COVID Data Thread

ENGLAND HOSPITAL SUMMARY


BIT OF A REVERSAL TODAY.



ADMISSIONS TUESDAY) (always 48 hour behind on admissions - the rest of data is all from today)

699 TUE V 659 LAST WEEK TWO WEEKS AGO THE NUMBER WAS 713

SO ADMISSIONS ROSE WEEK TO WEEK AGAIN




Regional admissions Today V Last Week were:-

London 105 V 81 (UP 24), Midlands 123 V 142 (DOWN 19), NE & Yorkshire 104 V 90 (UP 14) & North West 80 V 99 (DOWN 19)

Good day for North West again.


PATIENTS YESTERDAY / TODAY


5829 / 5915 Today - UP by 86 on day - obviously not great news


Last week's numbers were:


6062 / 6068 - UP by 6


Week before the numbers were:


6412 / 6336 - DOWN by 76


So the numbers trending up but not by large numbers at least


Two weeks ago the weekly fall day to day was 6861 to 6336 - A FALL OF 525

Last week the same day to day fall is 6336 to 6068 - A FALL OF 268

Today the fall is 6068 / 5915 - still down but a fall of just 153


THE TRACK IS CLEARLY DOWNWARD WEEK TO WEEK BUT NEXT WEEK MAY NOT BE AT THIS RATE



REGIONALLY DAY TO DAY:-


London UP 9 to 1083, Midlands UP 52 to 1140, NE & Yorks UP 32 to 1001 & NW DOWN 5 to 797

So NW slightly down as the others rise


Week to week London (UP 55), Midlands (DOWN 41), NE & Yorkshire (DOWN 107), East (UP 2), South East (UP 50) , South West (DOWN 6) and North West (DOWN 56) over the last 7 days.

SO WEEK TO WEEK NORTH WEST AND NE & YORKS FELL THE MOST




VENTILATORS DAY TO DAY


The numbers were:

773 / 774 - UP 1


Last week the numbers were:-

783 / 790 - UP 7


Two weekends ago the numbers were:-

792 / 779 - DOWN 13





So week to week today ventilators are DOWN 16

The previous week to week was UP by 11



REGIONALLY London has 181 (DOWN 2), Midlands 152 (UP 2), NE & Yorkshire 125 (UP 1) & North West 96 (UP 2)

Most up - East down 7 to 76 the best and South West up 5 to 56. South East stays at 88.



NORTH WEST IS DOWN WEEK TO WEEK BY 6 FROM 102 TO 96.

Others:- EAST 87 TO 76, LONDON 170 TO 181, MIDLANDS 160 TO 152, NE & YORKS 128 TO 125, SOUTH EAST 85 TO 88, SOUTH WEST 58 TO 56
 
UK HOSPITAL NUMBERS TODAY



CHANGE FROM MONDAY TO TODAY

PATIENTS:-


ENGLAND 5915, N IRELAND 324, SCOTLAND 680, WALES 451 UK TOTAL 7392 (DOWN 208)

Everyone down



VENTILATORS:-


ENGLAND 774, N IRELAND 28, SCOTLAND 48 , WALES 48 UK TOTAL 898 ( DOWN 18)


England & Scotland down the others up
 
ENGLAND REGIONAL CASES TODAY


REGION / CASES TODAY / UP/DOWN ON YESTERDAY V LAST WEEK



South East 10,458 - up from 9478 V 8154 - first 10,000 cases by any region since last January.

London 6501 - up from 5668 V 5319

East 6131 - up from 4441 V 4901

South West 5069 - down from 5284 V 4438

NORTH WEST 4708 - up from 3707 V 4735

West Midlands 3791 - up from 3585 V 3905

East Midlands 3692 - up from 3317 V 3706

Yorkshire 3027 - up from 2809 V 3360

North East 1038 - down from 1886 V 1112
 
GREATER MANCHESTER SUMMARY TODAY


North West was UP 1001 today on yesterday.

Of this number Greater Manchester UP by 451 of that number TO 1836.

About 45% of the region - a little over par. But not by much.


North West week to week was DOWN by 27 (from 4735)

Of that number Greater Manchester is UP by 115 (from1721)

Obviously not good at all and GM is doing less well than the North West as a whole right now.


