Climate Change is here and man made

To save me trawling the whole thread, could someone tell me whether I need a big coat or a pair of speedos ?
Ta
 
corky1970 said:
blueish swede said:
Corky, I think you are missing the point somewhat.

Global warming is happening at a faster rate than has ever been previously observed (looking at geological record etc). This increase in the warming rate is due to human activity. CO2 is a green house gas, it absorbs the suns energy reflected from the earths surface and holds it in the atmosphere causing an increase in temperature.

We are in the middle of an extinction event right now. It may not be obvious to us in our daily lives but it is predicted that by the end of this century half of all species will have become extinct. The direct effect on people isn't important, or the effect on pandas, elephants, tigers or polar bears. It is the effect on trees and insects that is the biggest threat. If they cannot adapt fast enough as the climate changes then we are all totally screwed.

man being a **** with a gun is the reason Panda's elephants and tigers are diminished, not because its got a bit toastie !!

Men throwing garbage in the seas is also a reason why so many fish are dieing. Polar bears adapted to like the frozen north, due to climate change, i am sure they will adapt to not like the frozen north. If not, they can go fuck themselves, who needs then anyways?
 
Anyone harbouring any doubt about the futility of the green lobby in altering human behaviour need only look to the story of the Easter Island statues.

These were made by competing tribes on the island as a mutual show of strength. Their transportation and erection required a tremendous amount of timber, which was harnessed from the island's forests. Such was the grip that this craze had on the island's inhabitants that it was completely deforested within a few decades. There must have been a point where a tribe looked upon the island and realised that they were cutting down the last tree, considered the consequences and maybe even considered the absurdity of what they had done and then carried on to cut the last tree down anyway.

Human beings will stop using oil when it runs out or becomes more expensive (in real terms) than any viable alternatives and I'm afraid to say that any impact on the world's climate will merely be a sideshow and a talking shop to the main event: human greed, innovation and insanity.
 
blueish swede said:
BulgarianPride said:
Climate change has occurred thousands of times in the past, why is this time different?

The difference is that this time we're around and its going to affect us.

99% of all species that have ever lived are now extinct and we will be no different.

£200 on your gas bill will not alter the fact one bit or slow down our demise!
 
blueish swede said:
BulgarianPride said:
Climate change has occurred thousands of times in the past, why is this time different?

The difference is that this time we're around and its going to affect us.

We were always around, and we've always managed a way to survive. That is when we were primates, and early primitive men. We've come a long way sense then, so why do you think we are at such risk?
 
asgoodasitgets said:
To save me trawling the whole thread, could someone tell me whether I need a big coat or a pair of speedos ?
Ta

Speedos mate. Manchester will have a beach and in hundreds of years people will talk about the legendary lost city of Liverpool (not got quite the same ring to it as Atlantis).
 
Skashion said:
Damocles said:
We know more than enough, you're out of date, go and do some research.

EDIT: And a 200ft seas level rise is a prediction of a model based upon Greenland and parts of the Arctic melting. I have no idea where you've goten thousands of years from. I'm not sure you understand the logarithmic effect of warming climate
Such a lazy response from you. I'll just quote an old post:

For a lazy comment. I told you that you're out of date. You counter by showing me a report from 5 years ago.

Skashion said:
LOSU is low in some radiative forcings

So? The ones that have a high LoSU all show huge warming. The others we aren't really sure about yet but have a general idea of. I cannot fathom that you do not believe the LoSU to be on the conservative side here for an IPCC paper published 5 years ago nor do I believe that you are not clever enough to use simple additioin to add up the best case screnario of low LoSU forcings against the best case scenario of high LoSU forcings and still see a 5 degree warming. Or why don't you look at the confidence in projected changes? Or the summaries of the entire report?

Your whole opinion here seems to be "we don't know everything therefore we don't know anything". Unless you are playing the conspiracy card, and I certainly hope that you aren't. When AR5 comes out in 18 months, you'll see all those LoSUs shoot up, for the record.

If the entire East Antarctic ice sheets melted, yes, we'd have 200ft of sea level rises. Calculate how long that would take. Actually, I'll save you some bother. They're not losing mass at the moment so it would take infinite years. Even if you take the most crazy extreme estimates, it would take several thousand years for this to happen.

