Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Healdplace said:
Most interestingly Gov UK has now added details of local vaccination numbers to the site.

I checked on 4 different GM boroughs just to see what differences appear.

They show really stark differences in uptake as you can see.

Anyone wanting me to post their own area just ask:


Borough / % Vaccinated First Dose / Second Dose 10 May VERSUS Same data on 17 May



BOLTON 59.8% / 31. 7 % VERSUS 63.2% /36.2%
\
MANCHESTER 41.4% / 20.1% VERSUS 44. 1% / 22.9%

OLDHAM 58.8% / 32.4% VERSUS 60.7% / 35.7%

STOCKPORT 65% / 37% VERSUS 67.7% / 42%



Liverpool - by the way - with case numbers well below Manchester right now and the lowest major city in the country it seems is:-

52.5% / 28.2% VERSUS 54.4% / 32.1%


So well above Manchester but well below Stockport which seems to be doing very well and even over Bolton where the past week increase due to mass vaccinating is apparent.
Click to expand...

Interestingly i downloaded the MSOA vaccination data in early March but that was total vaccinations.

now all i can see is the LTLA, but it gives 1st and 2nd doses. looks like they knocked the MSOA on the head at some point.
 
GaudinoMotors said:
Lol the beeb.
One minute it's too lax the next it's too strict.
Too many rules; not enough rules.
Nanny state; not enough nannying.
There should be a public inquiry alright - into their coverage.
Click to expand...

The media has been guilty of scaremongering BS throughout

Just this morning...

More great reporting on the radio:

Top of the hour headline: "TEST EVENTS RETURN POSITIVE RESULTS"
Story: No evidence of any spreading at the events with protocols in place
 
Lupo said:
The media has been guilty of scaremongering BS throughout

Just this morning...

More great reporting on the radio:

Top of the hour headline: "TEST EVENTS RETURN POSITIVE RESULTS"
Story: No evidence of any spreading at the events with protocols in place
Click to expand...

they love it.

anyway, the Times led report appears to be saying that results are encouraging from the test events, and that "Large events such as concerts and clubbing are believed to be 'no riskier' than visiting restaurants and shopping centres"

However, data "suggests that screening and improved ventilation can significantly reduce the risk of virus transmission", which i guess is fairly obvious, but i would prefer (personally!) not to move to a society where everyone is screened in such a way and let covid become background once vaccinations levels are very high.

www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk

Gigs and mass events found to be 'no riskier' than going shopping

Early reports from the test events look promising
www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk
 
Just 6,000 first doses administed in Scotland over the last 24 hours. I don't know why it's not yet newsworthy that progress on this front is completely stalling, likely supply/distribution related. Especially with the urgency to get as many people protected as possible.
 
England hospital deaths -

6 with just 1 from NW

More over 2 of these date from 2 months ago.

This compares with 11 with 2 NW last week, and 25 with 1 the week before.

This is usually the biggest or second biggest day of the week with weekend catch up. But as these numbers are so low there hardly is any any more.

To think over 1000 were dying in January on Wednesdays

This is a remarkable turnaround that surely has to be the vaccination programme responsible.
 
More on England hospital deaths:

Regions:- 2 in London (Kings). 2 in NE & Yorkshire (Leeds and Northumbria) and the 1 in Midlands (Birmingham) and the 1 in North West (Pennine Acute). None in East. South East or South West.

IN ages 1 was aged 40 - 59, 4 aged 60 - 79 and 1 aged 80 Plus.

No day back to 13 May has yet got more than 7 deaths allocated to it.

In fact 17 of the last 19 Five Day totals have single figure deaths ascribed to the date. (The other 2 are 12 and 13)

The fall in deaths in England hospital data has noticeably accelerated in the past couple of weeks even given the fact that they were already very low.

Here are the last 7 days data - Day 1 / 2/ / 3 / 4 / 5 / 6 / 7 TOTAL as it stood on appropriate number of days

12 MAY 1 - 5 - 6 - 6 - 6 - 6 - 7

13 MAY 0 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1

14 MAY 0 - 1 - 2 - 2 - 2

15 MAY 0 - 2 - 4 - 4

16 MAY 0 - 3 - 3

17 MAY 0 - 3

18 MAY 0
 
Scotland data

0 deaths - was 0 last week

394 cases - was 345 last week

1.6 % positivity - was 1.5% last week

78 patients - up 8 on yesterday - was 65 last week

4 icu ventilated - same as yesterday - was 6 last week


Cases are starting to go up as that variant has its impact but positivity not changing much (in fact down on yestersay so more testing)

But there is now a notable increase in patients. Which is the real concern.

Hopefully these do NOT translate into serious ilness, ventilators and death.

But this is where attention has to focus now as it is the one real worry that might derail progress.
 
Healdplace said:
London is very low. Presumably for the same reason.

Westminster is actually at 311 out of all boroughs pretty much the worst in England!

And the next 10 lowest uptake boroughs are all in London.
Click to expand...

I suspect ethnicity is a much bigger issue. You are looking at c50% ethnic minority population in inner London based on schools data and pop estimates (will be confirmed in the Census data that will be published at the end of the year).
 
Northern Ireland data:

0 deaths - was 0 last week@

107 cases - was 113 last week

4,0% positivity - was 5.4% last week

4 care home outbreaks - up 1 on yesterday - was 6 last week

614 Rolling weekly cases total - was 610 yesterday and 644 last week

37 patients - down 1 on yesterday - was 56 last week

2 Ventilated - down 1 on yesterday - was 4 last week



The hospital data here is happily going the right way even at these very low numbers

Here are the age ranges of those testing positive from the last week of 614 cases

0 - 19 (195) 31.8%

20 - 39 (257) 41.9%

40 - 59 (124) 20.2%

60- 79 (27) 4.4%

80 PLUS (11) 1.7%

The trend continues explaining the low deaths in UK

73.7% of those catching Covid under 40

Only 6.1% over 60.
 
