SebastianBlue
President, International Julian Alvarez Fan Club
- Joined
- 25 Jul 2009
- Messages
- 57,537
Have heard almost 100 million people have voted already. Poll says 25% of black males voted for Trump. Black women, however, seem to be remaining loyal to the Democrats.
Evidence seems that turnout is lower amongst minorities. If Trump wins 15% of the black vote and turnout is projected to be lower than 2020 amongst minorities, Harris cannot win.
It’s a big if though…
Perhaps I wasn’t clear. If the data is correct that a certain demographics turnout is down, then it matters less if we look at turnout overall.
This is because the black vote is vitally import to the Dems model. Although black people are about 13% of the vote the Dems are relying on turnout and about 90% loyalty in key places like Atlanta, Detroit, Philadelphia, Milwaukee and sections of North Carolina that has a larger black populace…..
From where are you getting these statistics?