Coronavirus (2021) thread

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ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS BY DATE:

28 JUL adds 12 on first day - (last week 8 added)

27 JUL adds 25 to total 35 after 2 days - (last week 17 added to total 22)

26 JUL adds 15 to total 49 after 3 days - (last week 10 added to total 50)

25 JUL adds 1 to total 42 after 4 days - (last week 6 added to total 38 )

24 JUL adds 2 to total 43 after 5 days - (last week 2 added to total 36)



The bad news- these are clearly rising week to week. The good news none of the above totals is actually a recent high.

The last 7 days weekly total at 5 days is 301.

Previous weeks were 68 - 96 - 126 - 182 (last week) - 301 (this week)

SO VERY CLEARLY DEATHS ARE ACCELERATING UP NOW OTHER REGIONS ARE FEEDING IN NOT JUST THE NORTH WEST WHICH IS FLATTENING OFF BUT YET TO FALL BECAUSE OF THE FULLY EXPECTED LAG

19 JUL has 62 deaths on it in England hospitals - the highest since 17 MAR (on 68)

No date coming up after 19 JUL is as yet in danger of exceeding that total - which is good news.

Though 26 JUL is at 49 after 3 days and 19 JUL was at 50 at the same stage.
 
SCOTLAND DATA

SLIGHTLY MIXED THE DATA TODAY - MOSTLY GOOD BUT NOT ENTIRELY

13 deaths - was 22 last week - obviously better

1398 cases - was 1625 last week - again better

4.6% positivity - was 6.0% last week - another good trend

490 patients - up 16 on yesterday - up 2 on last week - weekly rises back here.

AND last week patients fell significantly on Thursday day to day and week to week.

60 Ventilated icu - was 63 yesterday & 53 last week.
 
Here are the last month of Thursdays for SCOTLAND 1 JUL - 29 JUL

DATE V CASES V POSITIVITY V PATIENTS V VENTILATED V DEATHS


1 JUL // 4234 C // 10.5 % // 275 P // 16 V // 6 D

8 JUL // 2802 C // 8.9% // 401 P // 38 V // 4 D

15 JUL // 2086 C // 6.6% // 543 P // 47 V // 19 D

22 JUL // 1825 C // 6.0% // 488 P // 53 V // 22 D

29 JUL // 1398 C // 4.6% // 490 P // 60 V // 13 D


This looks a hopeful trend and clearly real as it is across a full month not a few days.

Yes different rules in Scotland had an impact.

But I think THE real key is Scotland was first into this wave and was coming out of it before even North West - first part of England into it.

This MAY be similar to how it tracks everywhere - just a bit later. having been later to the Delta wave - as the North West was showing clear signs of following this track before the UK cases started falling last week.

A point the media seem to have missed.

And when you see those positivity numbers and how they indicate the path. Much as in Wales.

You have to ask why England seem not to care less about this obviously key indicator that the WHO advise to be tracked closely. For very obvious reasons.

It should be announced daily by England and never is.
 
Reports coming out from CDC in America that vaccinated people with the delta variant have same viral load as non vaccinated and are asking people to mask up. That said, some scientists are sceptical as too what that actually means as no data has been provided yet. Ffs.


Are they still using the 3 week dosing schedule?

Sounds similar to some stuff reported in Isreal.
 
A good journalist would be asking the question about why England ignores the positivity number.

But then journalists and positivity are not exactly closely acquainted.
 
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