Coronavirus (2021) thread

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ayrshire_blue said:
It mentions that some of the children who were given the vaccine have cystic vibrosis. Perhaps children who have illnesses and would be classified as vulnerable would be one reason, secondary could be if it reduces transmission so less chance of spread to family etc and consequently less chance of mutations....I'm absolutely no expert here though so only guessing.
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Ah right would make sense then if that was the case.
 
Tim of the Oak said:
Hospitals are forecast to be providing their usual full range of services from August. Things are progressing / recovering but there is still plenty more to do. In addition, a surge is expected in people who didn't come forward during the lockdown who have undiagnosed conditions. The Government's plan / timetable factors in these sorts of things so hopefully we don't go into another lockdown later in the year.
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Good analysis, the sort we need to be hearing more of to squash this sense that it's all over. More than 8,000 Covid patients still, and those will need more intensive support than the average patient. But it's the catch-up of folk who've deferred vital treatment that's key now.
 
tomomcfc said:
I got booked in for a minor operation(cancelled twice last year) at Trafford General last week, that tells me things are moving in the right direction ,obviously it's only one Hospital out of many
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My sister, who has liver disease, and who requires an operation due to other complications, cannot have it as the hospital state that they don't have the capacity due to Covid.
 
GM scoreboard:


360 - down 89 from 449 - 46.8 % of the NW total of 770 - down 107 . GM % down 4.4%


Wk to wk: 992 v 723 v 764 v 692 v 347 v 360 today. Very patchy but generally down.



Manchester 66 - down from 90. Pop score up 12 to 9144. Weekly cases 474. Weekly Pop up 3 to 86.

Bolton 42- down from 37. Pop score up 14 to 8589. Weekly cases 290. Weekly Pop up 2 to 101.

Wigan 41 - down from 47. Pop score up 12 to 8440. Weekly cases 318. Weekly Pop down 2 to 96.

Salford 40 - down from 56. Pop score up 16 to 8560. Weekly cases 292. Weekly Pop up 2 to 113.

Stockport 39 - down from 46. Pop score up 13 to 6796. Weekly cases 264. Weekly Pop up 2 to 90.

Rochdale 38 - up from 34. Pop score up 17 to 9089. Weekly cases 258. Weekly Pop down 4 to 116.

Tameside 35 - down from 38. Pop score up 16 to 7647. Weekly cases 250. Weekly Pop up 2 to 111.

Oldham 23 - down from 33. Pop score up 10 to 9242. Weekly cases 210. Weekly Pop down 2 to 88

Bury 19 - down from 20. Pop score up 10 to 8685. Weekly cases 158. 31 behind Trafford for best weekly score. Weekly Pop down 5 to 82.

Trafford 17 down from 38. Pop score up 7 to 6686. Trafford lowest pop rise of day and in teens again, Now 110 clear with best Pop across the pandemic. Weekly cases 153 - lowest in GM. But Bury is now only 5 away after a series of low scores. Weekly Pop stays at 65.




Weekly Pop - Borough / Today / Seven days ago / Up/down by Lowest score is best - going down good/up bad

I add the Pop score across the entire pandemic too at the end per 100. This is essentially the percentage of the population in the borough who have tested positive and been recorded. So the minimum immunity acquired that way - if indeed any lasts up to a year by that route. Unrecorded cases, asymptomatic and, of course, vaccinated immunity are all on top of this base number locally.


Rochdale 116 / 135 / down 19 Testing positive 9.1%

Salford 113 / 111 UP 2 Testing positive 8.6%

Tameside 111 / 115 / down 4 Testing positive 7.6%

Bolton 101 / 133 / down 32 Testing positive 8.6%

Wigan 96 / 123 / down 27 Testing positive 8.4%

Stockport 90 / 111 / down 21 Testing positive 6.8%

Oldham 88 / 111 / down 23 Testing positive 9.2%

Manchester 86 / 97 / down 11 Testing positive 9.1%

Bury 82 / 124 / down 42 Testing positive 8.7%

Trafford 65 / 81 / down 16 Testing positive 6.7%


Apart from Salford that has had a bad few days everyone down on last week still but only Bury has done well on that level this week. Most others have seen recent daily rises and their decrease reduce as the week has gone on. Others are not far off starting to go up either.

Next few days will tip GM in one direction or the other.
 
True_Blue69 said:
Well seem as though lockdown prevented the nightmare scenario of the NHS being overwhelmed and we are now at a fraction of those numbers, I assume that hospitals are nowhere near overwhelmed. Healdplace also posts the total numbers in hospital and there are not that many.
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What proportion of ICU beds are taken? I guess you cannot have a cancer patient in the next bed. You may have an ICU ward with 10 beds, with five taken up by Covid patients. Whilst the capacity is 50%, does that mean, to all intents and purposes, the ward at 100% capacity?

Be interested to hear from someone with experience about whether this is the case or not.

What is not many? There are over 500 on ventilators in London.
 
Marvin said:
Epidemic out of control in Brazil.
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Do you just scour the internet for the worst possible news and then run to here and post it? If it’s not a possible new variant it’s a country on the other side of the world with barely anyone vaccinated having an increase in cases. Try putting some positivity in your life you will feel a lot better.
 
True_Blue69 said:
Do you just scour the internet for the worst possible news and then run to here and post it? If it’s not a possible new variant it’s a country on the other side of the world with barely anyone vaccinated having an increase in cases. Try putting some positivity in your life you will feel a lot better
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I look for information pertinent to the outcome of the epidemic. 6 months ago it was vaccine development, now the vaccines are deployed I want to see what is happening with the virus because the vaccines were designed to neutralise the original strains. These are the developments that shape the course of this epidemic.
 
Marvin said:
I look for information pertinent to the outcome of the epidemic. 6 months ago it was vaccine development, now the vaccines are deployed I want to see what is happening with the virus because the vaccines were designed to neutralise the original strains. These are the developments that shape the course of this epidemic.
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you said that without saying The word variant but still kind of said it. Well done.
 
Study so successful it's been stopped early! - Big breakthrough here on the anti-viral side from Glaxo - Now we have first class preventative vaccines being administered and finally a very promising antiviral to help all those who haven't had the vaccine yet and get admitted to hospital - the net is closing on you covid!


A new antibody drug “reduces hospital admission or death from Covid-19 by 85%”, the pharmaceutical giant GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) has announced.

PA reports:

The drug, called VIR-7831, is a new treatment for people with mild to moderate illness, and the study has been so successful that it has been stopped early.
GSK and its partner, Vir Biotechnology, plan to immediately seek an emergency use authorisation in the United States and approval in other countries, including potentially in the UK.
Monoclonal antibodies are laboratory-produced molecules that mimic human antibodies.
The global phase 3 clinical trial based its initial analysis on data from 583 patients at risk of hospital admission.
GSK said VIR-7831 works in two ways - by blocking the virus’s entry into healthy cells and also clearing infected cells.
A separate laboratory study has found that VIR-7831 is effective against the main current Covid-19 variants, including the Kent, South African and Brazilian variants, the firm said.
VIR-7831 is designed to be given as a single intravenous (IV) infusion.
Dr Hal Barron, chief scientific officer at GSK, said: “We are pleased that this unique monoclonal antibody was able to bring such a profound benefit to patients.
“We look forward to the possibility of making VIR-7831 available to patients as soon as possible and to further exploring its potential in other settings.”
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