Btw on the England hospital deaths data earlier today 4 January had the highest ever single day add on with 252 added. Taking that day after just 48 hours to a total of 317. Incidentally only 27 of those 252 were in the NW.
A two day total over 300 has not happened since the 22 April - about 2 weeks AFTER the peak of the first wave.
Let us hope that means we are only two weeks from the peak of this one too.
Which is very plausible from the data and the time it would take for lockdown to work.
But I think it is all too likely now we will see over 500 a day deaths in England hospitals alone before we start coming down. We already have a run of about 7 totals over 400 for most of the week after Christmas.
Current totals for the tragic Christmas three days is 330 Christmas Eve, 394 Christmas Day and 411 Boxing Day.
New Years Eve is 410 and New Years Day (after just 5 days) is 394.
Awful toll.
Oh and yesterday 5 Jan has a one day total of 71 on that day. This is the highest first day total since 1 May.