HERE ARE THE NUMBERS PER BOROUGH


CASES / CHANGE ON DAY / CHANGE WEEK TO WEEK / POP SCORE RISE / POP SCORE / WEEKLY POP


MANCHESTER 325 / UP 102/ UP 77 / POP 58 / 18,665 / WEEKLY POP 323

TRAFFORD 203 / UP 55 / UP 41 / POP 85 / 18,019 / WEEKLY POP 459 (Entered 18 K club today)

TAMESIDE 198 / UP 129 / UP 27 / POP 87* / 18,628 / WEEKLY POP 386 * Highest Pop Score today

SALFORD 195 / UP 68 /DOWN 11 / POP 74 / 19,024 / WEEKLY POP 389 (Entered 19 K club today)

WIGAN 194 / UP 8 / DOWN 15 / POP 59 / 18,728 / WEEKLY POP 407

STOCKPORT 175 / DOWN 52 / UP 2 / POP 60 / 17,483 / WEEKLY POP 396

OLDHAM 145 / UP 65 / UP 23 / POP 61 / 18,955 / WEEKLY POP 308

BOLTON 137 / UP 27 / DOWN 13 / POP 48* / 18,029 / WEEKLY POP 300 (Entered 18 K club today) * Lowest Pop Score today

ROCHDALE 137 / UP 27 / DOWN 13 / POP 61 / 19,144 / WEEKLY POP 377

BURY 127 / UP 18 / DOWN 3 / POP 66 / 18,397 / WEEKLY POP 373


A lot of changes today -3 boroughs moved up a 1000 club - Salford the second into 19K and Trafford and Bolton into 18K

Oldham will probably be the third into 19 K tomorrow

Stockport - now alone in the 17 K club for a week or so at most - extended its lead as the lowest Pop Score across the pandemic V Trafford by another 25 to 536 as Stockport had a far better day than Trafford. Biggest lead in months.

At the other end Rochdale reduced its lead over Salford by 13 as the highest across the pandemic to 120

Incidentally, it is not a misprint - Bolton and Rochdale did genuinely have exactly the same scores both day to day and week to week as each other - though Bolton had the lowest Pop Score of 48 V Rochdale's 61 in doing so because of the different POPulation size in the boroughs 262,400 (Bolton) V 212,960 (Rochdale) - so fewer people and the same cases and changes day to day and week to week = higher POP score because of the lower people from which the cases come.
 
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WALES DATA

Slightly better in some things and worse in others today


8 deaths - was 5 last week - this is edging up now

2356 cases - was 2927 last week - a good fall here surprisingly

9.4% positivity - was 10.0% last week - and not fewer test related

473 patients - was 451 last week

48 ventilated - was 47 last week - but hospital numbers after falling lately edging back up
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS

103 with 12 North West

Was 103 with 9 NW last week

And 113 with 17 NW week before

103 TODAY, 103 LAST WEEK AND 103 YESTERDAY - DEATHS HAVE CERTAINLY SEEMINGLY STOPPED FALLING AND ARE STARTING TO HINT AT GOING UP AGAIN SLOWLY NOW


By Region:

East 14, London 13, Midlands 18, NE & Yorkshire 23, North West 12, South East 11, South West 12


Most by trust- 4 each in NW Anglia & South Tyneside

NOTE HOW THE REGIONS ARE VERY EQUAL (IF YOU SPLIT NE & YORKSHIRE IN HALF AS THEY ARE TREATED BY GOV UK IN DAILY CASE REPORTS AS TWO SEPARATE REGIONS UNLIKE THE NHS WHO COMBINE THEM - JUST AS THE NHS COMBINE EAST & WEST MIDLANDS AS JUST MIDLANDS BUT GOV UK KEEP THEM AS TWO SEPARATE REGIONS - NO IDEA WHY)


North West Trusts:

2 each in Bolton, Nth Lancashire, Pennine Acute (Oldham/Rochdale) & St Helens, 1 each in East Cheshire, Manchester, Mid Cheshire & Tameside



By age:

20 - 39 (1), 40 - 59 (9), 60 - 79 (43) , 80 + (50)
 
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TODAYS ZOE GRAPH SHOWING THE SIGN OF THE UPWARD RISE IN CASES SLOWING AS THE CURVE FAR RIGHT FLATTENS A BIT. EARLY DAYS BUT IT IS CERTAINLY NOT AS YET ACCELERTING UPWARD ON ZOE.

