US Presidential Race 2016

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I can't see how the African American vote is up, no chance. Latino may well be due to Trumps comments. Black people came out in huge numbers for Obama, the same number won't come out for Clinton.

Latino vote is way up. African American down from historic highs under Obama. Full Stop.
 
Iowa is in a category along with Georgia & Arizona that he was more likely than not to win. If he lost there, he'd be in big trouble.
Looks like democrat wins in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Nevada and Florida so he's in big trouble anyway, she only needs one of those.
 
Why are any of you lot believing anything that is on any of the media whatsoever? Surely by now people realise how unreliable polls etc are?

In presidential elections the polls are pretty spot on. Its not one poll. It is many polls in many states. If the overall average is wrong that doesn't necessarily have any affect. The polling in Florida has to be wrong. The polling in Ohio has to be wrong. The polling in North Carolina has to be wrong. It is easy for one poll to be wrong, but much more unlikely that hundreds of polls are all wrong.
 
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