Coronavirus (2021) thread

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ZOE SUMMARY TODAY

THE HINTS OF A STALL ARE STARTING TO LOOK REAL



PREDICTED CASES DOWN FOR FIRST TIME IN A FEW WEEKS:-

ON 92,444 A FALL from 93,371 after rises from 92,954 yesterday & 92,524 & 91,273 the two days before that


SO A FALL of 927 after rises of 417, 430 & 1251 the days before.

A slow drop in the increase has become a real fall day to day.


It was 84,842 last week so UP 7602 after weekly rises of 10,416, 11,131, 13,531 & 14,871 week to week over previous days.

THIS ALSO SUPPORTS THE TREND OF SLOWING DOWN TOWARDS REAL FALLS ON ZOE


ONGOING INFECTIONS - ALSO SETTING A NEW RECORD DAILY AS THE HIGHEST NUMBER EVER - ABOVE THOSE RECORDED IN MID JANUARY AT THE HEIGHT OF THE UKs WORST WAVE


UP TODAY ON 1,208,560 FROM 1,195,210 yesterday & FROM 1,180,355 day before

A rise of 13,350 on the day VERSUS a rise of 14,855 yesterday

These numbers have been dropping daily too from over 20 K a week or so ago.

Today week to week v 1,085,367 is a RISE of 123,193 DOWN from a weekly rise of 129,497 yesterday.

So real falls are also starting to appear in the weekly rise too.


LOOKING MUCH MORE HOPEFUL
 
ZOE APP REGIONAL NUMBERS

Current TOP NUMBERS:- ANOTHER DAY OF SMALL CHANGE AT THE TOP AS SEVERAL REGIONS ARE CLOSE TOGETHER AND LOOKING VERY FLAT OR STARTING A SLOW FALL DOWNWARDS

HEADLINES:- SOUTH WEST STAYS MOST INFECTED REGION ON ZOE & SCOLAND BACK AS THE BEST & THE ONLY ONE IN THE MIDDLE TIER WHILST NORTH WEST BACK UP TO FIFTH BUT ACTUALLY FELL AGAIN


SOUTH WEST stays as the worst region now in all UK not just England bur DOWN a kittle on 1641 / 1950 FROM 1647 / 1959

WALES second but DOWN quite a bit ON 1474 / 1969 FROM 1542 / 2048

YORKSHIRE third going DOWN too a bit on 1384 / 1786 FROM 1406 / 1812

NORTH EAST up to fourth and UP on 1250 / 1857 FROM 1222 / 1824

NORTH WEST also rises a place to fifth despite anothersmall fall DOWN on 1308 / 1657 FROM 1323 / 1676

EAST MIDLANDS is veryflat but also now even closer to NW after going UP on 1284 / 1676 FROM 1278 / 1669

WEST MIDLANDS drop two places below both the above after going DOWN - though these three regions now are very close to one another and coud swap places daily.Now on 1281 / 1671 FROM 1332 / 1735




The lowest of this England top range group are the three other southern regions - all now in the top watch zone:

East England DOWN big today on 1175 / 1446 FROM 1260 / 1541

South East UP too on 1306 / 1511 FROM 1282 / 1487


AND


London - still the lowest England region and DOWN though pretty FLAT on 993 / 1237 FROM 996 / 1240



HOWEVER - NORTHERN IRELAND SURPRSINGLY RISES INTO THE TOP WATCH ZONE AGAIN

NORTHERN IRELAND UP quite bit on 543 / 1696 FROM 470 / 1571



WHICH MEANS:-

LAST ONE STANDING IN THE MIDDLE WATCH ZONE IS CURRENTLY


SCOTLAND and for several days now ALL BUT TOTALLY flat DOWN ON 764 / 1089 FROM 764 / 1092 AND FROM 765 / 1093
 
Had to come home from work, was rough first thing, but got worse as the day went on, got a walk in at 4pm, ive had it before and it feels like I've got it again, fingers crossed I haven't got it, it's a lot of money to lose for time off and bonus ,I'm working over the weekend or supposed to be, do I have to isolate until my test comes back?
 
