I had a look at the top 6 mini league on the basis that whoever tops that will in all probability win the title this year. At halfway, the position was:
Dippers Pl 5 W 3 D 2 L 0 Points 11
Chavs pl 5 W 3 D 0 L 2 Points 9
City pl 5 W 2 D 0 L 3 Points 6
Arse pl 5 W 1 D 2 L 2 Points 5
Manure pl 5 W 1 D 2 L 2 Points 5
Spuds pl 5 W 1 D 2 L 2 Points 5
Obviously, Spuds have since beaten Chelsea to move into 3rd spot in that table. Liverpool, City and Spurs each have 3 of the 5 top 6 games at home in the second half of the season. The timing of the remaining top 6 games is also quite interesting, the ideal being to have as easy a run in against the teams outside the top 6. Liverpool will have completed all fixtures against top 6 opposition by March 18th, City by April 5th, Chelsea April 15th, Arsenal 6th May, Tottenham and Manu 13th May.
So what does all that tell us?
City need to improve their record against top 6 in second half of the season to be credible challengers. We really do need to beat Liverpool at home, Chelsea away and take maximum points from our home games against Spuds and ManU. Also we need to be more clinical and stop dropping points at home against other teams. If we achieved that then I do think we would be in the mix. Chelsea will win if they can maintain their consistency against teams outside the top 6 and at least maintain their first half season form against top 6 teams.
If Liverpool are close to the top following their game against us on 18th March they will be very difficult to stop as they have by some way the longest and most comfortable run in. Man U, Spurs and Arsenal all play each other in the last month so will drop points.
Could well turn out to be the most competitive Premier league in many years if not ever.