Tim of the Oak
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 29 Dec 2012
- Messages
- 18,151
its not people wanting to see a spike, its people expecting to see a spike and if there was one it's a good guage for length of time between an event and visual evidence in the stats.
Looking at the NHS england data ( including the 5 days of "subject to change" so ignore the drop at the end ) we see an increase in deaths at the end of May / start of June, Id say thats the "spike" for VE day, just over 3 weeks post event. but also worth noting, that is also the weekend the gov started to losen lockdown. so is it VE day or Lockdown losening?
OK Grunge, I’ve made a mistake and accept the people referring to a VE Day spike were well intentioned.
Like you say a think there have been a few factors involved at different times when compliance has wavered or the lockdown has been loosened. This might include Cummings, VE Day, possibly Eid etc.
I am hoping that today’s figures show an improvement on yesterday (eg cases to testing) and a downward trend on Wednesdays.