adjudicatory Chambers were acting in bad faith. Although this is the second breach of the FFP rules and notwithstanding the concealment and falsified submissions to UEFA over many years, the Panel has decided that the sanctions decided by the Adjudicatory Chamber were disproportionate and that Manchester City should be given a further chance (a third chance) by the imposition of a suspended sentence of a 1 year ban from European competition that it would otherwise be eligible for."
Given the possible translation issues in the tweet from Alvarez couldn't a more likely outcome be a "suspension or postponement of the decision" ie CAS kick it back to UEFA and City on the basis of weak evidence, confusion over the accounts. Some sort of "not proven" verdict. That gives UEFA their possible get out. They could wait six months, after Covid calms down, and release a statement saying: "No further action."
 
Given the possible translation issues in the tweet from Alvarez couldn't a more likely outcome be a "suspension or postponement of the decision" ie CAS kick it back to UEFA and City on the basis of weak evidence, confusion over the accounts. Some sort of "not proven" verdict. That gives UEFA their possible get out. They could wait six months, after Covid calms down, and release a statement saying: "No further action."

Not really. CAS will make a decision. CAS will only kick it back to UEFA if that is what City request and City won't request that. If its not proven, City will win and CAS will annul the AC decision. This idea the sanction will be suspended or in some way quietly buried is wholly unrealistic.
 
When you step back from this whole FFP creation and think of its origins it does make you laugh.
In short order British clubs Leeds, Luton, Portsmouth and Rangers went bust, in each case it was due to unserviceable debt, not one club or any since that I am aware of have gone bust down to owner over investment.
The whole alleged premise of FFP was to stop clubs over extending and going bust. The narrative was quickly changed by shithouses like Platini, Wenger and mates to “financial doping” which in a purely business sense is ridiculous, how the fuck do you start or grow a business without increasing financial investment? But the very clever “doping” bit has gained enormous traction because it’s emotive, it implies cheating. Now many years down the line City who have an enormously successful business, one that has brought jobs and regeneration and is now self financing continue to be smeared, harassed and sanctioned on the basis of a completely bogus creation that ignores massive debts and unethical practices for narrow self interest.

deep down I think CAS will uphold the UEFA decision for political reasons, City should then go to war with UEFA and drag the fuckers through every court for the next decade, if the shithouses in this country want some action or continue their nasty agenda drag them c*nts through the courts as well.
 
Not really. CAS will make a decision. CAS will only kick it back to UEFA if that is what City request and City won't request that. If its not proven, City will win and CAS will annul the AC decision. This idea the sanction will be suspended or in some way quietly buried is wholly unrealistic.
In your opinion, given your experience how do you think UEFA would have presented their case to CAS (how would you have with the evidence available in public?)

Feel it would be good to see from the UEFA perspective considering we believe they have so many hurdles to jump.
 
Not really. CAS will make a decision. CAS will only kick it back to UEFA if that is what City request and City won't request that. If its not proven, City will win and CAS will annul the AC decision. This idea the sanction will be suspended or in some way quietly buried is wholly unrealistic.
Ok so given what an earlier poster has said then it's about the translation. Alvarez is a reliable source on anything at City. I read this as the players have been told (albeit with no details) that City are confident of success (ie overturning the decision). Despite what some have said I am certain that Pep will have been given detailed feedback from Khaldoo/Soriano on the CAS hearing and the players will have been given a very limited and filtered version of what Pep knows. With so many contracts and possible transfers on the go it is vital to keep everyone on board. I think the Alvarez tweet is another positive sign..but I am an optimist.
 
In your opinion, given your experience how do you think UEFA would have presented their case to CAS (how would you have with the evidence available in public?)

Feel it would be good to see from the UEFA perspective considering we believe they have so many hurdles to jump.

I have set it out previously but I suspect its similar to how they set out their case in PAE (https://arbitrationlaw.com/sites/default/files/free_pdfs/3233.pdf)

"UEFA affirms that the annual financial statements of the Appellant did not contain the total amounts ...the audited financial statements are also inaccurate”. Accordingly, the annual financial statements of the Appellant do not truly represent the situation which amounts to a breach of Article 47 of the CL&FFP Regulations."

UEFA argued the accounts were inaccurate or false. They will have to do the same in City IMO.
 
Ok so given what an earlier poster has said then it's about the translation. Alvarez is a reliable source on anything at City. I read this as the players have been told (albeit with no details) that City are confident of success (ie overturning the decision). Despite what some have said I am certain that Pep will have been given detailed feedback from Khaldoo/Soriano on the CAS hearing and the players will have been given a very limited and filtered version of what Pep knows. With so many contracts and possible transfers on the go it is vital to keep everyone on board. I think the Alvarez tweet is another positive sign..but I am an optimist.
It will be translation. The comfort from the club to Aguero (Alvarez is reliable only in respect of what Sergio has told him) probably is a generic or old line. I wouldn't read much into it save that City were confident before CAS.
 
It will be translation. The comfort from the club to Aguero (Alvarez is reliable only in respect of what Sergio has told him) probably is a generic or old line. I wouldn't read much into it save that City were confident before CAS.
It could be an old line but I am sure feedback will have trickled back to the troops since the hearing and Alvarez is a good operator. Let's wait and see, but I remain confident.
 
