Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Just went to see the nurse for my monthly vit b12 injection at local doctors when she asked me if I wanted my covid booster jab. I obviously agreed so done immediately in the doctor's. I had Pfizer originally my wife had AZ but we both had the same booster injection.
Anyone over 60 qualifies here in Almeria providing they have had 2nd jab.
 
Len Rum said:
When is the Saj going to make an appearance and inform us of the booster vaccination plan and also jabs for young people?
Vaccination program seems to be in a bit of a rut.
Even the Sun are reporting we've dropped from 2nd to 19th in the league table of % of people who have received a jab.
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Sadly Len, now that our vaccine programme cannot be lauded as world beating, they have gone into hiding. I’d say mid to late September when cases go up as schools return, and their attention gets pulled back to fire fighting Covid from fire fighting the Afghanistan problem. Unless something else crops up that they have to fire fight instead of course!
 
NJ Blue said:
Sadly Len, now that our vaccine programme cannot be lauded as world beating, they have gone into hiding. I’d say mid to late September when cases go up as schools return, and their attention gets pulled back to fire fighting Covid from fire fighting the Afghanistan problem. Unless something else crops up that they have to fire fight instead of course!
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Or, maybe, the independent JVCI are not making the decision the politicians want, but are waiting to assess the evidence?
 
ayrshire_blue said:
Hadn't checked this out in ages. Thought I'd look today whilst the figures are high. Not sure what, if anything, to take from it.

6400 cases in Scotland today

360 of them in people aged over 65
1,140 of them in people aged 45-64
1,669 of them in people aged 25-44
3,215 of them in people aged 0-24

I'll break the eldest and youngest category down a bit further

45 in people aged 85+
108 in people aged 75-84
207 in people aged 65-74

And the youngest

1718 in people aged 0-14
1497 in people aged 15-24


***************

17 deaths

6 aged 85+
2 aged 75-84
5 aged 65-74
2 aged 45-64
1 aged 25-44
1 aged 20-24

So as we can see although the over 65s are making up an extreme minority of cases, that age group has represented 13 of today's 17 deaths.

****************

Vaccinations

2700 first doses
8000 second doses
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Pretty much exactly what we see in the England and Northern Ireland data daily.

The raw numbers though are reducing the gap because deaths are fewer and the percentages have shifted a bit from old to young since the January wave. Due to the vaccines.

But susceptibility to serious illness and death is fixed and cannot really ever change.
 
WALES DATA

6 deaths - was 5 last week

2391 cases - was 1791 last week

11.1% positivity - was 8.9% last week.

313 patients - was 242 last week

44 ventilated - was 40 last week

STILL RISING HERE ON ALL MEASURES
 
England stays at 1 in 70 as the rate for those with Covid - same as last week. According to weekly ONS data.

Wales at 1 in 110 (exact trend uncertain but rising)

Northern Ireland has fallen to 1 in 65

Scotland risen to 1 in 75.

These are for week up to 28 August and broadly match the flatline in England and fall in N Ireland and rises in Wales and Scotland seen in the real daily cases up to last week.
 
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I read a couple of weeks ago that the effectiveness of the early vaccines (late ones still in obeyance) fades after or perhaps when checked after 6 months.
My Pfizer jabs completed 5 months ago so I started worrying. As I posted earlier I received a final booster jab today which apparently completes my vaccination program.
Presumably it is also a wide spectrum update that will hopefully last more than 6 months?
Anyone got info on this?
 
ZOE APP DATA



SURPISE GOOD NEWS HERE


A good FALL in predicted cases from 57, 322 to 54, 794

And ongoing symptomatic cases up much less than yesterday by just 784 - way down from rises of 8834 and 11, 529 over past 2 days -

Ongoing cases now 741, 152


REGIONS:-


North West FALLS a lot to 786 / 1033 FROM 832 / 1090

This is enough to take the NW down into FIFTH place - lowest in months - behind N Ireland, Yorkshire, Scotland and Wales.

N Ireland also falls big on 768 / 1867 FROM 858 / 2021

Yorkshire DOWN too on 837 / 1126 FROM 861 / 1156

Scotland DOWN a little too - on 815 / 1110 FROM 825 / 1128

AND WALES goes above NW today - though it is also DOWN on 757 / 1099 FROM 768 / 1126 - just enough to go ahead of the NW.



London still falling on 624 / 798 FROM 635 / 814.

Only East England is lower now in UK on DOWN too on 589 / 771 FROM 624 / 813.

South East has also now FALLEN into the lowest watch zone with these too on 663 / 798.

N Ireland the only one in the highest.


South West, North East, East Midlands and West Midands just behind NW in the middle watch zone.
 
ZOE APP DATA

GREATER MANCHESTER:-



Stockport has fallen a little again to go sub 20K on 19, 213 FROM 20, 108 - still the worst in GM but not by anything like it was a few days ago and now much tighter between three boroughs.

Wigan in second is UP to 18. 912 FROM 18, 460. Just 301 behind.

Trafford in third - though also going UP onto 18, 800 FROM 17 603. Just 413 behind Stockport.

Bury falls slightly on 11, 868 FROM 12, 098 in fourth

But Bolton heads up on 11, 576 FROM 10, 577.

Salford also jumps up today doubling overnight into the middle watch zone on 10, 924 FROM 5244



The other four boroughs all in the lowest watch zone:

Manchester UP on 8236, Rochdale UP on 7568, Tameside DOWN on 6974 (although these numbers are very unreliable imo as Tameside has been worst in GM in the real data for a while).

