ChelseaRep said:Chelsea Should comfortably win 3-1, City only knows how to attack, but cannot defend in solid shape, attacking in waves will play to our strengths because we will pick them off on the counter, the same way we did against Bayern Munich in the Super Cup but penalties was our undoing on that particular evening.
That's an interesting opinion, lets explore it. You seem to think that you are better equipped to deal with the open and expansive sides rather than those who sit back and defend (let's assume that the leagues expansive sides are the current top 5 - City, Arsenal, Spurs, Liverpool, and Chelsea). As you're one of these sides, that means you'll play expansive sides 8 times this season, and you'll pick each of them off on the counter, the way you did against Bayern in the Super Cup.
Spurs 1-1 Chelsea
Chelsea 2-1 Man City
Arsenal 0-0 Chelsea
Chelsea 2-1 Liverpool
So far you've played 4 of those games, averaging 1.25 goals per game, excluding these 4 games from your other PL fixtures, you've scored 38 goals in 19 games, averaging 2.00 goals per game - this would indicate that playing expansive sides actually doesn't play to your strengths, and you certain don't pick them off. You score an average of 0.75 goals per game less against these sides. Just for fun, lets have a quick look at ours.
Man City 6-0 Spurs
Man City 6-3 Arsenal
Man City 2-1 Liverpool
Chelsea 2-1 Man City
Spurs 1-5 Man City
So we've played 5 of those games, averaging 4.00 goals per game, excluding these 5 games in our other PL fixtures we've scored 48 goals in 18 games, an average of 2.66 goals per game - this would indicate that expansive sides actually play to OUR strengths, and we tend to pick them off. You made a great observation, but just picked the wrong team to make it about.
Let's now look into your comment that we only know how to attack, and therefore we can't defend in a solid shape. we've scored 68 goals, while conceding 26, that means we concede 38.2% of the goals that we score. You've scored 43, but conceded 20, so you concede 46.5% of the goals you score. This suggests that actually, we have MORE balance than you between our attack and defence. While we've conceded 6 more goals in total, our balance as a team to attack and defend in the correct manner is more efficient than yours.
If we do the same calculation and consider that City are at home, and Chelsea are away, like the upcoming weekend, the stats move even further in our favour. Our attack defence balance at home would be 19.0% using the same method, while yours away from home is 61.1%. I'm not saying you don't have a chance of picking up points, but if your going into the game thinking these are your strengths then you're mistaken.