Sir peace frog said:
Had to come home from work, was rough first thing, but got worse as the day went on, got a walk in at 4pm, ive had it before and it feels like I've got it again, fingers crossed I haven't got it, it's a lot of money to lose for time off and bonus ,I'm working over the weekend or supposed to be, do I have to isolate until my test comes back?
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You’ll probably get your result tomorrow and if you’re feeling rough, it’s doubtful you’ll be going anywhere today?

Anyway, hope it’s negative and you feel better soon.
 
johnnytapia said:
If pinged it was only mandatory to isolate if they rang you, but doesn’t matter anyway as alanharper has clarified. We spent one-fifth of the annual NHS budget on track and trace. 37 BILLION QUID.
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NASA put a lander on mars for less.
 
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johnnytapia said:
If pinged it was only mandatory to isolate if they rang you, but doesn’t matter anyway as alanharper has clarified. We spent one-fifth of the annual NHS budget on track and trace. 37 BILLION QUID.
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There should be people going to prison for this level of incompetence.
 
ZOE NORTH WEST NUMBERS:-

In the NW they have both Liverpool up slightly in high 10 K and St Helens DOWN on mid 20K

BUT Warrington edges UP again slowly on 21,293

NEW LEADER in the Merseyside part of the region is the Wirral who have shot up over past few days to one of the worst in the NW after successive rises AND today tops 30K UP on 30,835


The Fylde coast area is rising again - Fylde on mid 27K BUT Wyre happily hovering around 19K.


Though the Lake District is going UP again now into 33K and Lancaster/Morecambe UP too on mid 23K


Cheshire East is UP quite a lot today again on 27, 230 FROM 25,421 v Cheshire West DOWN again on 23, 441 FROM 23,639 - so East is now back well ahead of west.

Cheshire East moreover now also well ABOVE neighbour Stockport and indeed now above everyone in GM too.


As for GM - Headlne - SOME GOOD FALLS AND NO BIG RISES OUTSIDE SALFORD But many are falling now. Stockport is still having pancakes for halloween. As in as flat as one. Manchester finally captures top spot by default despite a good fall. Though Stockport is itching to snatch it back unless it starts to make meaningful falls again.

The GM order according to Zoe with to nearest K numbers is:-

Manchester now TOP on Zoe but DOWN 1000 ON 25,702 . Oldham DOWN bigger today - by nearly 4000 onto 23,648 .And Stockport rises to third and must be heading top soon as its numbers are as flat as can be - down all of 22 after being up just 48 yesterday on 22,422 Rochdale - which was BEST in GM days ago is up slightly on 21,724. Salford is now going up daily from being on its own under 10 K and had another big jump today and migt be heading from best to worst soon at this rate - UP more than 3000 to 20,851 Trafford also now inching UP daily rising by over 1000 again to 19, 598. Tameside edging up too today into high 17K now. Sadly GM recent star .Bury fell 800 to high 13K now.Wigan is very flat in the mid13Ks too. But top of the tree again today is Bolton who inch down by 95 onto 12,521 and unfortunately that is now the lowest in all ten GM boroughs with half of them in the upper watch zone over 20k but a much more even spread of the numbers.And a top to bottom gap down to 13K - it was a week or two ago double that.


THESE ZOE NUMBERS ARE PRETTY GOOD MATCHES FOR WHAT WE ARE SEEING IN THE REAL CASE NUMBERS AND WEEKLY/MONTHLY POP SCORES FOR THE TEN BOROUGHS
 
SCOTLAND DATA

24 deaths - was 19 last week

2732 cases - was 2902 last week

7.7% positivity - was 8.8% last week

926 patients - down 6 on yesterday - was 894 last week

60 ventilated icu - up 2 on yesterday - was 60 last week


THERE HAS BEEN AN ISSUE WITH ANOTHER TESTING LAB - LIGHTHOUSE - CAUSING DELAYS IN REPORTS WHICH MAY IMPACT NUMBERS THOUGH THEY DO SAY THE SITUATION HAS IMPROVED
 
denislawsbackheel said:
My next door neighbour and his Mrs, both mid 80s, both fairly serious medical conditions, eg colostomy bag for him, multiple medical conditions for her.
When she had Pfizer jabs originally she reacted badly and has been advised to have AZ booster.
I didn’t even know they were doing them.
He went on line to book and the only place offering them is an hours drive away.
Why aren’t GPs or at least practice nurses offering boosters in the home for people this vulnerable?
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They need to ring their GP practice and tell them to sort it out.
 
