Coronavirus (2021) thread

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ell said:
Am I right in thinking they are easing restrictions in the coming days too?
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Yes infections are the lowest they have been for months. The figures looked bad but they have a population of 1.3 billion. That’s 1,300 millions, so in the scheme of things 200,000 positive cases is tiny.
 
Summerbuzz said:
*Stochastic. I don't really see it? The visible noise seems due to the predictable effect of the plot being of a series of smaller integers - the quantum is a larger proportion of the datum.

Then there's the resolution of the plot, which I just can't ignore. It looks very obviously like the software uses an algorhythm to preserve readability at higher scales. Source? I mean, assuming you are talking about the daily variation. Otherwise I'm not sure what you mean.

Anyway, I'd need more to conclude this was evidence of 'an' underlying *condition. Records or reports of underlying *conditions would indicate underlying *conditions.

Not that they aren't a big factor.

But whatever... it's hardly the same as kids don't get ill, is it?

Maybe calm down in your claims a bit?

"Make no mistake - we'd only protecting vax conspiracy nuts"

"Kids don't get ill."

OTT, mate. You're not qualifying these statements at all - but you can't possibly think they are unequivocally true, can you?

It's a very difficult time, but surely that means we have to remain vigilent and disciplined, and reject the opportunity to blather things out that make us feel better but which are downright untruthful or misleading. It's just winding people up, and that doesn't help anyone deal with reality.
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The software is Excel a nice quick tool for charting it doesn't use algorithms it just charts the data

the data is here
www.england.nhs.uk

Statistics » COVID-19 Hospital Activity

Statistics » COVID-19 Hospital Activity
www.england.nhs.uk www.england.nhs.uk

stocastic is noise that's what the word means!!!! so you say you don't see it and then you mention the noise which you do see!!!

and the fact you've mentioned small integers means throught out the whole pandemic not many kids were getting ill and those there were had underlying health conditions. There's loads of reports on that

www.bbc.co.uk

Coronavirus: 'Reassuring' study of children's 'tiny' risk

Severe Covid-19 is rare and dying from it exceptionally rare, a study of UK hospital data finds.
www.bbc.co.uk www.bbc.co.uk

so it's very clear to me
 
unicorn said:
My lad, just turned 22, got first Pfizer jab in Sheffield this morning. Big numbers, all early 20s by the look of it.

Great progress here.
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I’m desperate to get my 20 year old son jabbed. He’s the only one left in the house unvaccinated and, as we are as a family on UCLs antibody trial, we know he has no antibodies. He’s our weakest link!!
 
artfuldodger said:
I’m desperate to get my 20 year old son jabbed. He’s the only one left in the house unvaccinated and, as we are as a family on UCLs antibody trial, we know he has no antibodies. He’s our weakest link!!
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Pfizer walk-in centre at Eccles Morrisons car park (vaccine bus) today 1030-1530.

First jabs for over 18s OR second jabs for those that had their first jab before 15th April.
 
artfuldodger said:
I’m desperate to get my 20 year old son jabbed. He’s the only one left in the house unvaccinated and, as we are as a family on UCLs antibody trial, we know he has no antibodies. He’s our weakest link!!
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Where do you live? If you fancy the drive out (Presuming GM) theres an over 18s walk in at Lymm fire station on tuesday 4-7pm
 
artfuldodger said:
I’m desperate to get my 20 year old son jabbed. He’s the only one left in the house unvaccinated and, as we are as a family on UCLs antibody trial, we know he has no antibodies. He’s our weakest link!!
Click to expand...

Also:


Irish World Heritage Centre​

This walk in clinic is available to all eligible Manchester residents over the age of 18. If you think you might be eligible please go along and speak to our vaccination team

Opening times

  • Thursday 10 June 4.30pm to 6.30pm
Staff

  • Male and Female vaccinators available
Booking

  • This is a walk in clinic there is no booking however you may have to queue
Address

Irish World Heritage Centre,
1 Irish Town Way,
Cheetham Hill,
Manchester,
M8 0AE
 
Why do the media keep asking Professor Lockdown on what's going on?
The guy's a fucking tool who is consistently wrong
 
Tim of the Oak said:
“Freedom Day” is for the muppets who fantasise about Boris Johnson’s Eton and Bullingdon Club upbringing.

Everyone on here would like the restrictions to end on 21st June if that’s in our populations best interests but the decision makers needs to weigh up the range of relevant evidence. They should t be persuaded by a minority of snowflakes who can’t wear a mask in a supermarket.
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I don't care at all about the notion of 'freedom day', but not everyone hoping for that date to come to fruition are 'snowflakes who can't wear a mask in a supermarket'. I'd gladly continue wearing a mask, I'd gladly adhere to social distancing, I'd gladly give up any hopes of foreign travel this year.

But what I'm not happy to go along with is my wedding being delayed for a 3rd time, at less than a months notice and at a large cost to me and my fiance, when the virus isn't anywhere near to overwhelming the NHS. They've done pilots and proved that they can host such events safely.
 
There are still fewer people in hospital with COVID today than there are hospitals in the UK.

Even if the number of patients increases tenfold we should be able to easily cope with it. If we can't cope at 10k patients (who are mostly younger and healthier than those patients earlier on in the pandemic) then that really is a very sad reflection of where decades of austerity has left our NHS.
 
Manchester33 said:
I don't care at all about the notion of 'freedom day', but not everyone hoping for that date to come to fruition are 'snowflakes who can't wear a mask in a supermarket'. I'd gladly continue wearing a mask, I'd gladly adhere to social distancing, I'd gladly give up any hopes of foreign travel this year.

But what I'm not happy to go along with is my wedding being delayed for a 3rd time, at less than a months notice and at a large cost to me and my fiance, when the virus isn't anywhere near to overwhelming the NHS. They've done pilots and proved that they can host such events safely.
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good luck to you mate hope it happens this time.

just watching the cricket , looks a decent crowd in at the cricket so fingers crossed .
 
True_Blue69 said:
Yes infections are the lowest they have been for months. The figures looked bad but they have a population of 1.3 billion. That’s 1,300 millions, so in the scheme of things 200,000 positive cases is tiny.
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Indeed 200 K pro rata to the UK population is around 10,000 here. We are probably only days away from climbing to that.

If India are falling TO that number not rising UP to it like we are then - given the relative differerence in vaccinations in the periods of the outbreaks - it should be a good sign that we can stabilise at a relatively manageable position not significatly worse than we are at now.

In the circumtances of this variant and how quickly it has taken over the NW and is now colonising other urban areas like London and Tyne & Wear and West Yorkshire that would probably be the best case scenario we could hope for.
 
Manchester33 said:
Even if the number of patients increases tenfold
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Careful what you wish for. Cases doubling every 9 days now. Further relaxation expected to decrease that. Hence the concern.

A tenfold increase could be baked in within a fortnight on current trajectory.
 
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