INDEED PREDICTED CASES TODAY WERE AS FLAT AS CAN BE ON 79,707 (4 MORE THAN YESTERDAY) - IT WAS 80,225 LAST WEEK AND HAS BEEN WITHIN 500 ALL WEEK.

TODAYS NUMBER OF ONGOING INFECTIONS (PEOPLE WITH COVID RIGHT NOW IN THE UK) IS 1,081,404 UP FROM !,076,605 YESTERDAY AND 1.071,137 THE DAY BEFORE - SO A FALL IN THE DAILY RISE WHICH HAS BEEN HAPPENING FOR A FEW DAYS NOW.

NORTH WEST MEANWHILE FALLS AGAIN TODAY AND IS THE ONLY ENGLAND REGION IN THE LOWER WATCH ZONE ALONG WITH SCOTLAND. SCOTLAND IS INCHING UP, NW INCHING DOWN AND THE TWO ARE THE CLOSEST TOGETHER THEY HAVE BEEN ON ZOE IN AGES.

SOUTH EAST IS UNSURPRISINGLY GIVEN THEIR 10,000 CASES IN THE GOV UK DATA YESTERDAY THE HIGHEST ENGLAND REGION - THOUGH WALES IS FAR AHEAD AND NORTHERN IRELAND ALSO AHEAD OF SOUTH EAST ON ZOE.

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SCOTLAND DATA

16 deaths - was 21 last week

2432 cases - was 2888 last week - down a bit

7.6% positivity - was 9.3% last week - even better fall here

658 patients - was 680 yesterday & 734 last week

46 ventilated icu - was 48 yesterday & 64 last week - The hospital numbers are again very positive here
 
Northern Ireland Data

4 deaths - was 9 last week

1908 cases - was 2004 last week - first wk to wk fall in a bit

12,426 weekly cases - was 12,122 yesterday & 11,815 last week

36 Care Home outbreaks - was 34 yesterday & 33 last week

These are starting to edge up again with inevitable consequences following (see ventilators)

326 patients - was 324 yesterday & 370 last week

28 ventilated - was 28 yesterday & 22 last week


THE AGE SPLIT OF CASES ACROSS THE PAST WEEK IS AS FOLLOWS (UP IS VERSUS 2 DAYS AGO)

0-19 = 4973 (up 350)

20-39 = 3284 (up 298)

40 - 59 = 3292 (up 243)

60 - 79 = 756 (up 22)

80 PLUS = 111 (up 11)
 
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THESE NORTHERN IRELAND AGE FIGURES IN CONTEXT OF WHO IS TESTING POSITIVE


12,416 IN TOTAL WITH AGES KNOWN FROM PAST 7 DAY CASES



0.9% over 80 & 7.0% over 60 and 40.1% are 19 and under AND 66.5% under 40.


THESE NUMBERS ARE VERY DIFFERENT FROM WHAT THEY WERE BEFORE THE BOOSTER PROGRAMME REALLY TOOK OFF


6 weeks ago they were 2% over 80 and 11.9% over 60 (significantly higher) and 42% were 19 and under and 61% under 40 - a little less than now but more teens



Three months ago they were 2.6% over 80 and 10.4% over 60 and 32% were 19 and under & 61% under 40


So:

Since the boosters kicked in the over 60s have tumbled and the over 80s to lowest ever numbers.
 
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143 all settings deaths - was 160 last Friday.

England only 115 V 125 last Friday.

50,584 UK cases - up just 493 on last Friday & down 3361 on yesterday

England only 43,888 - up 1616 on last Friday & down 1992 on yesterday
 
NORTH WEST AND GM NUMBERS


NORTH WEST UP 100 on the day to 4808

And UP 815 week to week from 3993

THIS NUMBER IS STILL WELL BELOW ALL FOUR SOUTHERN REGIONS THE SMALLEST OF WHICH HAD 5387 CASES AND THE MOST 9070



Greater Manchester did relatively well out of these numbers:

Day to Day GM up by just 31 of that 100 to 1867.

Though this is the highest number in GM for six weeks.


