Coronavirus (2021) thread

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ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS - 4 DAY WEEKEND DATA

SAT:

By AGE:-20 - 39 (1), 40 - 59 (13), 60 - 79 (37) 80 PLUS (34)

By REGION:- 11 East, 12 London, 23 Midlands, 12 NE & Yorkshire, 10 North West. 6 South East, 11 South West

NW Trusts:- 2 each in Lancashire, Liverpool & Manchester & 1 each in Pennine Acute, Tameside, Wirral & Wigan



SUN:

By AGE:- 40 - 59 (7), 60 - 79 (12), 80 PLUS (12)

By REGION:- 6 East, 16 Midlands, 4 North West, 5 South West - all others 0

NW Trusts:- 2 Liverpool, 1 each in Manchester & Tameside



MON:

By AGE:- 40 -59 (4) 60 - 79 (8), 80 PLUS (8)

By REGION:- 4 East, 14 Midlands, 1 North West, 1 South West - all others 0

NW Trusts:- 1 Manchester


TUE:

By AGE:- 40 - 59 (2) 60 - 79 (7) 80 PLUS (15)

By REGION:- 9 East, 7 Midlands, 5 North West, 3 South West - all others 0

NW Trusts:- 2 Liverpool, 1 each in Manchester, Morecambe & Tameside


FOUR DAY TOTALS:

DEATHS:- 160

By AGE:- 20 - 39 (1), 40 - 59 (26), 60 - 79 (64) 80 PLUS (69)

NW Trusts:- 20

6 Liverpool, 5 Manchester, 3 Tameside, 2 in Lancashire & 1 each in Morecambe, Pennine Acute, Wirral & Wigan
 
ZOE APP DATA

Predicted cases DOWN 295 to 55, 772. First fall in a couple of weeks

Ongoing symptomatic cases up 7371 (down from 10K and 9K on the previous two days)

Now on 720, 005 UP from 712, 634.

But signs of a slow down & ongoing infections will always change after the trend in daily cases change up or down.
 
ZOE APP REGIONS


QUITE A BIT OF CHANGE HERE TODAY


NORTHERN IRELAND - still top but FALLS again FROM 977 / 2248 to 946 / 2159


YORKSHIRE -also down but still in second ahead of the NORTH WEST

FROM 808 /1093 to 791 / 1074


NORTH WEST NOW THIRD

But sadly is edging up FROM 800 / 1001 TO 801 / 1053

Close to going back into second place


South West not far behind either on 800 / 1001 - though that is slightly down on day like mst other England regions bar the North West ,

LONDON is falling well. And has become one of three (all Southern) regions in the lowest pink watch zone. on 645 / 824 down from 666 / 848.

The others in the lowest watch zone are South East on 668 / 805

Lowest of all is EAST ENGLAND on 623 / 810 DOWN from 644 / 835


SCOTLAND rising has lost top spot and now exited the lower watch zone and has risen above East, London and South East in the rankings:

However, today - like the England regions bar North West - is DOWN a tad:

SCOTLAND DOWN TO 703 / 986 FROM 704 / 996


WALES also slightly down

On 690 / 1027 FROM 693 / 1033
 
ZOE APP NORTH WEST


Zoe has bad news if you live in Stockport. Now worst in GM and one of the top 6 worst in the whole North West. It has been building in the case data sadly but let us hope they have got this one wrong as GM on a whole is doing well otherwise.


GM Boroughs:-


BOLTON DOWN to 14, 434 - halved in two days and now not top scorers

BURY UP slightly to 8426 - Bury inches up but one of the lowest in GM.

MANCHESTER FLAT at 8543 - still doing pretty well here

OLDHAM DOWN to 4905 - been falling for days and now the lowest in GM.

ROCHDALE flat at 8235- another borough overcoming its problems it seems

SALFORD falling daily to 6228 - stable & no longer the worst Pop Score in GM.

STOCKPORT UP a lot again to 18, 582 - worst numbers here in months and now the most in GM. If Zoe is right this has gone badly awry somewhere.

TAMESIDE which usually tracks Stockport is instead saying on 6093 - way behind Stockport now. WE will see if the real cases reflect that as they have not so far.

TRAFFORD another sadly going up and up in recent days on 11, 685 - but well behind Stockport

WIGAN Falls a little to 17, 761 - now second in GM behind Stockport according to Zoe.