I don't give a fuck if you're not sure, because I am sure.

Oh yeah, Greenland takes "infinite" time to melt.

[bigimg]http://news.bbcimg.co.uk/media/images/61790000/jpg/_61790899_ice_reuters.jpg[/bigimg]

That "infinite time" took four days by the way.
 
corky1970 said:
why dont you show a pic of the re freeze and ice shelf increasing ???


mmmmmmmm agenda here !!

Tht's a fantastic way to yet again show that you don't know what you're talking about. Ice shelfs and ice sheets aren't the same thing. We're talking about Greenland's ice sheet, you're seemingly talking drivel.
 
Damocles said:
For a lazy comment. I told you that you're out of date. You counter by showing me a report from 5 years ago.

Skashion said:
LOSU is low in some radiative forcings

So? The ones that have a high LoSU all show huge warming. The others we aren't really sure about yet but have a general idea of. I cannot fathom that you do not believe the LoSU to be on the conservative side here for an IPCC paper published 5 years ago nor do I believe that you are not clever enough to use simple additioin to add up the best case screnario of low LoSU forcings against the best case scenario of high LoSU forcings and still see a 5 degree warming. Or why don't you look at the confidence in projected changes? Or the summaries of the entire report?

Your whole opinion here seems to be "we don't know everything therefore we don't know anything". Unless you are playing the conspiracy card, and I certainly hope that you aren't. When AR5 comes out in 18 months, you'll see all those LoSUs shoot up, for the record.

If the entire East Antarctic ice sheets melted, yes, we'd have 200ft of sea level rises. Calculate how long that would take. Actually, I'll save you some bother. They're not losing mass at the moment so it would take infinite years. Even if you take the most crazy extreme estimates, it would take several thousand years for this to happen.

I don't give a fuck if you're not sure, because I am sure.

Oh yeah, Greenland takes "infinite" time to melt.

[bigimg]http://news.bbcimg.co.uk/media/images/61790000/jpg/_61790899_ice_reuters.jpg[/bigimg]

That "infinite time" took four days by the way.
Latest IPCC report I'm afraid. Take it up with the IPCC.

I've no doubt the LoSUs will improve, because science is supposed to go forward, not backwards. If it shows us how best to counteract or mitigate the effects of climate change, that's what I want to see. How can we hope to approach geoengineering without sufficient knowledge to do so?

EAST ANTARCTIC Damo, EAST ANTARCTIC. I said it very clearly. The evidence currently shows they are gaining mass. Greenland contains water enough only for 6 or 7m of sea level rises, not the 200ft (60m) you were foaming at the mouth about.
 
As I haven't received a response I will mention this;
In 1974 scientist warned that polution was getting into our food chain and causing us grave problems. As an example they quoted Tuna fish had an alarmingly high level of Mercury in them. If anyone remembers Marvin Gaye's classic about mans effect on the envoiroment, 'Mercy Mercy Me' they will remember he sang 'fish full of mercury'. That's how alarmed we all were about the pollution............ and then a year later it was reported that in fact Mercury levels in fish swing wildly from year to year and cannot be used as evidence of global pollution.
Scientist eh, don't you just love 'em.

Oh and on a seperate note but again in the 1970's, Sweeden and other Nordic countries complained about British power stations producing acid rain that was destroying their trees. Succesive Governments had scientists prove that this was all a lie and the UK were not responsible for acid rain.I think we all now agree that power stations do in fact casue acid rain.

Governments eh, don't you just trust 'em.
 
Skashion said:
Latest IPCC report I'm afraid. Take it up with the IPCC.

These are the only people who issue reports?

I've no doubt the LoSUs will improve, because science is supposed to go forward, not backwards. If it shows us how best to counteract or mitigate the effects of climate change, that's what I want to see. How can we hope to approach geoengineering without sufficient knowledge to do so?

You've ignored my point about the difference between the low and high LoSU values still meaning a 5 degree warmig.


Again, we don't know everything. This doesn't mean we don't know anything.

EASTERN ANTARCTIC Damo, EASTERN ANTARCTIC. I said it very clearly. The evidence currently shows they are gaining mass. Greenland contains water enough only for 6 or 7m of sea level rises, not the 200ft (60m) you were foaming at the mouth about.

