COVID Data Thread

THESE NORTHERN IRELAND AGE FIGURES IN CONTEXT OF WHO IS TESTING POSITIVE


12,416 IN TOTAL WITH AGES KNOWN FROM PAST 7 DAY CASES



0.9% over 80 & 7.0% over 60 and 40.1% are 19 and under AND 66.5% under 40.


THESE NUMBERS ARE VERY DIFFERENT FROM WHAT THEY WERE BEFORE THE BOOSTER PROGRAMME REALLY TOOK OFF


6 weeks ago they were 2% over 80 and 11.9% over 60 (significantly higher) and 42% were 19 and under and 61% under 40 - a little less than now but more teens



Three months ago they were 2.6% over 80 and 10.4% over 60 and 32% were 19 and under & 61% under 40


So:

Since the boosters kicked in the over 60s have tumbled and the over 80s to lowest ever numbers.
 
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143 all settings deaths - was 160 last Friday.

England only 115 V 125 last Friday.

50,584 UK cases - up just 493 on last Friday & down 3361 on yesterday

England only 43,888 - up 1616 on last Friday & down 1992 on yesterday
 
NORTH WEST AND GM NUMBERS


NORTH WEST UP 100 on the day to 4808

And UP 815 week to week from 3993

THIS NUMBER IS STILL WELL BELOW ALL FOUR SOUTHERN REGIONS THE SMALLEST OF WHICH HAD 5387 CASES AND THE MOST 9070



Greater Manchester did relatively well out of these numbers:

Day to Day GM up by just 31 of that 100 to 1867.

Though this is the highest number in GM for six weeks.


Week to week GM is up by 188 of the NW rise of 815 - well below the expected split.



Most places in Greater Manchester were up week to week as you might expect from the above.

In fact only Manchester was not UP - yet they scored easily the highest number on 322 but 15 down on last Friday.

The most were Wigan (up 60 to 239 - its highest in some time) - Bury ( up 57 in the week to 146 - also a recent high) & Oldham (up 35 to 144) .

But the reason the week to week increase was modest V the North West region as a whole is that most others had pretty small rises.

Tameside by 21 to 140, Bolton by 13 to 150, Trafford by 9 to 202, Stockport by 5 to 180, Rochdale by 2 to 151 & Salford by 1 to 193
 
UK HOSPITAL NUMBERS TODAY



CHANGE FROM YESTERDAY

PATIENTS:-


ENGLAND 5851, N IRELAND 326, SCOTLAND 652, WALES 452 UK TOTAL 7281 (DOWN 89)

England and Scotland down, Wales and N Ireland up



VENTILATORS:-


ENGLAND 783, N IRELAND 28, SCOTLAND 46, WALES 45 UK TOTAL 902 ( UP 4)


England only one up with N Ireland stable and Scotland & Wales down
 
Healdplace said:
NORTH WEST AND GM NUMBERS


NORTH WEST UP 100 on the day to 4808

And UP 815 week to week from 3993

THIS NUMBER IS STILL WELL BELOW ALL FOUR SOUTHERN REGIONS THE SMALLEST OF WHICH HAD 5387 CASES AND THE MOST 9070



Greater Manchester did relatively well out of these numbers:

Day to Day GM up by just 31 of that 100 to 1867.

Though this is the highest number in GM for six weeks.


Week to week GM is up by 188 of the NW rise of 815 - well below the expected split.



Most places in Greater Manchester were up week to week as you might expect from the above.

In fact only Manchester was not UP - yet they scored easily the highest number on 322 but 15 down on last Friday.

The most were Wigan (up 60 to 239 - its highest in some time) - Bury ( up 57 in the week to 146 - also a recent high) & Oldham (up 35 to 144) .

But the reason the week to week increase was modest V the North West region as a whole is that most others had pretty small rises.

Tameside by 21 to 140, Bolton by 13 to 150, Trafford by 9 to 202, Stockport by 5 to 180, Rochdale by 2 to 151 & Salford by 1 to 193
Click to expand...
I'm guessing then that Bolton have gone up to second for the best overall pop score in Greater Manchester? Who would have thought that when the delta variant hit earlier in the year when Bolton were the worst
 
redders said:
I'm guessing then that Bolton have gone up to second for the best overall pop score in Greater Manchester? Who would have thought that when the delta variant hit earlier in the year when Bolton were the worst
Click to expand...
Yes it overtook Trafford today - 18,081 V Trafford's 18,104

And also stays the lowest weekly Pop Score (up 5 on 305) as Oldham is up 14 on 322 - So Bolton increased its lead there too.

Bolton quickly got over the Delta wave becase of swift localised action to ramp up vaccinations. It has been doing well for months as a result.

Omicron as and when it colonises GM will be a whole new challenge for everyone. We just do not know how much - if any - being well vaccinated and lots of prior infections will matter. Seems it is not stopping peope catching it in South Afrca. But the UK has different profiles in age, vaccination and other factorsthat may or may not make a difference. And we are yet to know if it will be more serious than that in terms of severity of illness. As those catching it in SA are mostly young.