The thing to recall about these numbers is they are ongoing symptomatic cases so not meaning necessarily more cases now just in the recent past. It is trends not literal numbers or rises that matter here.

The actual definition of the number is Estimated Active Cases Per Million People.

So for instance Manchester has about 50% of that million population so those numbers with Covid are now (around 4300) whereas Stockport's lower population means it has just over a third of its number above - so in fact in a week has risen from parity cases to being around 7000 and easily the most in GM curremtly.






OTHERS:-

Cheshire Easthas left Stockport tracking far behind. It is still high on 10, 104 but not close to SK.

Liverpool on 8256 matchng Manchester well still

West Lancashire (in land from Southport) is on 26, 396 and been escalating faster than Stockport


The Blackpool area has risen a bit too but both Wyre & Fylde are only around 11K.


Preston on 23, 035 and Chorley on 26, 354 - are the only other NW areas above Stockport's GM high score right now. South Ribble was above too until today but has fallen to 17, 282.
 
blueyorkie said:
Thanks that much appreciate, glad you’re getting over it ! I was told not to have a test at the end of self isolating as it will automatically be positive due to antibodies in the system. How long did you leave before testing? Cheers
Click to expand...
I tested after 10 days and was still positive though the second bar on the test kit was much faded compared to earlier tests. I think yesterday was day 14 when I finally became negative.
 
SCOTLAND DATA

7 deaths - was 10 last week

6029 cases - was 4323 last week

14.9% positivity - was 14.5% last week

585 patients - up 34 on yesterday - was 364 last week

54 ventilated icu - up 2 on yesterday - was 43 last week


THE HOSPITAL NUMBERS ARE STILL RISING A LITTLE BUT THERE ARE HINTS THE SIZE OF THE INCREASE IN CASES IS SLOWING DAY TO DAY - AS THE POSITIVITY RISE INFERS TOO.
 
Healdplace said:
ZOE APP NORTH WEST


Zoe has bad news if you live in Stockport. Now worst in GM and one of the top 6 worst in the whole North West. It has been building in the case data sadly but let us hope they have got this one wrong as GM on a whole is doing well otherwise.


GM Boroughs:-


BOLTON DOWN to 14, 434 - halved in two days and now not top scorers

BURY UP slightly to 8426 - Bury inches up but one of the lowest in GM.

MANCHESTER FLAT at 8543 - still doing pretty well here

OLDHAM DOWN to 4905 - been falling for days and now the lowest in GM.

ROCHDALE flat at 8235- another borough overcoming its problems it seems

SALFORD falling daily to 6228 - stable & no longer the worst Pop Score in GM.

STOCKPORT UP a lot again to 18, 582 - worst numbers here in months and now the most in GM. If Zoe is right this has gone badly awry somewhere.

TAMESIDE which usually tracks Stockport is instead saying on 6093 - way behind Stockport now. WE will see if the real cases reflect that as they have not so far.

TRAFFORD another sadly going up and up in recent days on 11, 685 - but well behind Stockport

WIGAN Falls a little to 17, 761 - now second in GM behind Stockport according to Zoe.


The thing to recall about these numbers is they are ongoing symptomatic cases so not meaning necessarily more cases now just in the recent past. It is trends not literal numbers or rises that matter here.

The actual definition of the number is Estimated Active Cases Per Million People.

So for instance Manchester has about 50% of that million population so those numbers with Covid are now (around 4300) whereas Stockport's lower population means it has just over a third of its number above - so in fact in a week has risen from parity cases to being around 7000 and easily the most in GM curremtly.






OTHERS:-

Cheshire Easthas left Stockport tracking far behind. It is still high on 10, 104 but not close to SK.

Liverpool on 8256 matchng Manchester well still

West Lancashire (in land from Southport) is on 26, 396 and been escalating faster than Stockport


The Blackpool area has risen a bit too but both Wyre & Fylde are only around 11K.


Preston on 23, 035 and Chorley on 26, 354 - are the only other NW areas above Stockport's GM high score right now. South Ribble was above too until today but has fallen to 17, 282.
Click to expand...

Do you reckon we will head into another restrictions or even lockdown in next few months based on current trajectory of rates ?
 
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