Coronavirus (2021) thread

[hammocity]

At 61 I long for the days when I was on £3 an hour

Similar age pal, first wage was around 40p am hour, I'd go back in time to get that.

 

[Healdplace]

Full GM details


Total cases 1308 - UP 121 on Yesterday - The whole NW was DOWN by 6

Self evidently not good.


Wk to wk UP 148 when the NW is UP 98

Again not good news for GM to raise by more than the entire region today.

Happily rare that GM has bad days on both these measures.



BOROUGH / CASES TODAY / V YESTERDAY / V LAST WEEK



BOLTON 103 / UP 14 / UP 31

BURY 94 / DOWN 20 / UP 10

MANCHESTER 259 / UP 17 / UP 2

OLDHAM 111 / UP 12 / DOWN 10

ROCHDALE 96 / UP 16 / UP 15

SALFORD 168 / UP 36 / UP 27

STOCKPORT 152 / UP 36 / UP 45

TAMESIDE 108 / UP 8 / UP 15

TRAFFORD 100 / UP 14 / UP 7

WIGAN 117 / DOWN 12 / UP 6


Less good days for almost all.

Salford and Stockport the two with most though Bolton and Bury were also not good.

 

[Healdplace]

Greater Manchester

Weekly total cases:-




Bolton 579, Bury 596, Rochdale 620, Tameside 648, Trafford 693, Wigan 771 , Oldham 800, Stockport 936, Salford 1012, Manchester 1864



Everywhere up today bar Oldham

Bolton stays top - from worst to best rehabilitation now complete post Delta.

Salford back over 1000 with Stockport heading the same way at the moment.

 

[Blue and still suffering]

Full GM details


Total cases 1308 - UP 121 on Yesterday - The whole NW was DOWN by 6

Self evidently not good.


Wk to wk UP 148 when the NW is UP 98

Again not good news for GM to raise by more than the entire region today.

Happily rare that GM has bad days on both these measures.



BOROUGH / CASES TODAY / V YESTERDAY / V LAST WEEK



BOLTON 103 / UP 14 / UP 31

BURY 94 / DOWN 20 / UP 10

MANCHESTER 259 / UP 17 / UP 2

OLDHAM 111 / UP 12 / DOWN 10

ROCHDALE 96 / UP 16 / UP 15

SALFORD 168 / UP 36 / UP 27

STOCKPORT 152 / UP 36 / UP 45

TAMESIDE 108 / UP 8 / UP 15

TRAFFORD 100 / UP 14 / UP 7

WIGAN 117 / DOWN 12 / UP 6


Less good days for almost all.

Salford and Stockport the two with most though Bolton and Bury were also not good.

I think we would all like the figures to be better than they are, however when you think back three weeks ago when even the new Health Secretary stated that they were expecting 100k cases by early August then the current position isn't as bad as the forecasts

 

[Bluesince1979]

Anyone shown Marvin this?

Please dont

 

[Healdplace]

GM Weekly Pop Data after yesterday:~

Borough / Pop Today / 7 days ago / up or down wk to wk/ Testing is % of local population who have tested positive for Covid over past year.

As ever with Pop going up is bad, going down good - the higher the number the better or worse depending on direction moving. The Pop is total cases in past week versus 100,000 POPulation to even out the comparison versus size and expected cases based on numbers living there.



Bury 331 / 300 / UP 31 Testing positive 12.9%

Oldham 307 / 345 / DOWN 38 Testing positive 13.9%

Stockport 291 / 285 / UP 6 Testing positive 10 5%

Trafford 282 / 294 / DOWN 12 Testing positive 10.6%

Manchester 265 / 357 / DOWN 92 Testing positive 13.9%

Tameside 254 / 299 / DOWN 45 Testing positive 11.7%

Rochdale 202 / 312 / DOWN 110 Testing positive 13.6%

Salford 191 / 418 / DOWN 227 Testing positive 13.4%

Bolton 168 / 217 / DOWN 49 Testing positive 13.5%

Wigan 154 / 286 / DOWN 132 Testing positive 12.9%



Stockport's bad rum of late has seen it join Bury whose weekly Pop Score is rising despite the adjustments to population that are making the Pop Numbers a bit of a mess for another few days.

Wigan still best in GM and pulling clear as Bolton had a bad day and Salford rising but still under 200 too now - though Salford will adjust up big next week when the population change impact lowering it vanishes.

Wigan though has really turned it around big - following Bolton's lead.


Stockport up by 52 now 10, 547. Rattling through the 10 K club,

Trafford had a much better day and up 10 less - 42 - - taking it up to 10, 640.

