US & Israel attack Iran

Secondly they have caught Israel and the US lagging 5 years behind drone warfare but that’s very temporary. Ukraine will sell their anti drone drones to anyone and the US MIC will go into overdrive to create their own and Irans ability to retaliate against another war will be pretty much gone in 2 years.
For me there's a huge question mark over whether the US MIC is actually capable of this. I don't mean in terms of having the technology to do so but rather the mindset. They have a habit of overspeccing and overengineering, I'd be concerned that they end up with more drones that cost millions and look amazing in theory but aren't sustainable against large volumes of drones that only cost thousands.
 
For me there's a huge question mark over whether the US MIC is actually capable of this. I don't mean in terms of having the technology to do so but rather the mindset. They have a habit of overspeccing and overengineering, I'd be concerned that they end up with more drones that cost millions and look amazing in theory but aren't sustainable against large volumes of drones that only cost thousands.

If Ukraine can do it in 2/3 years than the US MIC can certainly do it and as much as they’d love to overdesign and charge 100x for the same thing, Ukraine’s battlefield proven version being out there on the market would presumably stop them from being able to get away with doing that to quite the same extent as normal.

The Made in America version might cost 10x the Ukrainian one but that’s what a 1 trillion dollar defense budget is for.
 
Worth remembering Trump gave Putin a 10 day ultimatum to stop the Ukraine war last July.
True, his bluster is legend. However, the circumstances are not quite comparable, and this situation is made all the more delicate by the apparent independence Israel enjoys in the pursuit of its own objectives. One false move in the coming days and it could all go mammaries heavenwards.
 
It’s disproportional. Closing the Strait is a last ditch defence measure, but it is not really an offensive measure. The US would not vacate their bases because Iran ‘threatened’ them with Strait closure. Everyone would push against this, even Iran friendly countries. An open Strait benefits everyone including Iran.

It would also push countries to start looking at alternative solutions to the Strait thereby removing Iran’s leverage in future. This may happen anyway tbh.
Re last para similar to finding new trade partners when tariffs are unilaterally imposed.
 

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