2020 US Elections

[Chippy_boy]

Too early to say

Not too early to predict though.

Biden needs 50 more electoral college votes. Where on earth is he going to get them from?

 

[Chippy_boy]

Pennsylvania is not far from gone.

I grew up in PA. It's a very simple state to understand. Eastern PA has Philly, and western PA has Pittsburgh. Everything else is rural farm and coal country (we called it Pennsyltucky).

What you're seeing right now for PA is in person votes, largely from the rural middle of the state which skews heavily Republican. Philly and Pittsburgh, which are largely democrat, have mostly not been counted yet.

Is that enough to tip the state? Maybe, maybe not. Nobody knows at this point. PA is as much of a tossup as a state can be right now.

Thanks for the insight. I hope you are right.

EDIT: Looking at it, Biden is about 700k votes behind with 1.8m uncounted. So he needs something like 70% of the postal vote in order to claw back to victory (in Pa). Seems a tall order, but fingers crossed.

 

[yankblue]

Thanks for the insight. I hope you are right.

Of course, didn't mean any malice so sorry if it came across that way. Just trying to provide some context on why PA looks the way it does right now which is pretty misleading.

 

[TheRemainsOfTheDave]

I'm going to call Nevada for Trump 2 very rural counties not even counting till morning (local time) and Biden only just leading.
Georgia is getting closer though.

According to the BBC the latest state of play is:
Biden 550679
Trump 523739
Jorgensen 9360

and 79% has been counted. That means there are only 1,372,000 expected voters, which leaves just 289000 votes remaining. Trump needs 158k assuming Biden gets 131k, or 55% of the remaining votes. This state has two majority counties (Washoe & Clark accounting for 924k of the votes cast so far) - both of which Biden leads in. Would be a miracle for Trump to do that, especially as Clark has only counted 75% so likely to return some more votes for Biden

 

[kaz7]

I missed trump declaring victory, just as well
Texas stopped drive in voting early, hmmm

 

[ayrshire_blue]

Of course, didn't mean any malice so sorry if it came across that way. Just trying to provide some context on why PA looks the way it does right now which is pretty misleading.

I know you're probably better informed than me mate but just seen on the BBC website that trump has 55% of the vote in Pennsylvania so far to Biden's 43%, that's with 75% of all total votes counted so far. Seems miles of a stretch for Biden to claw back surely?

 

[Prestwich_Blue]

Well yes, but the bookies are getting firmer on a Trump win as time passes.
Can't stand him, but there you go.

The bookies don't make subjective judgements. They balance the weight of money. Whichever outcome has the most money on it will be favourite.

 

[Chippy_boy]

Of course, didn't mean any malice so sorry if it came across that way. Just trying to provide some context on why PA looks the way it does right now which is pretty misleading.

Not at all. It didn't come across as you being anything other than helpful.

 

[mccity]

You have to hand it to Trump. According to every news outlet he would not get a second term. The predictions are wrong again. He is ahead in the states that matter and looks to have won.

Same with city, media narrative is biased and one sided as people don’t want to acknowledge he has a huge voting base.

As much of a buffoon as Trump appears to be, he is a billionaire tycoon. Even if it turns out he's not the greatest businessman, you don't get that rich without being an aggressive, competitive as fuck, gamesman to the extreme, Machiavellian, underhanded, and hard working piece of shit. This isn't about politics to Trump, it's just a competition he has to win at all costs. He's not won of course (yet?) but he's been playing a different game for 5 years and the world has been too arrogant to notice the floppy haired fuck doing it.

Interesting you mention City, because to add to the comparison the media would have you think Sheikh Mansour is just some evil, Arab playboy as opposed to being the extremely savvy and committed businessman he is. And they underestimate just how much of a bigwig Khaldoon is by a long way too.

 

[mccity]

I missed trump declaring victory, just as well
Texas stopped drive in voting early, hmmm

You missed his now gone tweet where he wrote Poles instead of polls. That's the real bummer for all you night sleepers.