Foaming at the mouth? You sound like Dave. If you want to talk science then let's do that but if you're going to go down this path then I'd rather sit on an ice spike.

You said Eastern Antarctic when I said "Greenland and parts of the Arctic". I meant parts of the Antarctic which you pretty much picked up on and I thought we were still talking about the same thing.

Also "they are gaining mass"? Talk about cherry picking. Yes, East Antartica is gaining mass because its sea ice is rapidly increasing as its land ice is growing. Sea ice is the thing that people are arsed about as like an ice cube in a glass it contributes more to sea level changes. Also, the overall mass of Antartica is shrinking, not growing.

Antarctica_Ice_Mass.gif
 
You sure about sea ice contributing more than land ice Damocles?

Go get a glass, fill it nearly to the top and put some ice cubes in.

Report Ba k what happens to the level when it melts.
 
Damocles said:
Skashion said:
Latest IPCC report I'm afraid. Take it up with the IPCC.

These are the only people who issue reports?

I've no doubt the LoSUs will improve, because science is supposed to go forward, not backwards. If it shows us how best to counteract or mitigate the effects of climate change, that's what I want to see. How can we hope to approach geoengineering without sufficient knowledge to do so?

You've ignored my point about the difference between the low and high LoSU values still meaning a 5 degree warmig.


Again, we don't know everything. This doesn't mean we don't know anything.

EASTERN ANTARCTIC Damo, EASTERN ANTARCTIC. I said it very clearly. The evidence currently shows they are gaining mass. Greenland contains water enough only for 6 or 7m of sea level rises, not the 200ft (60m) you were foaming at the mouth about.

Foaming at the mouth? You sound like Dave. If you want to talk science then let's do that but if you're going to go down this path then I'd rather sit on an ice spike.

You said Eastern Antarctic when I said "Greenland and parts of the Arctic". I meant parts of the Antarctic which you pretty much picked up on and I thought we were still talking about the same thing.

Also "they are gaining mass"? Talk about cherry picking. Yes, East Antartica is gaining mass because its sea ice is rapidly increasing as its land ice is growing. Sea ice is the thing that people are arsed about as like an ice cube in a glass it contributes more to sea level changes. Also, the overall mass of Antartica is shrinking, not growing.

Antarctica_Ice_Mass.gif
Sea ice does not contribute to sea level rises. The East Antarctic ice sheet is the issue because that's on land, and hence does contribute to sea level rises when it melts. The East Antarctic ice sheet, which contains 60+% of the world's fresh water, is gaining mass.
 
Would the changing of the Earth's orbit over several hundred years effect the the current climate change? Hotter summers, colder wetter winter????

<a class="postlink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth%27s_orbit" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth%27s_orbit</a>

Just a thought.
 
<a class="postlink" href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/earthnews/7645112/Melting-sea-ice-would-cause-sea-levels-to-rise-by-hairs-breadth.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;">http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/earthn ... eadth.html</a>

If all the floating ice in the world melted it would cause sea levels to rise by just 4cm. In comparison if all the ice on land melted it would cause a rise of 70m.
 
corky1970 said:
Damocles said:
corky1970 said:
why dont you show a pic of the re freeze and ice shelf increasing ???


mmmmmmmm agenda here !!

Tht's a fantastic way to yet again show that you don't know what you're talking about. Ice shelfs and ice sheets aren't the same thing. We're talking about Greenland's ice sheet, you're seemingly talking drivel.

either you show it or i will and embarrass you...

before i do explain it please , cos ive got quotes from leading scientist saying that the global warming trend has stopped

waits.................

You'll get none. You seemingly don't understand either science as a method for explanation nor the science involved here. I won't be debating you on this because I think you're trolling. I'll debate Skash as he seems to be clever enough to not post a single scientific paper which talks of a single effect as some sort of marker. Try as you might, you'll get no further contribution from me because I think you're an idiot and it's a waste of my time. If you somehow come up with some science, then we can talk again
 
paphos-mcfc said:
Would the changing of the Earth's orbit over several hundred years effect the the current climate change? Hotter summers, colder wetter winter????

<a class="postlink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth%27s_orbit" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth%27s_orbit</a>

Just a thought.

Not as much as me driving at 90mph in 4th apparently ;-)
 

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