US Politics Thread

What were the best odds you got?
I got 6/4 a couple of days ago.
9/5 at one stage but only about £50 at that. Most are around 6/4 and a couple at evens from ages ago. Now in for just under a grand. Wish I’d signed up to Polymarket when they had her at 35% chance but didn’t want to give Thiel any of my money.
 
I liked that, not because I think it's going to happen but because it's something different. Well done.
I said the same when our neighbour popped over for a drink at lunch and he stood on the table and took a shit. I applauded him for his originality as the vast majority of our lunch time guests do not usually do that. It was something different.
 
I know, it’s pretty obvious to everyone, I hope it’s the left kicking off, looks like it’s going to be that way.

FWIW I think Trump will win and be a disaster, but also think it’s a no win situation. I think he’s going to isolate the US economically, and I foresee a lack of intervention in foreign tensions (outside of Israel) causing a lot more drama (and I think he’ll be right in doing so).

He’ll withdraw support for Ukraine, and negotiate a peace deal where everything bar Crimea is handed back, under the conditions of NATO being disbanded and Ukraine joining the EU, probably with some sort of Russian peace keepers in the Donbas.

BRICs membership will continue to grow and US government spending will be halved; these will offset each other as far as the dollar is concerned with it slightly weakening.

I think this will be better for the US, because it’s such a big country and so self sufficient I think it’ll strengthen internally but become a much smaller player internationally, with China taking up the difference, who, I believe, will be a much more responsible power.
Hang on, you actually think he'll be able to force NATO to disband?

Good god.
 
9/5 at one stage but only about £50 at that. Most are around 6/4 and a couple at evens from ages ago. Now in for just under a grand. Wish I’d signed up to Polymarket when they had her at 35% chance but didn’t want to give Thiel any of my money.
I got burnt with 50p on Biden so didn't go back. But does seem a clear attempt to influence the market.
 
You'd only have to look at his address to congress a few months ago to see that Netanyahu has significant support amongst Republicans in congress. It was standing ovation after standing ovation, most Democrats boycotted the address.
 

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