So todays deaths with England out of hospital to come is 6

Last wk it was 11, wk before 25

And cases 545 - first time over 500 in a while.

Last wk it was 480, wk before 238 - so cases clearly going up.

But we knew that and testing is greater than it was

And serious illness and deaths as yet still going the right way.

Though small warning signs in hospital data in Scotland especially.
 
jeez just reading some of the conspiracy theories from 4 people who are refusing the vaccines:

1/ Person Said everyone who has the vaccine will die in 10 years
2/ Person said that it's part of the great "reset" and population controlling
3/ Person said Bill Gates is to blame and the jabs contain microchips
4/ Person said that it's part of a global conspiracy to do with Aliens

Question is do we refuse NHS treatment and rights to these people?
 
BLUEMATT23 said:
jeez just reading some of the conspiracy theories from 4 people who are refusing the vaccines:

1/ Person Said everyone who has the vaccine will die in 10 years
2/ Person said that it's part of the great "reset" and population controlling
3/ Person said Bill Gates is to blame and the jabs contain microchips
4/ Person said that it's part of a global conspiracy to do with Aliens

Question is do we refuse NHS treatment and rights to these people?
Click to expand...
If anything they need urgent NHS care - the NHS still runs insane asylums, right?
 
BLUEMATT23 said:
jeez just reading some of the conspiracy theories from 4 people who are refusing the vaccines:

1/ Person Said everyone who has the vaccine will die in 10 years
2/ Person said that it's part of the great "reset" and population controlling
3/ Person said Bill Gates is to blame and the jabs contain microchips
4/ Person said that it's part of a global conspiracy to do with Aliens

Question is do we refuse NHS treatment and rights to these people?
Click to expand...
Do we refuse it to alcoholics, drink drivers in accidents, drug users, the obese, brexit supporters?
 
ZOE APP DATA

Predicted Cases 2749 DOWN 46 from yesterday. First fall in a few days.

North West UP into the highest of all UK regions - even above Scotland.

Predicted symptomatic cases also up big to 35, 619 - a rise of 1080 in day. Down a bit on yesterday too.






NORTH WEST NUMBERS



(Predicted active cases / Estimated cases per million population locally / Both V yesterday)


BOLTON 386 / 1361 V 348 / 1227 - Another rise but a more modest one today. And nowhere near the numers twice or three times this two weeks ago.

Back as an area of concern according to Zoe.

Also now the ONLY such pink area (in the lowest of the watch zones) in the North West. Even High Peak now fallen below there and nowhere else recording above Bolton.





Others GM Areas:-



BURY 87 / 463 V 79 / 417 - another smallish rise here

MANCHESTER 87 / 160 V 105 / 193 - a small fall which is good to see

OLDHAM 42 / 178 V 35 / 149 - slightly up but only marginally and not in trouble.

ROCHDALE 17 / 80 V 20 / 94 another nice little day to day

SALFORD 25 / 97 V 22 / 86 - a third successive small increase here but at a very low base.

STOCKPORT 91 / 315 V 81 / 282 - also a third successive but again modest rise here. But it needs to be watched as is higher than most GM boroughs.

TAMESIDE 28 / 125 V 31 / 138 - unlike neighbour Stockport another small fall for third day

TRAFFORD 65 / 277 V 56 / 240 - again matching Stockport with a third straight modest rise

WIGAN 36 / 111 V 29 / 90 - again like Trafford and Stockport edging up a little


Chorley is low but inched up a tad to 17 / 146 V 15 / 131


Fylde (Blackpool) is miles down on 8 / 108 V 7 / 93 seems over the hump



High Peak (Glossop/Whaley Bridge/Buxton) again edges down on 19 / 207 V 20 / 222


All in all not much change today.



But according to Zoe the worst areas in UK right now are:-


Aberdeen (Scotland) 1808 / 8000 V 1122 / 4963

BIG INCREASE HERE - NOW WORST AREA IN UK ON ZOE




Newport (Wales) 279 / 3004 V 935 / 6142 - halved here in day

North Lanarkshire (Scotland) 1503 / 4441 V 1745 / 5156 - a good fall here

North Lincolnshire 544 / 3190 V 757 / 4444 - Big fall

Bedford 625 / 3676 V 755 / 4443 - a small fall

Leeds 2704 / 3449 V 3013 / 3844 - a small fall

Wolverhampton 708 / 2707 V 895 / 3444 - a modest fall here too

Bradford also on the list now at 1896 / 3554

A few clusters in the south now appearing too. Though none above the kind of levels in Bolton. Which is at present not remotely the highest in the UK as you see above. According to Zoe.
 
BLUEMATT23 said:
jeez just reading some of the conspiracy theories from 4 people who are refusing the vaccines:

1/ Person Said everyone who has the vaccine will die in 10 years
2/ Person said that it's part of the great "reset" and population controlling
3/ Person said Bill Gates is to blame and the jabs contain microchips
4/ Person said that it's part of a global conspiracy to do with Aliens

Question is do we refuse NHS treatment and rights to these people?
Click to expand...
1 If they are talking about the ones over 80 they will not be far wrong. But not by magic.

2 It will be as the reset will see the ones spouting this tosh reset as twerps

3 I think a few people out of hundreds of millions might have noticed a microchip being injected into their arm however good they are at miniaturisation.

4 I happen to know a lot about aliens and I am assured they have all buggered off to Alpha Centauri where they are not all infected with a deadly disease and also welcome them as wise and more enlightened rather than shoot at them.

It is so easy to make up nonsense. Much harder to think about the facts.
 
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