Coronavirus (2021) thread

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blue b4 the moon said:
The date on the calculator continues to fall slightly (moved 3 days closer in the last week into March for me) obviously it's only an indication however whoever has set the parameters doesn't see any issues with supply.

www.omnicalculator.com

Vaccine Queue Calculator for England

The vaccine queue calculator for England estimates where you are in the queue to get your COVID vaccine based on your age, health, and job.
www.omnicalculator.com www.omnicalculator.com
Click to expand...

Presumably it takes an average of vaccinations over the last week (or similar) and uses that to predict how far it takes. A very simple model.

I don't think they would know about any potential shortages, and probably wouldn't know how to build that factor into it.
 
blueparrot said:
That’s probably true, but I think maybe the pfizer supplies will be held back in case it’s more than 2 weeks, to make sure there is enough for second jabs that will be meeded in increasing numbers the next 2 -4 weeks as nearly all the December early January first doses were Pfizer and the 12 weeks will be up for them over the next few weeks.
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The postponement of second jabs started the second week of January. Wife had hers around the 6th but my daughter had hers cancelled for the 13th. I'd imagine she'll be in one of first roll out groups, unless of course they increase the amount above what they're administering at the moment. I think she said her work recently had a reminder for sometime in March.
 
Invisible Man's Bandage said:
The not receiving a vaccine within 28 days of a positive Covid test isn't advice but policy for everyone by the way. It's one of the questions I was asked when I had my first shot on Monday.
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Ah really? Didn’t realise that! The consultant advised dad not to have it to give him time to recover as he had “Covid Lung”, same as me. But makes sense to avoid the vaccine until fully recovered regardless of how it impacted you. Cheers.
 
Gaylord du Bois said:
The postponement of second jabs started the second week of January. Wife had hers around the 6th but my daughter had hers cancelled for the 13th. I'd imagine she'll be in one of first roll out groups, unless of course they increase the amount above what they're administering at the moment. I think she said her work recently had a reminder for sometime in March.
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My daughter got her first just before Christmas and had her second cancelled when she got back after New year, her second is now booked for 1st March. So about the same .
 
blueparrot said:
My daughter got her first just before Christmas and had her second cancelled when she got back after New year, her second is now booked for 1st March. So about the same .
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It'll be interesting to see how this pans out. At the beginning they were doing thousands of jabs per day. Now it's hundreds of thousands so at some point they'll have to be doing that same amount for seconds in a day whilst still administering firsts.
750-800k per day.
 
splinter said:
Hope this variant In moston and harpurhey doesn't spread elsewhere
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I think it's OK whilst we're in lockdown but in future this is where the risk is and we should therefore be putting a lot of resources into isolating and tracing these cases. I would like to know what the fraction is nationwide. We do sampling. We should be able to get a good idea.
 
Gaylord du Bois said:
It'll be interesting to see how this pans out. At the beginning they were doing thousands of jabs per day. Now it's hundreds of thousands so at some point they'll have to be doing that same amount for seconds in a day whilst still administering firsts.
750-800k per day.
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I know in my local area the plan is to open up another large hall for groups 5-9, slightly out of town but younger people can easily get to it. As far as I know the current vaccine centres will stay open presumable giving second doses to 1-4
I presume when Pfizer gets back on line and think the Moderna are due in a month or so, as long as they have the people to vaccinate and the vaccines there is no reason they can’t keep up the pace of first doses while doing the second doses for the first groups.
 
I have bought one of the kids a mobile bar in a an old Citroen H van - just applied for licenses to serve in one of the local parks over Easter weekend. Hoping to make hey on the outdoor drinking this summer.
 
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blueparrot said:
I know in my local area the plan is to open up another large hall for groups 5-9, slightly out of town but younger people can easily get to it. As far as I know the current vaccine centres will stay open presumable giving second doses to 1-4
I presume when Pfizer gets back on line and think the Moderna are due in a month or so, as long as they have the people to vaccinate and the vaccines there is no reason they can’t keep up the pace of first doses while doing the second doses for the first groups.
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We have the people to give the jabs, it’s supply that is the limiting rate factor. There are pharmacies that could be involved in the rolled out so there is untapped capacity.

We’ve done great so far and fingers crossed the number of jabs will increase with the 2nd doses. There is a reason that Moderna said Spring for starting U.K. deliveries and that is to give themselves flexibility between March and May.
 
Hope so
Marvin said:
I think it's OK whilst we're in lockdown but in future this is where the risk is and we should therefore be putting a lot of resources into isolating and tracing these cases. I would like to know what the fraction is nationwide. We do sampling. We should be able to get a good idea.
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Hope so it seems we make one step forward and then two steps back..just gets ya down
 
"Challenge trials" passed ethics clearance

www.theguardian.com

Up to 90 volunteers in UK to take part in pioneering Covid infection trial

Human challenge trial will monitor healthy 18- to 30-year-olds given virus to aid vaccine and therapy research
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com

As previously reported first step is to establish what dose of COVID is necessary to cause disease.

I think this is potentially very significant. You could imagine that subsequent trials might be a very good way to rapidly assess vaccine efficacy against variants, to speed delivery of modified vaccines, as you can directly measure effectiveness rather than wait for people to become infected in the community, so a trial maybe only needs 20 subjects rather than 20,000 to reach significance, and can be run very quickly.
 
Invisible Man's Bandage said:
The not receiving a vaccine within 28 days of a positive Covid test isn't advice but policy for everyone by the way. It's one of the questions I was asked when I had my first shot on Monday.
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My brother had his vaccination already booked stopped because of it a couple of weeks back. So it is definitely not just advice. They rebooked it for the 29th day. They send appointments to your GP so they can tell them things like that and allergies on your records.

My brother had his first one cancelled as it was Pfizer and he had an allergy that was counter indicated to this and he had to have the AZ jab and then the above one cancelled because he had to wait for the 28 days after last positive test. But he still got the third one booked on day 29 and the whole process from first offer to jab via three different bookings only took about 5 days.

They do seem very efficient. NHS experience of the annual flu jab drive will have us in a very good place compared to much of the world where this will be very much more complicated without national health care or experience of doing that in a coordinated way with millions every autumn.

Considering it is not mandatory and the idiots trying to put people off on social media the take up has been phenomenal too. I suspect one league table we might end up leading or close to the top at least.

And in reality quite possibly the only one that really matters.
 
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Boris, of course, deserves some praise for getting the vaccine drive right but I really hope that the woman who ran the procurement of vaccines programme last Spring and put us in this great position gets the recognition she deserves.

Without her foresight we would be scrabbling around like half the planet crawling towards herd immunity not racing there.

For all the errors of the past year this might be the one that saves Britain and she deserves the credit for how she quickly and effectively ordered what she did when it was all guesswork what if anything was going to work. She covered all the bases that left us in the best possible place.
 
Healdplace said:
Boris, of course, deserves some praise for getting the vaccine drive right but I really hope that the woman who ran the procurement of vaccines programme last Spring and put us in this great position gets the recognition she deserves.

Without her foresight we would be scrabbling around like half the planet crawling towards herd immunity not racing there.

For all the errors of the past year this might be the one that saves Britain and she deserves the credit for how she quickly and effectively ordered what she did when it was all guesswork what if anything was going to work. She covered all the bases that left us in the best possible place.
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Who is she ?
 
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