I'd be amazed if it didn't boil down to the pattern of the last month being repeated several times over.
Official economic reports will be better than expected.
We're on the up, at last!
Then in retrospect, much more quietly, they'll be downgraded. Bad news.
But don't worry, because that only lowers the bar for the next one....
And next month, we'll be on the up, at last!
Over and over.
Then the trend will be broken. And we'll have two ups in a row, with no downgrade. This will either be around the budget, or the autumn statement. Depends on general outlook, and what they can pull together that 6 weeks.
But it will coincide with one of those two dates. And then we'll get a tax cut or two, and the almost immediate announcement of the election.
Nailed on, this is what the big effort is behind the scenes. Tbh... it's pretty funny.