So Stockport's lead for the best overall Pop Score across the pandemic is slashed by that 10 to just 93.

Rochdale up 43 - to 13, 569.

But Bolton again - though up - was the joint lowest rise again with its Pop Score up 35 - taking it up to 13, 468.

Bury up 49 today - to 12, 873.

Manchester up 47 - to 13, 911

Oldham also up 47 - to 13, 933 lead as highest Pop in GM still 22.

Salford is up 64 - biggest Pop rise today again - to 13, 410.

Tameside up 47 to 11, 676

And Wigan still doing well - up just 35- joint lowest in GM with Bolton today - Now on 12, 985 - delaying entry into the 13 K club until tomorrow.

 

[BlueAnorak]

Cases fall again in Bromsgrove where I live. https://linksharing.samsungcloud.com/fVL1KqHQ6pWd

 

[Healdplace]

GM VACCINE UPDATE:




Latest Vaccine Update by Population Percentage for 10 GM boroughs

Borough/ First Dose / Both Doses - TODAY V YESTERDAY


BOLTON 78.9% / 67.6% V 78.8%/ 67.4% Up 0.3

BURY 80.3% / 69.4% V 80.2% / 69.1% Up 0.4

MANCHESTER 63.9% / 50.1% V 63.8% / 49.8% Up 0.4

OLDHAM 76.0% / 63.8% V 75.9% / 63.5% Up 0.4

ROCHDALE 76.7% / 66.0% V 76.6% /65.8% Up 0.3

SALFORD 71.1% / 56.1% V 71.0% / 55.8% Up 0.4

STOCKPORT 84.7% / 73.3% V 84.7% / 72.8% Up 0.5

TAMESIDE 80.3% / 68.4% V 80.2%/ 68.1% Up 0.4

TRAFFORD 82.2% / 71.0% V 82.1% / 70.7% Up 0.4

WIGAN 83.4% / 71.3% V 83.3% / 71.1% Up 0.3


AT LAST MANCHESTER GO OVER 50% OF ALL ADULTS HAVING BOTH DOSES. WELL BEHIND THE OTHER 9 BOROUGHS. ALL OF WHOM ARE OVER 60% AND TRAFFORD, WIGAN AND STOCKPORT OVER 70%

Stockport up most again on 0.5 today and closing in on 85% first doses.

0.3 was the lowest at Bolton. Rochdale and Wigan.




LATEST VACCINATION NUMBERS FOR THE UK NATIONS:-


UK Vaccination numbers today

Percentage of adult UK population as eligible

88.9% have had first doses - 37, 990 given yesterday (England 88.8%, N Ireland 84.7%, Scotland 90.7%, Wales 90.7%)

74.5% have had second doses - 213, 583 yesterday (England 74.0%, N Ireland 74.6%, Scotland 74.9%, Wales 83.1%)

 

[Healdplace]

I think we would all like the figures to be better than they are, however when you think back three weeks ago when even the new Health Secretary stated that they were expecting 100k cases by early August then the current position isn't as bad as the forecasts

Agreed that is true but that number was always a worse case scenario. It is all at best educated guesswork and those advising government have to plan for the worst likely outcome and hope and expect it may be less.

WE still are not certain we are at the peak of the Delta wave though it looks like that 55/60K was it a week or two ago.

But it is a balancing act between opening up with its inevitable greater ability to spread, especially bringing back new variants from abroad as travel opens and we are yet to discover them. gradual immunity from increasing vaccinations and the now inevitable waning of the immunity levels from those who had the second dose of the vaccines many months ago and are yet to get a booster - though this looks less than it might have been happily. Plus also the coming winter and schools reopening and other things that could make differences.

We really do not know if we are finally coming out the other side - though there is optimism that we are.

Cases are only a small part of it though.

The numbers to REALLY watch are the hospital data.

These were going very well last week with falls week to week every day.

That came from the big drop in cases in the week before. We have at best flattened off now and next week in the hospital data is hard to call.

The hospital numbers every evening from tomorrow to Friday (they are not released at weekend in England or Wales or N Ireland) which I post in here each weekday around 6 will be very telling next week tracked day to day and week to week.

Because testing and cases can go up and down due to the vagaries of processing and so on. If you are sick enough to enter hospital and how long you stay or if you survive are not a consequece of testing going up and down daily.

They are solely driven by the virus and how bad it is infecting people in real time.

 

[BlueAnorak]

France will be interesting over the next few months. They don't take to kindly to state stickery. According to opinion polls 17pc will not take up the vaccine, while more than 40pc support the recent protests against Macrons dictats.