Coronavirus (2021) thread

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UK has had similar blood clot cases with the vaccine and are investigating says scientist in press conference. Her first name is June. That's all I heard Boris call her.

Chris Witty likens the issue to side effects of aspirin and the balance of risk is what they use.

5 people out 11 million is the case ratio for the clot issue and that is many times less than the risk of getting Covid without the vaccine says Whitty.
 
580k in one day. Excellent. Not far off 1 percent of the population in a single day. Quite incredible.
People should probably remember this when they are moaning about supply issues. It is incredible.

I like the question from ITV in the press conference today: will this latest setback in supply affect government vaccination targets?

Boris: No (and straight onto the next question)
 
CVT has occurred 5 times in 11m UK O-ZA jabs, so chance = 0.000000454545 (Note: at the moment this is a correlation NOT cause)
Chance of being hit by lightning in a year = 1 in 500000 = 0.000002
So you are 4 times more likely to be hit by lightning.
This is the level of risk if it is caused by the O-ZA vaccine and as things stand there is no evidence to suggest cause rather than correlation.
 
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Boris said in the press conference this evening that even though supply will be lower in April than it was in March, it will still be higher than February

There was always going to have to be a point when second jabs may have to be prioritised with supply.
 
HOSPITAL DATA


Headline:

Admissions falling, UK patients just over 6000, England near 5000 and UK ventilators below 900 - down a huge 3200 in under 8 weeks. No wonder deaths are tumbling. And every England region down on both patients and ventilators again.


UK total:


Patients 6213 - it was 39, 248 at the peak on 18 Jan - (fall of 33, 035 in 59 days) :- lowest since 15 October

Ventilators 877 - it was 4077 at the peak on 24 Jan - (fall of 3200 in 53 days) : lowest since 27 October


England only:-


ADMISSIONS:-

364 Covid admissions (15 March) - following 431, 357, 385, 386, 449 before.


PATIENTS:-


Patients down 314 in day to 5083 v 6687 last week :- lowest since 17 October.

Peak was 34, 336 on 18 Jan (fall 29, 253 in 59 days)

Ventilators: Down in day 49 to 797 v 1101 last week :- lowest since 26 October

Peak was 3736 on 24 Jan (fall 2939 in 53 days)



Regions:



Patient // Ventilators // change in past 24 hours and v last week



East down 31 to 466 v 607 // down 2 to 81 v 102

London down 59 to 1023 v 1335 // down 14 to 260 v 336

Midlands down 104 to 1100 v 1483 // down 10 to 176 v 242

NE & Yorks down 24 to 838 v 1077 // down 7 to 100 v 143

North West down 64 to 847 v 1080// down 12 to 90 v 136

South East down 31 to 618 v 846 // stays at 67 v 105

South West down 1 to 191 v 259 // down 4 to 23 v 37


The big drop continues and North West makes it under 100 on ventilators for first time since 4 October And patients under 900 for first time since that same day over 5 months ago.
 
If you look at the figures for "date of death" we may already be there.
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I listed the recent 5 day totals when posting today's England hospital deaths earlier today.

I gave the 5 day totals as they are more finalised.

As I noted there no 5 day totals in England have been over 100 since 8 March. And even the day before then was - and still is - under 100.

The days right behind coming up look very unlikely to go over 100. 13 March would have to add 26 and nothing near that has been added on the fifth day in the past fortnight.
 
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I listed the recent 5 day totals when posting today's England hospital deaths earlier today.
I'm not keen on 5 day averages as they can completely miss a weekend.

I'm sorry I didn't see your earlier posts as I was working, and I don't tend to trawl back though posts unless something gets reported like yesterday (when half the thread was "reported").
 
I'm not keen on 5 day averages as they can completely miss a weekend.

I'm sorry I didn't see your earlier posts as I was working, and I don't tend to trawl back though posts unless something gets reported like yesterday (when half the thread was "reported").
Nothing to apologise for. Nobody can reread the whole thread to catch up. It moves too fast.

I don't usually refer to five day totals when posting the week to week comparisons and I waited for over 7 days here for the very reason you refer to - the weekend impact that skews things if you only take a random 7 days.

But it was significant to point out we had not had an over 100 day now that we were at a point where all those dates contained one weekend.

Numbers are so low now anyway that the weekend factor is fairly irrelevant as opposed to the way it used to be.

And happily for now they only seem to be going one way.
 
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