NORTHERN IRELAND DATA

7 deaths - was 7 last week

1321 cases - was 1355 last week

8224 weekly cases - was 8091 yesterday & 8663 last week

50 CARE HOME OUTBREAKS - UP 1 ON YESTERDAY - WAS 54 LAST WEEK

351 patients - up 2 on yeserday - was 358 last week

25 ventilated - up 1 on yesterday - was 24 last week

THIS IS ABOUT AS FLAT AS YOU CAN GET
 
Healdplace said:
As I have referenced a few times in the regional data about how South West suddenly turned into a big problem with way more cases than expected in recent weeks and this fed into the hospital data too.

I see now that around 43,000 people -around one in four of positive results - were missed and people wrongly told they tested negative in the South West when they in fact had Covid due to the lab failure that took several weeks to uncover.

Looks like that created the huge spike of 6000 a day cases in the region as the spread went on.

This seemed obvious in the data when the error first came to light given that a big jump up in Wales happened too and South West and Wales are the two areas where the misleading tests were mostly focused,

The government seem to be suggesting that the south west spike was a consequence of them having had the least cases over the whole pandemic and so with the most candidates easily able to catch it now.

That theory has merit as it matches the very obvious (but I do not see any media discussing this) fact that Stockport and Trafford in GM are the two areas with the fewest cases across the whole pandemic out of the ten boroughs in GM and are the very two with the same big spike in cases over the same period as the South West has shot up to the top of the table.

Moreover Manchester and Salford are doing much better in GM right now and they are the two who have had the most cases across the whole pandemic.

Any thoughts on who is right? May be a bit of both in the South West I guess.
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Said that ages ago, was pretty obvious once we know the vaccine doesn’t stop you catching it.
 
The GPs do seem to be struggling. A week or two ago I had to call mine to seek an appointment. They asked was I really ill. I said in what sense? They asked - will you call an ambulance or go to A & E if we say no?

I said not that urgent but it needs assessing. They knew I had recently had a very severe kidney infection that KOd me for days.

We can arrange a call back from a doctor they offered. I said that would be OK.

So I got a phone call back 'appointment' on that day FOR the Friday of the next week after - an 11 day wait.

They said, if you feel worse call us back.

They very clearly are under a lot of pressure.
 
186 deaths - up from 180 last Friday

43, 467 cases - up from 39,842 yesterday & down from 49, 298 last week

England only:-

36, 853 - UP 2950 on yesterday

Last week England was 41, 745 - DOWN 4892

Quite a lot down on yesterday's fall of over10K in England but fairly akin to the week to week fall in England previously.

Wednesday it was a fall of 3996 and Tuesday 4432 and Monday 6164
 
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Healdplace said:
The GPs do seem to be struggling. A week or two ago I had to call mine to seek an appointment. They asked was I really ill. I said in what sense? They asked - will you call an ambulance or go to A & E if we say no?

I said not that urgent but it needs assessing. They knew I had recently had a very severe kidney infection that KOd me for days.

We can arrange a call back from a doctor they offered. I said that would be OK.

So I got a phone call back 'appointment' on that day FOR the Friday of the next week after - an 11 day wait.

They said, if you feel worse call us back.

They very clearly are under a lot of pressure.
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Some of that pressure is self-inflicted. Take my local practice, they posted on their f/b page that they were disappointed that 300 patients had failed to turn up for their flu jabs at the beginning of October. The main reason was that they hadn't sent out notifications to the missing hundreds, including myself. Nor had they posted any info about flu clinics on their website.
 
Unfortunately North West is UP a lot day to day - from 3598 to 5141. Biggest jump in some time.

And up week to week -though only by 52 from 5089
 
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