You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an alternative browser.
You should upgrade or use an alternative browser.
US Politics Thread
- Thread starter Ric
- Start date
The Future’s Blue!
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 17 Dec 2019
- Messages
- 10,701
- Team supported
- City
Overall, have we seen anything showing Harris in the lead? Most polls and betting have Trump in front but who can trust these markets.
He'll declare victory early againGenuinely don't even think it'll be that close. The best shot the Republicans have is to claim the election is stolen and refuse to certify the results (which I'm sure they're going to try)
He'll use the deliberately skewed betting odds and polls to cry foul
Sunrise, sunset
BlueHammer85
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 13 Oct 2010
- Messages
- 36,440
If I stay up very late on Tuesday night will we have a rough idea ? Or will this drag on and on.
Gareth Barry Conlon
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 5 Sep 2014
- Messages
- 14,609
We have actual vote data from early voting. Not who they have voted for but you have the details re male / female and if they are registered dem or gop.Overall, have we seen anything showing Harris in the lead? Most polls and betting have Trump in front but who can trust these markets.
The data confirms high turnout vs 2020 and more women are voting. Dems are out voting gop but that is a consistent trend with the early vote. The gop vote, whilst behind, is actually up on prior years. However, given the push by the Harris campaign to target female gop voters (the Hayley vote, the circa 20% of GOP registered voters that backed Hayley or someone else in the primary) It's plausible that many of these votes are Harris votes.
Last edited:
MillionMilesAway
Well-Known Member
If I stay up very late on Tuesday night will we have a rough idea ? Or will this drag on and on.
Seems very unlikely unless the voting is much more one-sided than anticipated.
Last time, it took until the Saturday before it was clear.
Voting in somewhere like Nevada won't close until about 1 am UK time.
Gareth Barry Conlon
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 5 Sep 2014
- Messages
- 14,609
You will get the overall vibes from the various states as it comes in but 40ish of the 50 are going to go with prior form.If I stay up very late on Tuesday night will we have a rough idea ? Or will this drag on and on.
The winner won't be known until someone gets 270 and that won't be on the night. It might not even be the next day as the gop will try to delay.
Unless there is a huge swing...
MillionMilesAway
Well-Known Member
Agent Orange is off... "election must be decided by 7, 8, 9 o'clock Toosday night".
The fire is laid, and he's going to try to light it and hope it burns, no question about that.
The fire is laid, and he's going to try to light it and hope it burns, no question about that.