US Politics Thread

SWP's back said:
I maintained it was always bollocks at any rate but interesting to see the pump and dump has been pumped and dumped.

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I'd read that a single bettor had placed large bets on Trump and that this moved the odds.

When the odds were so high in favor of Trump I wondered if there was free money to be made given certain assumptions. Namely that the price of Truth Social (i.e., of the Trump Media and Technology Group stock) was strongly linked to the election outcome. Might it have been possible to bet that Harris won the election while simultaneously hedging by buying futures in TMTG? Given enough disparity between TMTG stock price and betting markets... well, one wonders.
 
SWP's back said:
9/5 at one stage but only about £50 at that. Most are around 6/4 and a couple at evens from ages ago. Now in for just under a grand. Wish I’d signed up to Polymarket when they had her at 35% chance but didn’t want to give Thiel any of my money.
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Wish I'd took 1/2 on the Popular Vote odds 3 days ago. It's now 1/4.

Seems there's nothing in it now between the pair of them. I've managed to get some on this bet, Which doesn't look bad. That 5/1 has gone now.

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Regular if isolated outbreaks of violence continue to occur. A guy in court yesterday was charged with wielding a machete in an attempt to intimidate Democratic voters. Third world stuff. A warning of what might happen when Trump loses?
 
If you bet on Harris to win, but also the double of Trump to win but with Harris winning the popular vote that will cover the bet.
 
There are reports of how effective the Democratic effort on the ground is. Tens of thousands of doors have been knocked on and the Democratic vote is coming out to play.
Moreover there is poll evidence that late deciders are heavily favouring Harris. Trump is indeed talking himself to defeat.
Keep it up. Vote Blue.
 
Genuinely don't even think it'll be that close. The best shot the Republicans have is to claim the election is stolen and refuse to certify the results (which I'm sure they're going to try)
 
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