It will be translation. The comfort from the club to Aguero (Alvarez is reliable only in respect of what Sergio has told him) probably is a generic or old line. I wouldn't read much into it save that City were confident before CAS.

Not sure I agree with you on the timings there.

I doubt Alvarez will be passing off weeks old info - predating CAS - from Sergio as some form of an update.

I'm pretty sure this will be a post-CAS statement of positivity from inside the club - much like Ric and TH have posted recently. Nothing more than that in terms of specific insight into the outcome, but it does serve to underline the prevailing mood at the Club following the hearing.
 
Not really. CAS will make a decision. CAS will only kick it back to UEFA if that is what City request and City won't request that. If its not proven, City will win and CAS will annul the AC decision. This idea the sanction will be suspended or in some way quietly buried is wholly unrealistic.

Is it possible we get the main decision kicked out and separately receive a suspended 12 month ban for non cooperation?
 
It will be translation. The comfort from the club to Aguero (Alvarez is reliable only in respect of what Sergio has told him) probably is a generic or old line. I wouldn't read much into it save that City were confident before CAS.

Would our legal team have undertaken a debrief with senior execs post the hearing - do you think? or do they just leave it until there’s a decision. Just wondering where the mood of optimism inside the club is coming from and whether it’s based on anything more than a few snippets or if it’s based on a forensic and informed strategic assessment of the hearing.
 
Ok so given what an earlier poster has said then it's about the translation. Alvarez is a reliable source on anything at City. I read this as the players have been told (albeit with no details) that City are confident of success (ie overturning the decision). Despite what some have said I am certain that Pep will have been given detailed feedback from Khaldoo/Soriano on the CAS hearing and the players will have been given a very limited and filtered version of what Pep knows. With so many contracts and possible transfers on the go it is vital to keep everyone on board. I think the Alvarez tweet is another positive sign..but I am an optimist.

I don't believe the premise of the Alvarez tweet, it had plenty of caveat and just the right amount of shot-to-nothing.

I'd also point to the fact that if he had tweeted this two months ago, when Sergio was a guest of Khaldoon and the top boss in Abu Dhabi, just days after the AC ban, I'd be much more swayed towards believing it?
 
Would our legal team have undertaken a debrief with senior execs post the hearing - do you think? or do they just leave it until there’s a decision. Just wondering where the mood of optimism inside the club is coming from and whether it’s based on anything more than a few snippets or if it’s based on a forensic and informed strategic assessment of the hearing.
Yes they would have debriefed.
 
Would our legal team have undertaken a debrief with senior execs post the hearing - do you think? or do they just leave it until there’s a decision. Just wondering where the mood of optimism inside the club is coming from and whether it’s based on anything more than a few snippets or if it’s based on a forensic and informed strategic assessment of the hearing.
There will definitely have been a briefing from our lawers during and after the case to the key senior managers from CFG and City. That would have included discussions about how to manage the information internally.
 
Not sure I agree with you on the timings there.

I doubt Alvarez will be passing off weeks old info - predating CAS - from Sergio as some form of an update.

I'm pretty sure this will be a post-CAS statement of positivity from inside the club - much like Ric and TH have posted recently. Nothing more than that in terms of specific insight into the outcome, but it does serve to underline the prevailing mood at the Club following the hearing.
I said generic (some kind of staff comms) or old. The generic one could have been post CAS but I still wouldn't weight it very highly
 
Project, would CAS have also asked how UEFA and the AC arrived at their figure of a £30m fine?

Nobody seems to have questioned what their calculation/justification was?

I suppose I am asking in terms of whether we can show any type of motive/bias on that score?
 
What the Panel simply won't be saying...

"The Panel finds that the [MCFC] did mislead and conceal critical information in FFP submissions to UEFA between 2012 and 2017 in breach of multiple Articles of the Rules of the CFCB over many years. The Panel finds that Manchester City had no grounds to insinuate that the Investigatory and Adjudicatory Chambers were acting in bad faith. Although this is the second breach of the FFP rules and notwithstanding the concealment and falsified submissions to UEFA over many years, the Panel has decided that the sanctions decided by the Adjudicatory Chamber were disproportionate and that Manchester City should be given a further chance (a third chance) by the imposition of a suspended sentence of a 1 year ban from European competition that it would otherwise be eligible for."
Here's something else CAS won't be saying but ought to :
Uefa is not fit to regulate the game. It has been captured by G14 and makes decisions favourable to them. G14 have twisted Uefa round their little finger, both in terms of FFP and the format of their competitions. We are astonished at the difference in treatment between Manchester City and especially PSG and Liverpool who failed FFP with impunity. Yves Leterme is not fit to chair the IC and he would be better employed as a lickspittle to Bayern.
Members of the executive committee should not have been employed by clubs for five years before standing for election.
Until Uefa put their house in order, they are unlikely to get a sympathetic hearing from this court.
Finally, we do not wish ever again to be tendered as serious evidence, extracts from newspapers containing facsimile copies of emails, heavily redacted.
 
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