Week to week GM is up by 188 of the NW rise of 815 - well below the expected split.



Most places in Greater Manchester were up week to week as you might expect from the above.

In fact only Manchester was not UP - yet they scored easily the highest number on 322 but 15 down on last Friday.

The most were Wigan (up 60 to 239 - its highest in some time) - Bury ( up 57 in the week to 146 - also a recent high) & Oldham (up 35 to 144) .

But the reason the week to week increase was modest V the North West region as a whole is that most others had pretty small rises.

Tameside by 21 to 140, Bolton by 13 to 150, Trafford by 9 to 202, Stockport by 5 to 180, Rochdale by 2 to 151 & Salford by 1 to 193
 
UK HOSPITAL NUMBERS TODAY



CHANGE FROM YESTERDAY

PATIENTS:-


ENGLAND 5851, N IRELAND 326, SCOTLAND 652, WALES 452 UK TOTAL 7281 (DOWN 89)

England and Scotland down, Wales and N Ireland up



VENTILATORS:-


ENGLAND 783, N IRELAND 28, SCOTLAND 46, WALES 45 UK TOTAL 902 ( UP 4)


England only one up with N Ireland stable and Scotland & Wales down
 
Healdplace said:
NORTH WEST AND GM NUMBERS


NORTH WEST UP 100 on the day to 4808

And UP 815 week to week from 3993

THIS NUMBER IS STILL WELL BELOW ALL FOUR SOUTHERN REGIONS THE SMALLEST OF WHICH HAD 5387 CASES AND THE MOST 9070



Greater Manchester did relatively well out of these numbers:

Day to Day GM up by just 31 of that 100 to 1867.

Though this is the highest number in GM for six weeks.


Week to week GM is up by 188 of the NW rise of 815 - well below the expected split.



Most places in Greater Manchester were up week to week as you might expect from the above.

In fact only Manchester was not UP - yet they scored easily the highest number on 322 but 15 down on last Friday.

The most were Wigan (up 60 to 239 - its highest in some time) - Bury ( up 57 in the week to 146 - also a recent high) & Oldham (up 35 to 144) .

But the reason the week to week increase was modest V the North West region as a whole is that most others had pretty small rises.

Tameside by 21 to 140, Bolton by 13 to 150, Trafford by 9 to 202, Stockport by 5 to 180, Rochdale by 2 to 151 & Salford by 1 to 193
Click to expand...
I'm guessing then that Bolton have gone up to second for the best overall pop score in Greater Manchester? Who would have thought that when the delta variant hit earlier in the year when Bolton were the worst
 
redders said:
I'm guessing then that Bolton have gone up to second for the best overall pop score in Greater Manchester? Who would have thought that when the delta variant hit earlier in the year when Bolton were the worst
Click to expand...
Yes it overtook Trafford today - 18,081 V Trafford's 18,104

And also stays the lowest weekly Pop Score (up 5 on 305) as Oldham is up 14 on 322 - So Bolton increased its lead there too.

Bolton quickly got over the Delta wave becase of swift localised action to ramp up vaccinations. It has been doing well for months as a result.

Omicron as and when it colonises GM will be a whole new challenge for everyone. We just do not know how much - if any - being well vaccinated and lots of prior infections will matter. Seems it is not stopping peope catching it in South Afrca. But the UK has different profiles in age, vaccination and other factorsthat may or may not make a difference. And we are yet to know if it will be more serious than that in terms of severity of illness. As those catching it in SA are mostly young.

Bolton case numbers will be a good yardstick to where the boroughs in less good shape from vaccination and past infections will track.
 
www.ft.com

Coronavirus tracker: the latest figures as countries fight the Covid-19 resurgence | Free to read

The FT analyses the scale of outbreaks and tracks the vaccine rollouts around the world
www.ft.com www.ft.com

Has anyone seen this article from the FT. Really interesting around the excess deaths. It is no surprise that most countries have their official covid deaths below their excess deaths. Whether this is a deliberate ploy or they just don't know is a subject to to be discussed. Western Europe is among those that seem to be accurate.

South America and Eastern Europe have fared the worst. Although there is no real data from Africa and South Asia

The UK has fared worse than most of Northern and Central Europe , although better than Southern and Eastern Europe. The UK has also performed better than the US.

