Coronavirus (2021) thread

[blue b4 the moon]

MSM seem to be pushing it's nearly all over.

I fear there's a long way to go yet even in the UK nevermind the rest of the world before we get anywhere near a new normal.

 

[Marvin]

c0.6% of Delta cases now carry the escape mutation N501Y and it's rising

 

[Indaparkside]

Genuine question if you get tested positive for the virus today how long have you likely of had it for in your system, also someone told me 2 days before you test positive and up to 5 days after you are at the most risk of spreading this virus true or false

 

[roubaixtuesday]

Genuine question if you get tested positive for the virus today how long have you likely of had it for in your system, also someone told me 2 days before you test positive and up to 5 days after you are at the most risk of spreading this virus true or false

The time from exposure to symptom onset (known as the incubation period) is thought to be two to 14 days, though symptoms typically appear within four or five days after exposure.

We know that a person with COVID-19 may be contagious 48 hours before starting to experience symptoms.

From

https://www.health.harvard.edu/diseases-and-conditions/if-youve-been-exposed-to-the-coronavirus

 

[Indaparkside]

The time from exposure to symptom onset (known as the incubation period) is thought to be two to 14 days, though symptoms typically appear within four or five days after exposure.

We know that a person with COVID-19 may be contagious 48 hours before starting to experience symptoms.

From

https://www.health.harvard.edu/diseases-and-conditions/if-youve-been-exposed-to-the-coronavirus

Thanks

 

[Invisible Man's Bandage]

c0.6% of Delta cases now carry the escape mutation N501Y and it's rising

Oh no. I've woken up to a 'Marvin Varient' : (

 

[BobKowalski]

Those countries have high vaccination rates. Big clue!

Yes, but that’s a constant. Cases were rising, then started rapidly falling whereas the vaccine levels only marginally changed over that timeframe. This would seem to suggest there are factors other than vaccine levels in play.

 

[Marvin]

Yes, but that’s a constant. Cases were rising, then started rapidly falling whereas the vaccine levels only marginally changed over that timeframe. This would seem to suggest there are factors other than vaccine levels in play.

One factor is that the infections are self-limiting. In England, when it spiked we had infection rates that were exceeding vaccination and imo the combination of schools closing and very high antibody rates has taken the growth rate of the vrius below 1

 

[Marvin]

Oh no. I've woken up to a 'Marvin Varient' : (

If you don't want news about the virus, don't open a Covid thread.

 

[inbetween]

That’s because we don’t have hard data, all we have is guesswork, and someone has to do the guesswork. Does the virus hibernate in summer or is it something else? Or a combination of hot weather and kids not in school around Europe? Fuck knows.

The virus behaves quite predictably really. We've just had several major events such as the Euros happening within the space of a month. We've then just had a period of really good weather where people generally have gone out more and many are on holiday as well.

It's the household mixing that happens around these events that is critical, particularly because how many people go round to their parents, grandparents or mates and stay outside, wear masks or socially distance? None.

The vaccines are also finally getting into the people that mix the most and that will further drive cases down. We know that many vaccinated people go on to be asymptomatic and well asymptomatic people don't go out to get tested.

SAGE cannot model any of this, all they have is a number of infections and a predicted growth rate.