Bolton case numbers will be a good yardstick to where the boroughs in less good shape from vaccination and past infections will track.
 
www.ft.com

Coronavirus tracker: the latest figures as countries fight the Covid-19 resurgence | Free to read

The FT analyses the scale of outbreaks and tracks the vaccine rollouts around the world
www.ft.com www.ft.com

Has anyone seen this article from the FT. Really interesting around the excess deaths. It is no surprise that most countries have their official covid deaths below their excess deaths. Whether this is a deliberate ploy or they just don't know is a subject to to be discussed. Western Europe is among those that seem to be accurate.

South America and Eastern Europe have fared the worst. Although there is no real data from Africa and South Asia

The UK has fared worse than most of Northern and Central Europe , although better than Southern and Eastern Europe. The UK has also performed better than the US.

Those Countries that delivered the vaccine roll out within Q2 have largely controlled the excess deaths. South America and Eastern Europe have performed badly
 
The way of counting Covid deaths has been a problem from the start. What you call a Covid death is often really a death with Covid and not necessarily why the peson died. Some countries are more reasonable than others on how they tally so it is hard ro make direct comparisons. There are ways to mask unpleasant truths and a lot of politicians will seize that opportunity if it means they look more competent.

This has been discussed a few times during the pandemic on the main thread and there have been various changes to how things are calcuated - indeed as the subject is partly devolved I think some of the home nations have changed the way of measuring numbers more than once over the past 21 months.

Britain has mainly tried to be transparent I think. But I suspect that is not a universal attribute.

The only member of my family who has died 'from' Covid very likely did not. She was sent home from hospital and died there but as she had tested positive weeks earlier and seemed to recover counted as a Covd death when Covid may or may not have been the real reason. Though it probably played a part. How you record such borderline cases will always make the numbers hard to judge. As the majority who get Covid and die have other things going on at the same time.
 
Bluehammer - Here are the latest Kent numbers as I promised:

Dartord

101 cases (down 8) - Total 19,618 - Daily Pop Score 88 - Pop Score 17,201- Weekly Pop 450 (up 26)


Medway

251 cases (down 64) - Total 45,807 - Daily Pop Score 90 - Pop Score 16,410 - Weekly Pop 544 (up 7)



Both still high now unfortunately - but also down a bit today on yesterday.
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL SUMMARY


BIT BETTER TODAY.



ADMISSIONS WEDNESDAY) (always 48 hour behind on admissions - the rest of data is all from today)

698 WED V 752 LAST WEEK TWO WEEKS AGO THE NUMBER WAS 727

SO ADMISSIONS DOWN WEEK TO WEEK




Regional admissions Today V Last Week were:-

London 114 V 108 (UP 6), Midlands 144 V 127 (UP 17), NE & Yorkshire 96 V 118 (DOWN 22) & North West 88 V 88 (FLAT)

OK day for North West again. Flat but lowest in numbers again.


PATIENTS YESTERDAY / TODAY


5915 / 5851 Today - DOWN by 64 on day - a little better news.


Last week's numbers were:


6068 / 5992 - DOWN by 76


Week before the numbers were:


6336 / 6310 - DOWN by 26


So the numbers are pretty flat here


Two weeks ago the weekly fall day to day was 6777 to 6310 - A FALL OF 467

Last week the same day to day fall is 6310 to 5992 - A FALL OF 318

Today the fall is 5992 / 5851 - still down but a fall of just 141


THE TRACK IS CLEARLY DOWNWARD WEEK TO WEEK BUT NEXT WEEK MAY NOT BE AT THIS RATE



REGIONALLY DAY TO DAY:-


London DOWN 14 to 1069, Midlands UP 18 to 1158, NE & Yorks DOWN 54 to 947 & NW DOWN 13 to 784

So only MIdlands up today but modest numbers down.


Week to week London (UP 26), Midlands (UP !0), NE & Yorkshire (DOWN 120), East (DOWN 56), South East (UP 92) , South West (DOWN 25) and North West (DOWN 68) over the last 7 days.

SO WEEK TO WEEK NORTH WEST AND NE & YORKS FELL THE MOST




VENTILATORS DAY TO DAY


The numbers were:

774 / 783 - UP 9


Last week the numbers were:-

790 / 796 - UP 6


Two weekends ago the numbers were:-

779 / 769 - DOWN 10





So week to week today ventilators are DOWN 13

The previous week to week was UP by 27



REGIONALLY London has 187 (UP 6), Midlands 154 (UP 2), NE & Yorkshire 120 (DOWN 5) & North West 98 (UP 2)

East DOWN 3 to 73 - South West UP 5 to 61. South East UP 2 to 90.



NORTH WEST IS DOWN WEEK TO WEEK BY 11 FROM 109 TO 98.

Others:- EAST 85 TO 73, LONDON 174 TO 187, MIDLANDS 160 TO 154, NE & YORKS 127 TO 120, SOUTH EAST 87 TO 90, SOUTH WEST 54 TO 61
 
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