Oldham also UP on 6685 is now the best in GM and matches it's lead in the real data where it has just overtaken Bolton to have the lowest POP score in the county.





West Lancashire - the region between Bootle, Formby and Southport in west and Wigan in the east is by far the worst in the NW and possibly the UK.

Slightly down today on 37, 798.

The near perpetual high scorers in past 3 months - like Chorley and Preston - are also still in mid 20Ks above all in GM.

The numbers in the western part of the NW is why GM is faring relatively well and outperforming v the NW as a region at the moment.


Sefton (18, 929), Wirral (13, 210) Liverpool (12, 517) and St Helens (26, 498 - second highest in NW) are creating the most cases currently in this western part of the region.

Chester and West Cheshire has also gone very high on 14, 142 - way above the actually very well performing

Cheshire East - which Andy Hinch will be delighted to hear has utterly broken the usual link with Stockport and been plummeting. Though up slightly today on 7198. But as you see also half the levels to the west of Cheshire and way below the struggling St Helens.
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS

More surprisingly good news here. Numbers DOWN week to week. Assuming no data problems as that NW number looks very low.

77 with 3 North West - last week was 80 with 20 NW and week before 76 with 16 NW.

By region:- East 13, London 15, Midlands 21, NE & Yorkshire 13, North West 3, South East 1, South West 11

NW Trusts: - 1 each in Blackpool, Pennine Acute & Tameside.

By age:- 20 -39 (2), 40 - 59 (14), 60 - 79 (33), 80 PLUS (28)
 
PHE data

9472 total patients were admitted in England with Covid Delta in the wave up to late August.

5098 of them were under 50.

Of these 3742 were unvaccinated, 724 had one dose and 521 had had both doses.

4374 were admitted with Delta aged over 50.

Of these 1322 were unvaccinated, 261 had had one dose and 2651 had had both.


The missing numbers were cases that could not be matched to the specifics of the data closely enough.
 
Healdplace said:
PHE data

9472 total patients were admitted in England with Covid Delta in the wave up to late August.

5098 of them were under 50.

Of these 3742 were unvaccinated, 724 had one dose and 521 had had both doses.

4374 were admitted with Delta aged over 50.

Of these 1322 were unvaccinated, 261 had had one dose and 2651 had had both.


The missing numbers were cases that could not be matched to the specifics of the data closely enough.
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So 3100 people admitted to hospital who have had both vaccines? Not great. Imagine how bad this would have been had the vaccines not been developed!
 
SCOTLAND DATA

10 deaths - was 4 last week

6711 cases - was 6835 last week

Small fall - a start hopefully

12.1% positivity - was 14.2% last week This is better news.

653 patients - up 29 on yesterday - was 479 last week

60 ventilated icu beds - up 5 on yesterday - waa 49 last week

HOSPITAL DATA LAGS CASES BUT THESE NUMBERS NOT SO GOOD.
 
NORTHERN IRELAND DATA

STILL QUITE HOPEFUL HERE HAPPILY

9 deaths - was 5 last week

1248 cases - was 1875 last week

7.0% positivity - was 7.5% last week

130 CARE HOME OUTBREAKS - DOWN 5 on day - WAS 129 last week

8952 Weekly Cases - down from 9393 yesterday & 11, 664 last week

409 patients - down 8 on yesterday - was 384 last week

38 ventilated - same as yesterday - was 37 last week



ANY THEORIES ON WHY N IRELAND HAS CONTROLLED THIS SO QUICKLY COMPARED WITH OTHERS?~

THOUGH ZOE STILL HAS IT AS THE WORST IN THE UK REMEMBER AS IT IS A SMALL POPULATION SO THESE ARE NOT SMALL NUMBERS PRO RATA
 
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So the total deaths with out of hospital England to add are 102

Last week they were 94.

That became 100 when all settings England were added.
 
Total cases for the three nations with England to come are:- 10, 350

Last week at this stage it was 10, 501

England later added 27, 545 to total 38, 046


Yesterday England added 28, 686 to the three nations total of 9468 to total 38, 154
 
Healdplace said:
PHE data

9472 total patients were admitted in England with Covid Delta in the wave up to late August.

5098 of them were under 50.

Of these 3742 were unvaccinated, 724 had one dose and 521 had had both doses.

4374 were admitted with Delta aged over 50.

Of these 1322 were unvaccinated, 261 had had one dose and 2651 had had both.


The missing numbers were cases that could not be matched to the specifics of the data closely enough.
Click to expand...
Get the fucking jabs
 
The England rise has sadly begun. Zoe way off today.

121 all settings deaths

42, 076 cases

31, 726 in England

Highest UK total since 21 July

Highest England total and first time over 30 K since 23 July

England up 4181 on last week. Biggest weekly rise here in some time.

England UP 11K on just 4 days ago.

Not great, but not a surprise.
 
You will not be surprised that both NW and GM had their worst days in some time.

Everywhere up some quite big.

Stockport had easily the worst day. So Zoe got that right. Up 81 week to week to 221. Highest in some time.

Manchester topped 300 for first time in a while and up 74 week to week.

Most other places just modest rises.

North West up 562 in day to 4477. Highest in 45 days.

Up 972 week to week. Biggest jump in NW for a few weeks.

GM rises up 217 of that 562 - around par but more than it has been scoring lately

And week to week up 308 of that NW rise of 972 - which is actually OK and well below expectations.

As noted most places bar Stockport and to a degree Manchester and Tameside had OK day today an up only modestly week to week which is the number that most matters.

I assume this is the start of the schools explosion.

There were only about 40K extra tests today though so positivity will be well up.
 
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