Those Countries that delivered the vaccine roll out within Q2 have largely controlled the excess deaths. South America and Eastern Europe have performed badly
 
The way of counting Covid deaths has been a problem from the start. What you call a Covid death is often really a death with Covid and not necessarily why the peson died. Some countries are more reasonable than others on how they tally so it is hard ro make direct comparisons. There are ways to mask unpleasant truths and a lot of politicians will seize that opportunity if it means they look more competent.

This has been discussed a few times during the pandemic on the main thread and there have been various changes to how things are calcuated - indeed as the subject is partly devolved I think some of the home nations have changed the way of measuring numbers more than once over the past 21 months.

Britain has mainly tried to be transparent I think. But I suspect that is not a universal attribute.

The only member of my family who has died 'from' Covid very likely did not. She was sent home from hospital and died there but as she had tested positive weeks earlier and seemed to recover counted as a Covd death when Covid may or may not have been the real reason. Though it probably played a part. How you record such borderline cases will always make the numbers hard to judge. As the majority who get Covid and die have other things going on at the same time.
 
Bluehammer - Here are the latest Kent numbers as I promised:

Dartord

101 cases (down 8) - Total 19,618 - Daily Pop Score 88 - Pop Score 17,201- Weekly Pop 450 (up 26)


Medway

251 cases (down 64) - Total 45,807 - Daily Pop Score 90 - Pop Score 16,410 - Weekly Pop 544 (up 7)



Both still high now unfortunately - but also down a bit today on yesterday.
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL SUMMARY


BIT BETTER TODAY.



ADMISSIONS WEDNESDAY) (always 48 hour behind on admissions - the rest of data is all from today)

698 WED V 752 LAST WEEK TWO WEEKS AGO THE NUMBER WAS 727

SO ADMISSIONS DOWN WEEK TO WEEK




Regional admissions Today V Last Week were:-

London 114 V 108 (UP 6), Midlands 144 V 127 (UP 17), NE & Yorkshire 96 V 118 (DOWN 22) & North West 88 V 88 (FLAT)

OK day for North West again. Flat but lowest in numbers again.


PATIENTS YESTERDAY / TODAY


5915 / 5851 Today - DOWN by 64 on day - a little better news.


Last week's numbers were:


6068 / 5992 - DOWN by 76


Week before the numbers were:


6336 / 6310 - DOWN by 26


So the numbers are pretty flat here


Two weeks ago the weekly fall day to day was 6777 to 6310 - A FALL OF 467

Last week the same day to day fall is 6310 to 5992 - A FALL OF 318

Today the fall is 5992 / 5851 - still down but a fall of just 141


THE TRACK IS CLEARLY DOWNWARD WEEK TO WEEK BUT NEXT WEEK MAY NOT BE AT THIS RATE



REGIONALLY DAY TO DAY:-


London DOWN 14 to 1069, Midlands UP 18 to 1158, NE & Yorks DOWN 54 to 947 & NW DOWN 13 to 784

So only MIdlands up today but modest numbers down.


Week to week London (UP 26), Midlands (UP !0), NE & Yorkshire (DOWN 120), East (DOWN 56), South East (UP 92) , South West (DOWN 25) and North West (DOWN 68) over the last 7 days.

SO WEEK TO WEEK NORTH WEST AND NE & YORKS FELL THE MOST




VENTILATORS DAY TO DAY


The numbers were:

774 / 783 - UP 9


Last week the numbers were:-

790 / 796 - UP 6


Two weekends ago the numbers were:-

779 / 769 - DOWN 10





So week to week today ventilators are DOWN 13

The previous week to week was UP by 27



REGIONALLY London has 187 (UP 6), Midlands 154 (UP 2), NE & Yorkshire 120 (DOWN 5) & North West 98 (UP 2)

East DOWN 3 to 73 - South West UP 5 to 61. South East UP 2 to 90.



NORTH WEST IS DOWN WEEK TO WEEK BY 11 FROM 109 TO 98.

Others:- EAST 85 TO 73, LONDON 174 TO 187, MIDLANDS 160 TO 154, NE & YORKS 127 TO 120, SOUTH EAST 87 TO 90, SOUTH WEST 54 TO 61
 
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